Atletico Madrid vs Alaves Prediction 18 January 2026
🔊 Can the "Glorious" truly challenge Diego Simeone's squad? In the upcoming La Liga fixture, Atletico Madrid will host Alaves at the Wanda Metropolitano. The teams sit at opposite ends of the league table and are pursuing different objectives - while Los Colchoneros are still vying for the championship, the Bean Destroyers are focused on maintaining their top-flight status in Spanish football. The home-field advantage and current form of both teams heavily influence the bookmakers' odds, with an eightfold advantage favoring the capital club.
Head-to-Head
📊 In the first half of the current season, the teams couldn't determine a winner at "Mendizorrotza" as the match ended 1-1. Let's consider the outcomes over the last 10 head-to-head encounters: Atletico have claimed victory 6 times, there have been 2 draws, and Alaves have won twice. Additionally, let's note the average scoring rate for each side over this period: 1.4 goals for the capital club compared to 0.9 for Alaves. Interestingly, Alaves have failed to secure a win in their last 9 visits to "Wanda Metropolitano." The last time the "Bean Destroyers" tasted away success was during the 2002/03 La Liga campaign with a 1-0 victory.
Head-to-head statistics Atletico Madrid - Alaves
Atletico Madrid Team Overview
🔴 Diego Simeone's squad continues to put up a fight in the title race. After 19 matches, Los Colchoneros have accumulated 38 points, placing them fourth in the standings. However, their gap from the top spot is gradually widening-currently at 11 points. Atletico's strongest asset remains their defense, conceding just 0.89 goals per game (the best record in the league). They are particularly formidable at home, boasting eight wins and one draw in nine matches (second-best home record in the league). This coming Sunday, the players aim to lift the spirits of the local fans once again.
⚪ Just over a week ago, Atletico Madrid participated in the Spanish Super Cup. Unfortunately for their fans, they stumbled in the semifinals against Real Madrid (1-2). Nevertheless, Diego Simeone devised an effective tactical plan that managed to contain Los Blancos' attacking threat. A look at the expected goals ratio-2.29 to 1.2 in favor of Atletico-highlights their strategic approach. However, poor finishing was the main reason for their eventual defeat. Earlier this week, Atletico delighted their supporters with a victory over Deportivo (1-0) in the Copa del Rey Round of 16.
Match Results: Atletico Madrid
Deportivo Alaves Team Overview
🔵 Currently, the "Glorious" find themselves in 16th place in the La Liga standings, with a slim 2-point cushion above the relegation zone. Alavés's lack of scoring prowess this season is evident, as they average just 0.84 goals per game, ranking 18th in the league. On the road, the Vitoria-Gasteiz side has managed only one win in nine matches. In their last six away fixtures in La Liga, Eduardo Coudet's squad has suffered defeats each time, failing to score in four of those encounters. Whether the "Bean Destroyers" can hold their own at the Wanda Metropolitano remains a significant question.
⚪ Alavés have also made it to the quarter-finals of the Copa del Rey, having defeated Rayo Vallecano 2-0 this past Wednesday. In the first half of that match, both teams were cautious, with the "Glorious" opting for a deep defensive line. However, in the second half, Eduardo Coudet's team took control. A look at the expected goals ratio in the second half-1.87 to 0.44 in favor of the "Bean Destroyers"-tells the story. Yet, their La Liga campaign continues to struggle; in the last round, Alavés fell 3-1 away to Villarreal. Their inability to contain the attacking surge led to total domination by the "Yellow Submarine."
Match Results: Deportivo Alaves
Latest news
Atletico Madrid
📰 Recent days have brought some intriguing transfer news concerning Atletico Madrid. Firstly, it's been officially confirmed that Conor Gallagher is leaving the club. The Englishman was decent, but he never managed to become a key figure for Los Colchoneros. Tottenham Hotspur have completed the deal for £35 million. Secondly, Giacomo Raspadori has left the capital side after just six months. Diego Simeone commented on the signing of new players: "Signings? We won't discuss what we've talked about with Mateu, Carlos, and Miguel. The club is working in line with its interests. Any player who joins us will help offset those who leave."
❌ Atletico Madrid's injury list includes French defender Clément Lenglet, who is sidelined with a knee injury.
Deportivo Alaves
📰 Alavés are desperately lacking mental leaders. The team has repeatedly found itself in situations where emotions and proper motivation were missing. Carlos Vicente and Lucas Boyé are the club's top scorers in the current La Liga campaign, each netting 4 goals. Eduardo Coudet's tactical approach is built around a 4-4-2 formation, with the "Babazorros" focusing on vertical ball progression, particularly relying on set pieces. The forward duo in this setup is theoretically complementary-one excels in link-up play, while the other is adept at converting chances into goals. In practice, however, there is still work to be done.
❌ Alavés' coaching staff cannot count on Facundo Garcés due to suspension.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Atlético Madrid are known for their defensive prowess. Meanwhile, Alavés employ a pragmatic tactical approach, focusing on rare offensive forays. Our editorial team anticipates a slow-paced game with deep defensive setups from the "Glorious". Considering the statistical factors, a reasonable betting option would be total goals under 3.
🚩 Corner Prediction
This season, matches involving both teams have seen a significant number of corners: Atlético averaging 10.5 and Alavés 9.8. Notably, at least 11 corner kicks were recorded in 5 of Alavés' last 7 matches. Our editorial team foresees numerous counterattacking plays from both sides, leading to a high total of corners. Our pick is total corners over 9.5.
Editor's Prediction
Atletico Madrid are remarkably efficient at home, having dropped points just once in the current La Liga campaign at the Wanda Metropolitano. Meanwhile, their opponents struggle significantly on the road, making any away goal a real achievement for them. The head-to-head history also strongly favors Diego Simeone's side. We predict a final score of 2-0, with the key bet being Atletico to win with a -1 handicap.
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Betting Tips: Atletico Madrid - Deportivo Alaves
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