Leipzig vs Bayern Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 3 May 2025

    🔊 Can the Munich side clinch the championship this round without Harry Kane? The league leaders arrive at the Red Bull Arena with significant absences, yet they remain strong favorites for the upcoming match. Facing Vincent Kompany's men is a struggling Leipzig team, desperate to secure a Champions League spot as the season draws to a close.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In the first round of the current campaign at the Allianz Arena, Bayern demolished Leipzig (5-1). It's worth noting the high scoring nature of these encounters - at least three goals have been netted in 8 of the last 9 matches. Additionally, RB Leipzig have managed to avoid defeat in their last two home games against the Munich side (1-1, 2-2).

    Head-to-head statistics Leipzig - Bayern

    12%
    3 Wins
    28%
    7 Draws
    60%
    15 Wins
    Total games
    25
    Avg. total goals
    3.88
    Both teams scored
    64%
    1.32
    Average total
    2.56
    3.36
    Corners
    6.36
    1.72
    Yellow cards
    2.32
    11.48
    Fouls
    10.32
    Last matches
    17.10.26
    Bundesliga
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    RB Leipzig
    RB Leipzig
    4.18
    0.96
    11
    3
    15
    6
    1
    0
    6
    1
    3
    0
    3
    1
    4.18
    0.96
    11
    3
    15
    6
    1
    0
    11.02.26
    DFB Pokal
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    RB Leipzig
    RB Leipzig
    3
    0.58
    4
    6
    11
    14
    3
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    3
    0.58
    4
    6
    11
    14
    3
    4
    17.01.26
    Bundesliga
    RB Leipzig
    RB Leipzig
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    2.23
    3.95
    5
    9
    7
    6
    1
    0
    1
    5
    1
    0
    0
    5
    2.23
    3.95
    5
    9
    7
    6
    1
    0
    22.08.25
    Bundesliga
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    RB Leipzig
    RB Leipzig
    1.61
    0.52
    5
    5
    13
    13
    4
    1
    6
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0
    1.61
    0.52
    5
    5
    13
    13
    4
    1
    03.05.25
    Bundesliga
    RB Leipzig
    RB Leipzig
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    1.75
    1.97
    2
    7
    9
    6
    3
    1
    3
    3
    2
    0
    1
    3
    1.75
    1.97
    2
    7
    9
    6
    3
    1
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    RB Leipzig Team Overview

    ⚪ Unlike their opponents, the "Red Bulls" are not having the best of times. In the last round, they suffered a heavy defeat against Eintracht (0-4). Leipzig sit in fifth place, just a couple of points away from the Champions League spots, but a loss could see them drop to 7th or 8th. After facing Bayern, they still have an away game against Werder and a home match against Stuttgart.

    🔝 It's worth noting that team veteran Péter Gulácsi ranks as the third goalkeeper in the current Bundesliga season for the number of saves made (98).

    Match Results: RB Leipzig

    Last matches
    07.11.26
    Bundesliga
    RB Leipzig
    RB Leipzig
    Augsburg
    Augsburg
    2.62
    1.3
    2
    2
    6
    7
    1
    2
    5
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    2.62
    1.3
    2
    2
    6
    7
    1
    2
    W
    04.11.26
    UEFA Champions League
    RB Leipzig
    RB Leipzig
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    1.1
    2.36
    5
    3
    20
    7
    4
    2
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    2
    1.1
    2.36
    5
    3
    20
    7
    4
    2
    L
    31.10.26
    Bundesliga
    Schalke 04
    Schalke 04
    RB Leipzig
    RB Leipzig
    0.24
    1.46
    3
    7
    10
    8
    2
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0.24
    1.46
    3
    7
    10
    8
    2
    0
    W
    27.10.26
    DFB Pokal
    RW Essen
    RW Essen
    RB Leipzig
    RB Leipzig
    1
    0.77
    1.98
    5
    7
    15
    10
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    0.77
    1.98
    5
    7
    15
    10
    2
    3
    W
    24.10.26
    Bundesliga
    RB Leipzig
    RB Leipzig
    Elversberg
    Elversberg
    2.54
    0.78
    4
    6
    10
    18
    1
    1
    4
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    2.54
    0.78
    4
    6
    10
    18
    1
    1
    W
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    Bayern Munich Team Overview

    🔴 Vincent Kompany's team is on the verge of clinching the trophy. With a commanding 3-0 home victory over Mainz, they can seal the championship in the upcoming round. Despite not having a flawless spring campaign, Bayern have benefited from Bayer's simultaneous slip-ups, which have prevented any serious competition.

    📌 The match against Mainz marked Thomas Müller's 500th appearance in the Bundesliga. Meanwhile, another assist from Michael Olise has solidified his lead in the tournament's assist rankings. The Frenchman now boasts 14 assists.

    Match Results: Bayern Munich

    Last matches
    07.11.26
    Bundesliga
    Mainz 05
    Mainz 05
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    0.84
    2.85
    7
    8
    8
    8
    0
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0.84
    2.85
    7
    8
    8
    8
    0
    1
    W
    03.11.26
    UEFA Champions League
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    0.71
    2.14
    4
    4
    13
    3
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.71
    2.14
    4
    4
    13
    3
    1
    2
    W
    31.10.26
    Bundesliga
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Borussia Dortmund
    Borussia Dortmund
    3.31
    0.73
    5
    2
    11
    6
    2
    1
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    3.31
    0.73
    5
    2
    11
    6
    2
    1
    D
    28.10.26
    DFB Pokal
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Magdeburg
    Magdeburg
    3.86
    0.93
    6
    0
    7
    6
    2
    3
    6
    1
    2
    1
    4
    0
    3.86
    0.93
    6
    0
    7
    6
    2
    3
    W
    25.10.26
    Bundesliga
    Freiburg
    Freiburg
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    1.25
    1.92
    5
    6
    9
    11
    3
    1
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1.25
    1.92
    5
    6
    9
    11
    3
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Latest news

    RB Leipzig

    📝 It's still uncertain who will take the helm next season, as Zsolt Löw is currently serving as interim manager and is likely to step down at the end of the season. Recently, names like Oliver Glasner (Crystal Palace), Thierry Henry (currently unattached), and Cesc Fabregas (Como) have been discussed, though Fabregas has already turned down the offer.

    ❌ The upcoming match will see El Chadaille Bitshiabu (red card), Willi Orban (muscle injury), and Xaver Schlager (hip) sidelined. Péter Gulácsi (concussion) and Assan Ouedraogo (knee) are doubtful. Defender Benjamin Henrichs is out for the rest of the season with an Achilles injury.

    Bayern Munich

    📣 Harry Kane has picked up his fifth yellow card of the season, which means he'll miss the match against Leipzig. Here's how the striker reacted to missing a potentially title-deciding game: "It's just my style. But no worries, I'll be celebrating harder than anyone else."

    📢 Vincent Kompany on Kane's suspension: "Of course, it's not ideal, but we have 34 matches in a season. Players like Musiala, Davies, Upamecano, and Ito, who also won't be able to play, will still celebrate the title when it's won. For Harry, it doesn't matter much and it doesn't take away from what he's contributed to Bayern this season."

    ❌ Harry Kane will not feature against Leipzig. It's uncertain whether defender Dayot Upamecano will participate in the game. Hiroki Ito, Jamal Musiala, and Alphonso Davies are definitely out for the rest of the season. The return date for Manuel Neuer remains unknown.

    🚩 Corner Kicks Prediction

    In their last seven matches, the Munich side have not delivered more than six corner kicks. Despite playing away and missing several key players, they remain the favorites. However, we don't expect them to dominate set pieces. Therefore, we suggest betting on Bayern's individual total corners under 6.5.

    ⚽️ Goals Prediction

    With the Bundesliga's top scorer absent and considering that the current Leipzig team will find it challenging to create chances against the league's best defense (Bayern have conceded the fewest goals - 29), we don't anticipate a goal-fest. Thus, we recommend a bet with decent odds - total goals under 4.

    Editor's Prediction

    Leipzig at home often pose a challenge for Bayern Munich. While the "Bulls" might not be in peak form currently, Bayern are dealing with a slew of injuries as well. Thus, we suggest placing a bet on the hosts to win with a +1.5 handicap. This wager has been successful for Leipzig in 7 of their last 8 Bundesliga home encounters against Bayern Munich.

    RB Leipzig Handicap (+1,5)
    Odds-204
    Published: 02/05/2025, 10:53

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    Betting Tips: RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich

    Bayern Munich have drawn in the 1st half:
    bayern-munich-1in 6 of last 7 away games.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +180
    RB Leipzig have not lost:
    rb-leipzig-1in 10 of last 11 home games.
    rb-leipzig-1in 8 of last 9 home games (Bundesliga).
    RB Leipzig will not lose
    Everygame
    +113
    RB Leipzig have not won:
    rb-leipzig-1bayern-munich-1in 12 of last 13 games against Bayern Munich (Bundesliga).
    rb-leipzig-1bayern-munich-1in last 8 home games against Bayern Munich.
    rb-leipzig-1bayern-munich-1in last 6 home games against Bayern Munich (Bundesliga).
    Bayern Munich have not lost:
    bayern-munich-1in 16 of last 17 games (Bundesliga).
    bayern-munich-1in 14 of last 15 away games (Bundesliga).
    bayern-munich-1in last 9 away games.
    bayern-munich-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    Bayern Munich will not lose
    Everygame
    -417
    RB Leipzig have conceded:
    rb-leipzig-1bayern-munich-1in 10 of last 11 games against Bayern Munich.
    rb-leipzig-1bayern-munich-1in last 9 games against Bayern Munich (Bundesliga).
    rb-leipzig-1bayern-munich-1in 7 of last 8 home games against Bayern Munich (Bundesliga).
    Bayern Munich have scored:
    bayern-munich-1in 32 of last 33 games (Bundesliga).
    bayern-munich-1in 15 of last 16 away games (Bundesliga).
    bayern-munich-1in last 14 games.
    bayern-munich-1in last 6 away games.
    Bayern Munich will score goal
    -1667
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    4 - Losses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 4
    Losses - 0
    10 matches
    Scored - 24
    Conceded - 18
    +6
    +22
    35 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    6
    0
    Draws
    4
    4
    Losses
    0
    Goal difference
    24
    Scored
    35
    18
    Conceded
    13
    4.2
    Average total per match
    4.8
    2.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    3.5
    1.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    5
    Both teams scored
    8
    38'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    26'
    View all stats