Alaves vs Athletic Prediction 2 May 2026
🔊 Can Ernesto Valverde's team break their winless streak in away matches? This coming Saturday, the "Mendizorrotza" will host the clash between Alaves and Athletic. The "Glorious" are fiercely fighting to maintain their place in La Liga, while the "Basques" have long lost their spark, merely playing out the current season. It's important to note that trips to Vitoria-Gasteiz are no walk in the park, even for top clubs. Bookmakers give equal odds for both sides to succeed.
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head clashes between Alaves and Athletic are traditionally known for their lack of fireworks and a minimal number of goals. Just take a look at the average scoring rate for each team over the last 10 encounters: Alaves with 0.3 and Athletic with 0.9. In the first round of the current championship, Alaves managed to defeat Athletic at “San Mames” - the match was decided by an own goal from Alex Berenguer.
Head-to-head statistics Alaves - Athletic

Deportivo Alaves Team Overview
⚪ The final stretch of the season is looking positive for Alavés. Over their last six matches, they've suffered just one defeat. With Quique Sánchez Flores at the helm, the team has been unlocking more of their attacking potential-under the Spanish manager's guidance, they haven't left the pitch without scoring. Currently, Alavés sit in 16th place on the league table, just two points clear of the relegation zone. It's also worth noting their average performance metrics: 1.15 goals scored per game while conceding 1.48.
🔵 In the previous round of the national championship, Alavés secured a crucial victory against Mallorca (2-1). The crowd at Mendizorroza was fantastic-it seemed even the players were confident they could stage a comeback and clinch a hard-fought victory. The standout performer was Toni Martínez, who netted a brace. The Spanish forward has flourished since the managerial change, tallying seven points for goal contributions (6 goals and 1 assist) in his last five matches. The 5-3-2 formation perfectly highlights his strengths-playing with his back to goal and showcasing impressive pace off the mark.
Match Results: Deportivo Alaves

Athletic Bilbao Team Overview
🔴 The "Red and Whites" face an uphill battle to secure a spot in European competitions by the end of the season. A lack of organization on the pitch and inconsistency over the long haul have significantly impacted their current situation. Athletic currently sit 10th in the league standings. Let's look at the team's average performance metrics from the Basque Country-1.09 goals scored per game against 1.45 conceded. On the road, Ernesto Valverde's side struggles even more, collecting just 12 points from 16 matches (ranking 15th in the league).
⚪ In their last La Liga fixture, the Basques suffered another setback, this time against Atletico (2-3) at the Wanda Metropolitano. Frequent gaps between the lines and a lack of sharpness in front of goal led to this outcome. Both the players and fans of Athletic are already looking ahead to next season. The remaining matches are seen as mere formalities, especially with the announcement of their new head coach. Edin Terzic will take over at the end of this season, marking his return to management after nearly two years out of work.
Match Results: Athletic Bilbao
Latest news
Deportivo Alaves
❌ Alaves' coaching staff will be unable to count on several key players. Facundo Garces tops the list, having been handed an eight-month suspension by FIFA in March due to a scandal involving a Malaysian passport. Another significant setback is the injury to Lucas Boye, who was forced off just three minutes into the match against Mallorca (2-1). The Argentine is expected to be sidelined for about three weeks due to a hamstring issue. Carlos Protesoni's participation in the upcoming round is also ruled out, though according to the head coach, he is making significant progress in his recovery and is optimistic about returning to the field this season.
Athletic Bilbao
❌ A positive update for Athletic is the imminent return of Beñat Prados, who has been recovering from a cruciate ligament tear. On Thursday, the Spaniard participated in team training, but his involvement in the upcoming clash with Alaves remains uncertain.
⚽ Goal Prediction
In their last ten head-to-head encounters, no more than two goals have been scored. The cautious tactical approach typical of both Alaves and Athletic is likely to influence the pattern of their upcoming clash. Let's take a look at each team's average goal-scoring rate in the current La Liga season: Alaves at 1.15 and Athletic at 1.09. Our editorial choice is under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.81*.
🚩 Corner Prediction
It's important to note that in their head-to-head meetings, Athletic have maintained a solid advantage in corners won: 6.2 compared to 3.8. Additionally, consider the average number of corners conceded by each team this season: Alaves at 4.9 and Athletic at 3.8. Given these statistics, it's reasonable to consider the following outcome - Athletic to win on corners with a -1.5 handicap at odds of 2.4*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editorial Prediction
This season has been nothing short of a nightmare for Athletic fans, with dismal performances in the domestic league and a flop on the international stage. Such toothless results were hardly expected after last season's fantastic run. Meanwhile, Alaves are currently in excellent form-appointing Quique Sanchez Flores has primarily improved the players' mental state. We predict a final score of 1-0, with the key bet being Alaves will not lose.
