Derby vs Stoke City Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 3 May 2025
🔊 The clash between Derby County and Stoke City promises to be thrilling, as both teams are fighting for survival in the Championship. Given their current form and league standings, an intense game with plenty of chances is expected. Derby have been solid at home, while Stoke City often prove to be a tough nut to crack on the road. Despite both teams' average scoring record this season, their last head-to-head ended with a 2-1 victory for Stoke City. A draw would suffice for the visitors in the upcoming match.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Derby County and Stoke City:
- 11 matches played;
- wins for the home side - 4, wins for the visitors - 4, draws - 3;
- total goals - 13 for Derby, 11 for Stoke;
- average first-half goals - 0.91, second-half - 1.27;
- average total goals per match - 2.18.
Head-to-head statistics Derby - Stoke City
Derby Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Hull City, away team - Derby ). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here's the game statistics (Derby vs Hull City):
- ball possession: 37% vs 63%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 15 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
Derby County are positioned 19th in the league table after 45 matches this season. In their last ten outings, they have shown impressive form, securing six wins, two draws, and two losses, while averaging 1.5 goals per game and conceding just 0.8. Their style of play is marked by a balanced approach, transitioning smoothly from solid defense to swift attacking moves. The Rams lost their last head-to-head against Stoke City with a 2-1 scoreline, which fuels their motivation for a comeback.
Match Results: Derby
Stoke City Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Stoke City, away - Sheffield United). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.
Here are the match stats (Stoke City vs Sheffield United):
- ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 3;
- fouls: 16 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
Stoke City currently sit slightly higher in the standings, holding the 18th spot compared to Derby after 45 Championship games. Their recent performances have been marked by inconsistency: four wins, four losses, and two draws highlight the club's unpredictable results due to a lack of stability both in attack and defense, averaging 1.1 goals per match. However, the Potters traditionally show resilience on the road, which could be a crucial factor in their clash against Derby County.
Match Results: Stoke City
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 11;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 4, draws - 3.
Statistics: Derby vs Stoke City
- number of matches played in the tournament: 45 vs 45;
- number of wins: 13 vs 12;
- win percentage: 29% vs 26%;
- number of losses: 22 vs 20;
- number of draws: 10 vs 14.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 4;
- number of losses: 2 vs 4;
- number of draws: 2 vs 2.
- Stoke City won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 games against Derby.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.18, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.18;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Derby vs Stoke City
- average total in the tournament: 2.31 vs 2.46;
- average total goals scored: 1.07 vs 1.04;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.42 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.64 vs 0.54;
- Derby : average total at home in the tournament - 1.14;
- Stoke City: average total away in the tournament - 0.73;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.2) vs 1.1 (away - 0.8).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Stoke City games (Championship).
Prediction on corners
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.8; at home field - 5.32;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; at home field - 5.4.
Stoke City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.46, away - 3.86;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; away - 4.6.
- Under 10.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Stoke City games (Championship).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.28 (1.64 for home team and 1.64 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.8 (1.4 for home team and 2.4 for away team).
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.82; at home - 1.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; at home - 2.
Stoke City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.07, away - 2.32;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; away - 3.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 11;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Derby vs Stoke City
- number of matches played in the tournament: 45 vs 45;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 21 vs 22;
- number of BTTS matches for Derby at home - 7 (32%);
- number of BTTS matches for Stoke City away - 9 (41%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Derby at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Stoke City away - 2 (40%).
Editor's Prediction
Considering the current standings and head-to-head statistics, a tightly contested match with moderate scoring is expected (previous encounters suggest a trend of under 3.5 goals). A well-founded bet would be on both teams NOT to score, given Derby's home results (4 out of 5) and Stoke City's away results (3 out of 5) in recent matches for this outcome.No comments
Betting Tips: Derby - Stoke City
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Other predictions
