Brighton vs Burnley Prediction 3 January 2026
🔊 Can Brighton break their Premier League slump? The Seagulls haven't tasted victory in six consecutive matches, alternating between losses and draws. However, the 20th round presents a golden opportunity to turn things around as Burnley visit the Amex. The Clarets have been winless even longer, stretching over 10 games. Which streak is more likely to end? Let's evaluate the odds for both teams in our editorial prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head history between these teams in the Premier League dates back to 2017, encompassing 12 matches. During this period, the most frequent outcome has been a draw, occurring seven times. Burnley hold a slight edge in victories, with three wins compared to two. In 11 out of the 12 games, the total goals did not exceed 3.5, and in eight of those, they didn't even reach 2.5.
Head-to-head statistics Brighton - Burnley
Brighton & Hove Albion Team Overview
Just six rounds ago, Brighton were sitting in the top six of the Premier League. However, since then, the Seagulls have only managed to secure three points through draws. The other three matches ended in defeats. As a result, Fabian Hurzeler's side has slipped to 14th place in the league.
In the 19th round, Brighton visited West Ham, who are languishing at the bottom of the table. The Seagulls enjoyed a significant territorial advantage (61% to 39%) and launched more frequent and dangerous attacks on the opponent's goal (16 shots with 3.12 xG compared to 10 shots with 1.8 xG). Yet, they were once again unable to claim all three points. The match ended in a draw (2-2).
Match Results: Brighton & Hove Albion
Burnley Team Overview
Burnley's position in the Premier League, unlike Brighton's, remains stable but on a negative note. The Clarets have been stuck in second-to-last place for nine consecutive rounds. This is due to a 10-match winless streak during which Scott Parker's side has only managed to secure two points.
In the 19th round of the Premier League, Burnley hosted Newcastle. The teams almost evenly shared possession (51% to 49% in favor of the visitors) and engaged in a true shootout with shots (20 to 15 with Newcastle having the edge). The Magpies' attempts were more effective (3.33 xG compared to 1.08 xG), leading them to a 3-1 victory.
Match Results: Burnley
Latest news
Brighton & Hove Albion
🎙 Brighton's management have stepped up their activity with the opening of the winter transfer window. According to insider Fabrizio Romano, the club has secured a deal to acquire Pascal Gross from Borussia Dortmund. The 34-year-old midfielder is set to undergo a medical examination within the next two days. Gross previously played for the Seagulls from 2017 to 2024, spending seven seasons in the Premier League. In the current Bundesliga campaign, he has made 11 appearances and featured three times in the Champions League.
❌ Brighton's squad has been plagued by injuries, with Stefanos Tsimas, Adam Webster, and Solly March sidelined for an extended period. Over the last two matches, the Seagulls have lost two more players: Mats Wieffer and Yankuba Minteh. Additionally, Carlos Baleba has departed to compete in the Africa Cup of Nations.
Burnley
🎙 Burnley's head coach remains optimistic even after the defeat to Newcastle. "The mentality, desire, and resilience we showed when trailing 2-0 early in the match are what pleased me because, despite the loss, there were many positives to take away. We withstood numerous adversities and challenges, didn't hide. We didn't disappear. We embraced the challenge and delivered a great performance against Newcastle," said Scott Parker.
❌ In just the last three matches, Burnley have lost four players to injuries: Zian Flemming, Joe Worrall, Maxime Esteve, and Josh Cullen. Since the start of the season, Jordan Beyer, Connor Roberts, and Zeki Amdouni have also been sidelined for the same reasons. To top it off, three more players have departed for the Africa Cup of Nations: Lyle Foster, Hannibal Mejbri, and Axel Tuanzebe.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for this match is Tim Robinson. Over his last 20 Premier League games, he averages 4.4 yellow cards per match. In the last five matches involving Brighton, this number has risen to 4.8. The Seagulls are directly contributing to these stats, having received at least two bookings in six consecutive league rounds. With the absence of team leader and key defensive midfielder Carlos Baleba, discipline issues are affecting other areas of the pitch. We anticipate this trend will continue. Our bet: Brighton over 1.5 total yellow cards.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Brighton have failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 out of their last 10 league matches. Burnley also struggle defensively, but the Clarets don't go down without a fight, scoring and conceding in eight consecutive Premier League games, including away fixtures. This pattern is also evident in four of the last five head-to-head meetings between these sides.
In addition to Carlos Baleba, Brighton's Mats Wieffer is sidelined with an injury. However, their leading scorer Danny Welbeck is fit and ready. Therefore, it's reasonable to expect that both teams will score (yes).
🚩 Corner Prediction
Fabian Hurzeler alternates between the 4-3-3 formation and Ruben Amorim's favored 3-4-3 setup, executing it as well as the Portuguese specialist. Burnley aim to play attractive, combination football. While it hasn't yielded results, they perform commendably in positional attacks, often finding themselves in the opponent's final third and earning a significant number of set-pieces. Interestingly, the Clarets average more corners away (4.11 over nine rounds) than at home. There's a strong likelihood that the bet on Burnley over 3.5 total corners will pay off.
Editor's Prediction
Both teams have been struggling with their form for quite some time now, making bookmakers' confidence in the favorite for the upcoming match rather surprising. Brighton are rated over four times higher than Burnley in the odds, but rest assured, the Clarets are more than capable of upsetting the Seagulls even at the Amex Stadium. History is on the visitors' side in Premier League head-to-heads, where they have come out on top more often (three wins to two). Additionally, the Lancashire side have scored in eight consecutive away league matches. Our prediction: Burnley will score a goal. Considering how frequently these teams have drawn in previous encounters (seven out of the last twelve), a high-scoring draw (1-1) seems like a fair outcome.
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Betting Tips: Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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