Greece vs Iceland Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 16 November 2026
🔊 Greece are one match away from their first U21 Euros since 2002. In Reykjavík on Thursday, Iceland took a late lead, but Greece rescued a draw through a stoppage-time own goal. Now it all comes down to Athens, where Greece have won seven of their last eight home qualifiers. Will their strong home record be enough against Iceland, who have scored in every match since last autumn?
Head-to-Head
Their most recent meeting, in European Championship qualifying, ended 1-1. Despite Greece U21 having 78% possession, Iceland U21 had more shots (14-9) and corners (7-2).
Greece are unbeaten in their three head-to-head meetings, with one win and two draws, both away from home.
Head-to-head statistics Greece - Iceland
Greece Team Overview
Greece came through the group with barely a slip: 27 points from a possible 30 and 29 goals scored. Their only defeat came against Germany. The Germans won 2-0 in Athens in March and finished top on level points. Greece’s goals were spread throughout the squad: their leading scorer, Georgios Koutsias, had just five. The main question ahead of the return leg concerns the goalkeeper. Dimitrios Monastirlis, who started the first match in goal, went off injured. His replacement, Nikolaos Botis, saved a penalty, and Greece kept their hopes of reaching the Euros alive.
Match Results: Greece
Iceland U21 Team Overview
Iceland scored in both matches against France, who won Group C unbeaten. Iceland scored 22 goals in the group stage, seven of them by Malmö’s Daníel Guðjónsen. The Icelanders have been solid away from home: they lost just one of their five away qualifiers, against France. Defensively, the picture is less encouraging: they conceded 11 goals, almost twice as many as Greece.
Match Results: Iceland U21
Prediction for the 1st half
Greece U21 tend to take an early lead at home: they have scored before half-time in nine of their last ten home matches. We expect the hosts to score in the first half against Iceland U21 too. The bet is Greece U21 first-half team total goals over 0.5 at 1.79*.
Total Goals Prediction
Greece U21 rarely fail to score: they have found the net in 13 of their last 14 matches. At home, they have scored 32 goals in their last ten games. Iceland U21 do not concede many away from home, and that is the main risk. But given the hosts’ attacking record, we expect at least two goals. The bet is Greece U21 Team Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 1.93*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm’s calculations, the top three scorelines are 1:1 (10.97%), 1:0 (9.88%) and 2:1 (7.71%). Of these, 1:1 is the most likely result.
*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Iceland have scored in eight consecutive qualifying matches. Both teams scored in seven of their last eight games. The hosts have been just as consistent: Greece have scored in 13 of their last 14 qualifiers, including nine of their last 10 at home. Both teams scored in Reykjavik, and we expect goals at both ends in Athens too. The pick is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Greece - Iceland U21
in 7 of last 8 home games (U21 Euro Qualification).
in 9 of last 10 games (U21 Euro Qualification).in 10 of last 11 games (U21 Euro Qualification).in 9 of last 10 home games (U21 Euro Qualification).in 11 of last 12 Greece home games (U21 Euro Qualification).in 7 of last 8 Greece games (U21 Euro Qualification).in 15 of last 16 Iceland U21 games (U21 Euro Qualification).in 6 of last 7 Iceland U21 away games (U21 Euro Qualification).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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