Brisbane vs Well. Phoenix Prediction 3 January 2026
🔊 The upcoming Round 11 clash between Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix promises to be action-packed. One team is fighting for a spot at the top of the table, while the other is looking to climb out of the lower half. Brisbane Roar have shown consistency with 5 wins in their last 10 matches, whereas Wellington Phoenix have been inconsistent with just three victories over the same period. It will be interesting to see if the visitors can improve their away form. Both teams favor an attacking style of play, which adds intrigue ahead of the encounter.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 26 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Wellington Phoenix):
- ball possession percentage: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 9 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix:
- played 43 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 16, for the away team - 14, draws - 13;
- number of goals - 56 against 60;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.12, in the 2nd half - 1.58;
- average total goals in the match - 2.7.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Brisbane Roar Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the A-League tournament (home team - Central Coast Mariners, away team - Brisbane Roar). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here's the game statistics (Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners):
- ball possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 1.
Brisbane Roar are showcasing impressive form this season, currently sitting third in the standings. Over their last five matches, they have secured three wins, suffered one loss, and managed a draw, indicating the team's strong performance. The Roar are renowned for their solid defense, conceding just 0.6 goals per game on average, making them one of the league's top defensive units. However, they often struggle with scoring efficiency, netting fewer than 1.5 goals in nearly all their head-to-head encounters with Wellington.
Match Results: Brisbane Roar
Wellington Phoenix Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the A-League tournament (home team - Melbourne Victory, away - Wellington Phoenix). The match concluded with a scoreline of 5:1.
Here are the match stats (Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory):
- ball possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 6.
Wellington Phoenix have faced challenges throughout the season and currently sit in tenth place on the table. The Phoenix exhibit an aggressive style of play, with an average of 1.4 goals per match-more than many teams below them. However, their issues arise in defense, as they concede two goals every other match! Their most recent head-to-head resulted in a 2-1 victory over Brisbane.
Match Results: Wellington Phoenix
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 43;
- home team wins - 16, away team wins - 14, draws - 13.
Statistics: Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- win percentage: 50% vs 30%;
- losses: 2 vs 5;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 5;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
- Wellington Phoenix won with a +1.5 handicap in last 16 away games against Brisbane Roar (A-League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.3, the guests - 1.4;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.7;
- both teams scored: overall - 26; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix
- average total in the tournament: 1.7 vs 3.4;
- average total goals scored: 1.1 vs 1.4;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.6 vs 0.6;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.8;
- Brisbane Roar: average total at home in the tournament - 1.25;
- Wellington Phoenix: average total away in the tournament - 1.25;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.25) vs 1.4 (away - 1.25).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 5 Wellington Phoenix games (A-League).
Prediction on corners
Brisbane Roar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.4; at home field - 5.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; at home field - 5.75.
Wellington Phoenix: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.3, away - 3.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; away - 3.5.
- Brisbane Roar have taken under 6.5 corners in 10 of last 11 home games against Wellington Phoenix (A-League).
- Brisbane Roar have taken under 6.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games against Wellington Phoenix.
- Brisbane Roar have taken under 6.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games against Wellington Phoenix (A-League).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.76 (1.88 for home team and 1.88 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.79 (1.84 for home team and 1.95 for away team).
Brisbane Roar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.6; at home - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; at home - 4.
Wellington Phoenix: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.1, away - 1.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.1; away - 1.5.
- Over 2.5 yellow cards in last 9 Brisbane Roar games against Wellington Phoenix.
- Over 2.5 yellow cards in last 8 Brisbane Roar games against Wellington Phoenix (A-League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 43;
- both teams scored all-time - 26 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
Statistics: Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix
- number of matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for Brisbane Roar at home - 0 (0%);
- number of BTTS matches for Wellington Phoenix away - 4 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 9;
- BTTS matches for Brisbane Roar at home - 0 (0%);
- BTTS matches for Wellington Phoenix away - 4 (100%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (8/61, 13.1%);
- Brisbane Roar at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (2/4, 50%);
- Wellington Phoenix away most often play: 1:1 , 2:2 , 3:1 , 5:1 (1/4, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 11.49% (odds 6.25)
1:1 - 11.34% (odds 6.25)
2:0 - 10.47% (odds 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Analyzing the recent performances of both teams and considering the head-to-head statistics, we can anticipate a lively match with plenty of scoring opportunities for both sides-especially given the visitors' shaky defense. In this context, betting on over 2.5 goals seems like a reasonable choice. We predict the match will end 2-1 in favor of the hosts.
Betting Tips: Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix
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Other predictions
