Bayern vs Leipzig Prediction 11 February 2026
🔊 On Wednesday, Bayern Munich face a significant challenge in their quest for their first DFB-Pokal title since the 2019/20 season as they go up against two-time champions Leipzig. But do the visitors stand even the slightest chance, considering their league performances against Bayern? There's always a chance, especially with the unpredictable nature of cup matches where anything can happen. However, our editorial team remains steadfast in delivering their prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 The reigning Bundesliga champions delivered a crushing 6-0 victory in the first round, and in January at the Red Bull Arena, Bayern, after conceding first, bounced back to thrash Leipzig 5-1. All five of Munich's goals came in the second half.
Head-to-head statistics Bayern - Leipzig
Bayern Munich Team Overview
🏆 Harry Kane's five goals have been instrumental in Bayern overcoming several challenging hurdles on their path to the quarter-finals. The Englishman found the net twice against Wehen from the Third League, including a last-minute winner (3-2), and then bagged a brace against Cologne (4-1) in the round of 32. In the round of 16, he scored again in an away match against Union Berlin (3-2), where the 20-time German Cup winners secured their place in the quarter-finals.
🔴 In their latest Bundesliga fixture, Bayern secured a commanding home victory over Hoffenheim, aided by an early red card for the opposition (5-1). A hat-trick from Luis Díaz and another double from Kane helped the Bavarians bounce back after dropping points in their previous two matches. After 21 rounds, they maintain a six-point lead over Borussia Dortmund.
Match Results: Bayern Munich
Leipzig Team Overview
🏆 In the first round, Leipzig had to come from behind twice against Sandhausen, a fourth division side, to eventually secure a 4-2 victory. In the second round, Energie Cottbus from the third division put up less of a fight and were convincingly beaten 4-1. In the Round of 16 at the Red Bull Arena, Ole Werner's squad came back from an early deficit to knock out Magdeburg from the second Bundesliga with a 3-1 win.
⚪ In Matchday 21, the Red Bulls returned to winning ways by defeating Cologne 2-1 at the RheinEnergieStadion. Christoph Baumgartner was the standout performer, netting a brace. By the end of the weekend, Leipzig were back in the Champions League spots, level on points with Stuttgart but with a superior goal difference. The club now trails third-placed Hoffenheim by three points.
Match Results: Leipzig
Latest news
Bayern Munich
🎙 Bayern's head coach Vincent Kompany shared his thoughts on the victory over Hoffenheim: "We respect Hoffenheim and knew they are a solid team, so this result is positive for us. We didn't expect anything more from this match and we're where we need to be. Now, all our focus shifts to Leipzig. We're always hungry to attack, but of course, we need to find the right balance."
💊 It's a rare occurrence in football, but all of Munich's players are fit and available.
Leipzig
🎙 Ole Werner on the victory in Cologne: "We started the game well. Overall, I found our structure to be solid. We created chances and took the lead through a set piece. The second half turned into a real battle. It was crucial to get back into the game immediately after setbacks. I'm pleased we secured three points because that's what's most important right now. We are a team in development, and we still need to work on turning tight matches in our favor more often. Achieving that gives us momentum for future challenges."
❌ Castello Lukeba, Assan Ouedraogo, Viggo Gebel, and Suleman Sani will miss the game due to injuries.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
Daniel Siebert will officiate the match at the Allianz Arena, and on average, he has shown 3.9 yellow cards over his last 10 matches. Bayern average 1.9 yellow cards per game, while Leipzig average 1.4. We're opting for over 2.5 yellow cards, which has occurred in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters between these teams.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Despite how Bayern have been performing against Leipzig this season, we are taking a chance on both teams to score (yes). This is because Kompany's side has not been defensively solid: Bayern have both scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches.
🚩 Corner Prediction
The hosts average 6.4 corners per game in the Bundesliga, while the visitors average 5.3. We are selecting Bayern's individual total of over 5.5 corners, a bet that has come through in 9 of the club's last 10 matches.
Editorial Prediction
Whenever a German club visits the Allianz Arena, it's always challenging to gauge the opponents' chances and what it would take for them to leave Munich with even a draw. However, a stalemate isn't possible in this match, so Leipzig will eventually need to adopt a more open approach. Ole Werner surely understands that his team won't keep a clean sheet here; the real question is how much they can create and score.
It’s unlikely they’ll match the firepower of Kompany's side, so we're backing Bayern to win with a -1.5 handicap. The Munich side can only trip themselves up, but we anticipate a 3-1 victory for them.
No comments
Betting Tips: Bayern Munich - Leipzig
in last 6 games against Leipzig.
in 18 of last 20 home games.in last 6 games against Leipzig.in 20 of last 21 home games.in 13 of last 14 games.in 13 of last 14 games against Leipzig.in last 34 games.in last 23 home games.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
