New Mexico United vs Sacramento Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 16 November 2026
📢 New Mexico United and Sacramento Republic meet in the USL Championship semi-final. Both teams come into the game in excellent form: the hosts have won four of their last five matches, while the visitors have also won four over the same period and have not lost once. Both sides have solid defences and play a fairly balanced game. With little room for error, the upcoming clash promises to be tense.
Head-to-Head
New Mexico United had 72% possession but lost 2:3 at home to Sacramento Republic in their head-to-head meeting on 27 September 2026. Despite the teams having almost the same number of shots - 17:16 - the visitors had more shots on target: 7:6.
Sacramento Republic have won 9 of their 15 competitive meetings with New Mexico United; their opponents have 4 wins, while the other 2 matches ended in draws. Sacramento Republic also lead on goals scored, 23-14.
Head-to-head statistics New Mexico United - Sacramento
Four wins in five matches
New Mexico United's last USL Championship match on 8 November 2026 ended in a resounding 4-0 home win over Colorado Springs. They led 3-0 at half-time, although both teams had 18 shots; the hosts had 8 shots on target to the visitors' 3.
New Mexico United head into the semi-final in good form, having won four of their last five matches. They have been fairly prolific, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game over ten matches. Their defence has also been reliable, conceding just 1.1 goals per match. These figures show that New Mexico United have successfully combined attacking football with organised defending. They finished the regular season top of their conference and now hope to confirm their status as one of the leading contenders for the title.
Match Results: New Mexico United
Long unbeaten run
Sacramento Republic beat El Paso Locomotive 2-1 at home in their previous USL Championship match on 8 November 2026. With the score 1-1 at half-time, the hosts scored the winning goal in the second half despite having less possession - 40% to 60%.
Sacramento Republic are in excellent form and have not lost for some time, recording seven wins and three draws in their last ten matches. Over that stretch, they have averaged 1.6 goals scored and just 0.9 conceded per game, indicating a solid defence. They play particularly cautiously away from home, preferring to avoid unnecessary risks. Six of Sacramento’s last seven away matches have finished with under 2.5 goals. This discipline helps them regularly achieve positive results even against strong opponents.
Match Results: Sacramento Republic FC
Match Result Prediction
Sacramento Republic are unbeaten in 15 consecutive matches. They have lost only three away matches this season and drawn another eight on the road. However, New Mexico United have won 11 home matches this season, so this bet carries some risk. We pick Sacramento Republic to Win or Draw (X2) at odds of 1.42*.
Corners Prediction
Sacramento Republic have had fewer than 9.5 corners in six consecutive matches. Their away run adds to this: six of their last seven away matches had fewer than 8.5 corners. The input data contains no corner averages, so the basis for this pick is limited to those runs. We pick Total Corners - Under 9.5 at odds of 1.65*.
*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three scorelines are 1:1 (13.29%), 0:1 (9.12%) and 1:0 (8.46%). Of these, a 1:1 draw is the most likely.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both teams are in excellent form, so it is difficult to pick a clear favourite. At the same time, their reliable defending points towards a low-scoring game. Sacramento Republic's away performances are particularly telling: they prefer to play cautiously and rarely score more than one goal on the road. New Mexico United also have a solid defence and are unlikely to take unnecessary risks in such an important match. The editor's main prediction is Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic FC
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