Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction 3 May 2025
🔊 Will Atlético's unfortunate streak at the Mendizorroza come to an end? The opening match of Saturday's La Liga action sees Alavés hosting Atlético in Vitoria-Gasteiz. The teams have vastly different goals as the season draws to a close. While the "Glorious" are fighting tooth and nail to retain their top-flight status, the "Colchoneros" still hold a mathematical chance of clinching the championship. Diego Simeone's squad's inconsistent performances in recent matches have influenced the bookmakers' odds: a home win stands at 3.8, while an away victory is priced at 2.13.
Head-to-Head
📊 Historically, Atlético have felt at ease in their La Liga clashes with Alavés, boasting 15 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses. However, their last victory at the Mendizorrotza dates back to the 2020/21 season when a last-minute goal by Luis Suárez secured a hard-fought 2-1 win for the capital club. Earlier this season, the Wanda Metropolitano witnessed another success for Atlético with the same scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics Alaves - Atletico Madrid
Deportivo Alaves Team Overview
🔵 Alaves have managed to climb out of the relegation zone ahead of La Liga's Matchday 34. Currently, "The Glorious" are two points clear of Las Palmas, who sit in 18th place. Notably, in recent matches, Eduardo Coudet has placed a significant emphasis on defense, often at the expense of attacking flair. In each of their last five games, Alaves have scored no more than one goal. Remarkably, in their recent clash against Real Sociedad (1-0), "The Glorious" didn't allow a single shot on target.
Match Results: Deportivo Alaves
Atletico Madrid Team Overview
🔴 Atletico's dismal performances in March have all but dashed their title hopes this season. Although they still have a mathematical chance, the Rojiblancos are unlikely to overcome a 10-point deficit with just five matches remaining. Their recent 3-0 victory over Rayo Vallecano once again highlighted that their strength lies in playing on the counter. Despite having less possession (42% compared to 58%), Atletico consistently created dangerous opportunities (2.53 xG against 0.58 xG). It's worth noting their excellent defensive work, conceding just 0.82 goals per game, the second-best record in the league.
Match Results: Atletico Madrid
Latest news
Deportivo Alaves
📣 Ahead of Matchday 34 in La Liga, Alavés newcomer Facundo Garcés shared a few thoughts in a brief interview. The 25-year-old Argentine, who spent about a year away from football, has fulfilled his dream of debuting in the Spanish top flight. Reflecting on the 1-0 victory over Real Sociedad in the previous round, he said: "Honestly, I'm very happy. We executed perfectly what we had been working on in training. We managed the ball well and took full advantage of our scoring opportunity." When asked about the support he can provide in the final stretch of the season, Garcés stated: "I'm here to offer the team security, trust, leadership-whether it involves me directly or not. I always aim for collective goals."
❌ Alavés are dealing with an injury to Moroccan defender Abdel Abqar. A hamstring injury raises significant doubts about his prospects for the remainder of the season.
Atletico Madrid
📣 Last matchday was a landmark for Antoine Griezmann, as he registered a goal contribution for the first time in 11 games. The French forward's dip in form has been affecting the entire team's performance. Here's what Atlético's head coach Diego Simeone had to say on the matter: "Antoine came off the bench and did what the team needed. He was an important player on the field, just like all his teammates. He needs time and peace of mind. I have no doubt that Antoine will regain his top form. I don't know when that will happen-whether it's now, at the Club World Cup, or next season."
📝 One intriguing transfer rumor in recent days is Atlético's genuine interest in Cristian Romero. The club's management believes the Argentine can bolster their defensive line and bring more stability. Acquiring the 27-year-old could cost the "Colchoneros" around €50 million.
✅ Currently, Atlético have no injury concerns.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
Matches involving Alaves this season have been marked by a significant number of yellow cards, averaging around 5.8 per game. A similar trend follows their head-to-head encounters with Atletico Madrid, averaging about 5.5 bookings per match. Notably, in 5 of their last 6 meetings, there have been at least 5 yellow cards. We suggest betting on over 4.5 total yellow cards.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
In Alaves' last 5 matches, no more than 2 goals have been scored. Their primary focus is to maintain a solid defense as they approach the season's end. Considering Atletico's exemplary defensive record this campaign, conceding just 0.8 goals per match, we recommend betting on under 2.5 total goals.
🚩 Corner Kick Prediction
Atletico Madrid have shown a significant edge in the number of corners during their head-to-head clashes, averaging 5.7 compared to Alaves' 3.4. This season, Diego Simeone's side have allowed the fewest corners per game, at just 3.9. In comparison, Alaves concede an average of 4.4 corners. A sensible bet is that Atletico will not lose the corner count.
Editor's Prediction
The game promises to be intense given Alaves' current standings and Atletico's ambition to solidify their place among the league leaders. While the hosts are fighting hard for every point, the quality of the visitors' squad gives them a strong chance of achieving a positive result on the road. Our main bet is Atletico Madrid to win with a (0) handicap.No comments
Betting Tips: Deportivo Alaves - Atletico Madrid
in 15 of last 17 games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).
in 17 of last 18 games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).in 7 of last 8 home games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).in last 11 home games (La Liga).in 8 of last 9 games (La Liga).
in 8 of last 9 games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).in 9 of last 10 away games.in 8 of last 9 Atletico Madrid away games.in 6 of last 7 Atletico Madrid games (La Liga).
in 9 of last 10 Juan Martinez Munuera games.in 6 of last 7 Juan Martinez Munuera games (in the La Liga).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
