Fakel vs Akhmat Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 27 October 2026
🔉 Fakel and Akhmat are third and fourth in their group in the Russian Cup, both on four points. The winner of this match will have a real chance of reaching the play-offs, while the loser will effectively be eliminated. The stakes are as high as they can be, and that will almost certainly shape the nature of the game.
Head-to-Head
📊 There is no clear leader in this head-to-head record: the two sides have played nine matches, with three wins each and three draws. The average goals per game is high at 3.11, but in Voronezh the last two meetings ended 0-0, and four consecutive meetings produced no more than two goals. In their first Russian Cup 2026/27 match, Akhmat won 2-1 at home.
Head-to-head statistics Fakel - Akhmat
Fakel: Managerial Change Provides a Boost, but Attack Still Struggles
In their last official match, Fakel lost at home to Rodina. The only goal came from the penalty spot. The Voronezh side had more possession but created fewer dangerous chances: xG 1.11 to 0.60, corners 4-1, shots 8-6 and shots on target 1-0. The defeat left them rooted to the bottom of the RPL table, five points adrift of the play-off places.
Over the course of the season, the Voronezh side have looked weaker than their opponents. In the league they have won just once - against Krylya Sovetov, following the dismissal of Oleg Vasilenko. In the cup, the team still have a chance of reaching the play-off stage, particularly if they can get a positive result against Akhmat at home. Their cup form has been improving: after two consecutive defeats, they have taken four points from their last two matches - a home loss to Krasnodar on penalties and an away win over them.
Match Results: Fakel Voronezh
Akhmat's reinforcements fail to deliver results
The club strengthened their squad in the summer and held on to Lechi Sadulayev, who had been closely watched by CSKA. With Stanislav Cherchesov in the dugout, that pointed towards a push for a top-six finish, but right now there is neither the football nor the results to show for it. Akhmat sit 14th in the RPL table, just two points above the relegation zone occupied by Rodina.
In their last competitive match, the Grozny side lost at home to Orenburg (0:1). The visitors sat back, managed just 0.7 xG against Akhmat's 1.53, but took their chance when it came. Akhmat had 24 shots and five on target yet failed to score at home. In the Russian Cup, unlike Fakel, things have gone downhill: four points from the opening two rounds, then two defeats to Moscow Dynamo.
Match Results: Akhmat Grozny
Latest news
Fakel Voronezh
Fakel have no new injuries or suspensions. Albert Gabaraev is likely to start from the first minute - he is suspended for the next RPL matchday, so he may play the full match in the Cup.
Akhmat Grozny
Julio Romao is the only player in Akhmat's treatment room. Everyone else is available. There may be some rotation to keep the first team fresh for the next RPL round, but given the table situation, the squad selected is more likely to be close to the first choice than heavily rotated.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Akhmat have received at least two yellow cards in each of their last five matches. The game is crucial in the battle for third place, so there will be plenty of physical play and fouls. Akhmat Team Total Yellow Cards - Over 1.5 is a bet that follows naturally from the visitors' statistics and the importance of the match.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
No more than three goals were scored in 8 of the 9 head-to-head meetings between these sides, and in 6 of Fakel's last 7 Russian Cup matches. Akhmat's scoring in the competition has also been modest - no more than three goals in 9 of their last 10 games. The main bet for this match is Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.39*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Both head-to-head meetings this season featured an unusually high number of corners - at least 14. However, the seasonal averages are more modest: 10.1 for Fakel and 9.8 for Akhmat. In a cup tie where the cost of a mistake is high, neither side is likely to push heavily down the flanks. The prediction is Total Corners - Under 10.5.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The change of manager gave Fakel a small boost, but it is gradually fading. Decent performances against Krylia Sovetov and Krasnodar were followed by a flat display against Rodina, in which the Voronezh side confirmed their main problem - a lack of ideas in attack. They have scored just eight goals in the Russian championship, the worst return in the league. Akhmat are not in great shape either, as both their performances and results show. In this match, the visitors are unlikely to push the pace and will focus on waiting for the hosts to make mistakes, looking to claim their first away win of the season. That kind of game does not lend itself to goals. We are going with Total Goals - Under 2.5. Predicted score: 0-1.
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Betting Tips: Fakel Voronezh - Akhmat Grozny
in 4 of last 5 away games against Fakel Voronezh.in last 10 home games.in last 19 away games.in 7 of last 8 games.in last 5 away games against Fakel Voronezh.in 10 of last 11 away games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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