Ferro Carril vs Nacional Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 5 November 2026

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Key points

    🔊 Nacional Montevideo’s away form is worth watching ahead of their match against Ferro Carril. They are unbeaten in their last six matches on the road, which could prove decisive against hosts who have yet to win in their recent outings.

    The start of the story

    🔊 The teams have not met in a competitive match before.

    The attack is misfiring, and the defence is making mistakes.

    Ferro Carril’s latest Segunda match ended goalless: on 13 June 2026, they drew 0-0 away to Bella Vista. It was also 0-0 at half-time.

    Ferro Carril are in a difficult position. Their latest match ended in a draw, reflecting their ongoing struggles in front of goal. They are winless in their last ten games and have failed to score in any of them. That lack of attacking threat could prove costly against strong opposition, while an unreliable defence makes picking up points even harder.

    Match Results: Ferro Carril

    Last matches
    13.06.26
    Segunda Division
    Bella Vista
    Bella Vista
    Ferro Carril
    Ferro Carril
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    D
    Empty
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    Above-average scoring

    Nacional Montevideo won 2-1 away to Danubio in their latest Primera match (1 November 2026). Level at 1-1 at half-time, they went on to secure the win, edging their opponents in possession (57% to 43%) and shots on target (4 to 2).

    Nacional Montevideo are in excellent form, with three wins and just one defeat in their last five matches. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per game and conceded only 0.8, showing their strength at both ends of the pitch. They are also unbeaten in six straight away matches, giving them added confidence ahead of their meeting with Ferro Carril.

    Match Results: Club Nacional Montevideo

    Last matches
    01.11.26
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    1
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    4
    4
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    4
    4
    W
    28.10.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    1
    10
    10
    10
    3
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    10
    10
    10
    3
    1
    L
    25.10.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    6
    4
    8
    10
    4
    5
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    4
    8
    10
    4
    5
    L
    19.10.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    -
    -
    8
    11
    -
    -
    4
    3
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    8
    11
    -
    -
    4
    3
    W
    15.10.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1
    Rentistas
    Rentistas
    -
    -
    9
    3
    3
    5
    0
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    9
    3
    3
    5
    0
    4
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Nacional Montevideo have scored in the first half in five of their last six away matches, making a strong case for them to find the net before the break. With no separate first-half scoring data available, the pick rests on that six-match run: Nacional Montevideo over 0.5 first-half team goals at odds of 2.10*.

    Match Result Prediction

    Nacional Montevideo are unbeaten in six straight away matches, winning five of them. They have also avoided defeat on the road this season, although the sample size remains small. That form supports a bet on Nacional Montevideo to avoid defeat at odds of 1.50*.

    Total Goals Prediction

    Nacional Montevideo have scored in six consecutive away matches. They have averaged 1.5 goals per game in their recent away fixtures, compared with 1.4 per game across the season. That makes Nacional Montevideo over 0.5 team goals our pick at odds of 1.30*.

    High-Risk Bet

    Nacional Montevideo have won five of their last six away matches and are unbeaten in six straight games on the road. They also have an away win and no away defeats this season, although the sample size is still small. Nacional Montevideo to win at odds of 2.50* is a bolder pick than backing them to avoid defeat.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.*

    Safer Bet

    Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in 11 of Nacional Montevideo’s last 12 away matches. Across their recent away games, Nacional Montevideo have averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.25 conceded per match. That run supports a bet on under 3.5 total goals at odds of 1.29*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm, the three most likely scorelines are 0-0 (32.22%), 0-1 (25.24%) and 1-0 (13.33%). A goalless draw tops the list, with 0-1 trailing by 6.98 percentage points and 1-0 ranking third.

    ⭐ Editor’s Prediction

    Given Nacional Montevideo’s strong away form, they look well placed to extend their unbeaten run on the road. Ferro Carril are struggling at both ends of the pitch, leaving them with a slim chance of victory. The main pick is Nacional Montevideo double chance.
    Club Nacional Montevideo will not lose
    Thunderpick
    Place a bet-222
    Published: 02/11/2026, 17:03
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Football expert
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    Statistics for November 2026

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    Betting Tips: Ferro Carril - Club Nacional Montevideo

    Club Nacional Montevideo have won:
    nacional-montevideoin 5 of last 6 away games.
    Club Nacional Montevideo to Win
    Thunderpick
    +170
    Club Nacional Montevideo have not lost:
    nacional-montevideoin last 6 away games.
    Club Nacional Montevideo will not lose
    Thunderpick
    -204
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    nacional-montevideoin 11 of last 12 Club Nacional Montevideo away games.
    nacional-montevideoin 7 of last 8 Club Nacional Montevideo games.
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Thunderpick
    -323
    Club Nacional Montevideo have scored:
    nacional-montevideoin last 6 away games.
    Club Nacional Montevideo will score goal
    -333
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    1 match
    0 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    0 - Losses
    Wins - 8
    Draws - 0
    Losses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 0
    Conceded - 0
    0
    +9
    17 - Scored
    8 - Conceded
    0
    Wins
    8
    1
    Draws
    0
    0
    Losses
    2
    Goal difference
    0
    Scored
    17
    0
    Conceded
    8
    0
    Average total per match
    2.5
    0
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    0
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.8
    0
    Both teams scored
    3
    View all stats