Guadalajara vs Atlante Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 1 November 2026
🔊 Heading into this match, Guadalajara are still in the title race, sitting just two points off first place. CF Atlante, in sixteenth position, have plenty to play for - they are six points adrift of the play-off places and risk falling out of contention altogether. Both sides come into the game with strong incentives, but recent statistics suggest caution from the hosts and difficulties in attack for the visitors.
Every match is an even contest
Guadalajara and CF Atlante met on 01 November 2017 in the Copa México. After a goalless first half, the visitors won 2-1, despite Guadalajara having more shots on target - 5-3 - and more corners - 7-3.
Across 21 official meetings between Guadalajara and CF Atlante, the record is perfectly level: eight wins apiece and five draws. At home, Guadalajara have won five of their ten matches, while CF Atlante have won just three of their ten away fixtures.
Head-to-head statistics Guadalajara - Atlante
Good form over the distance
Guadalajara 25 October 2026 beat Monterrey away in a Liga MX match, winning 1-0. Both sides had 11 shots each, but the visitors were more accurate, putting 7 on target to Monterrey's 5, despite losing out on possession (39% to 61%) and expected goals (1.15 to 1.82).
Guadalajara have had a strong season: seven wins and two defeats in fourteen matches, and over their last ten they have maintained good momentum - five wins and just one defeat. In their last five games, they have two wins, one draw and two losses. They are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game, and their defensive solidity is reflected in a low average of just 0.86 goals conceded. At home, Guadalajara are rarely involved in high-scoring matches: Total Goals - Under 3.5 has come in in nine of their last ten home games.
Match Results: Guadalajara Chivas
Attack misfiring, defence leaking
On 24 October 2026, CF Atlante lost at home to San Luis in a Liga MX match, 0-1, despite outshooting their opponents 21-7 and holding an expected goals advantage of 2.13 to 0.61. None of CF Atlante's nine shots on target found the net, with the visiting goalkeeper making nine saves.
CF Atlante are having a poor season, with three wins and six defeats from fourteen rounds. Over a longer stretch, they have lost five of their last ten matches, winning two and drawing three; their average scoring rate is very modest at just 0.9 goals per game, while their goals conceded rate is high at 1.5. There is instability in the short term as well: three defeats in their last five matches, with two wins and no draws.
Match Results: Atlante
Match Result Prediction
Guadalajara have gone unbeaten in 12 of their last 13 matches. This season they have won 4 of their 7 home games, while CF Atlante have lost 3 of their 7 away fixtures. That said, Guadalajara have also lost twice at home, so the unbeaten run does not make a home win a certainty. We are backing a Guadalajara win at odds of 1.46*.
Total Goals Prediction
In 9 of Guadalajara's last 10 home matches, there have been fewer than 3.5 goals. CF Atlante have had five consecutive away matches finish with fewer than 2.5 goals. Over their last 10 home matches, Guadalajara have averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded, while CF Atlante over their last 10 away matches have averaged 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded. The bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.48*.
Corners Prediction
Guadalajara have had more than 5.5 corners in six consecutive matches. This trend relates directly to their individual corner total, though there are no average corner figures in the available data, so the basis is limited to that one run. We're going with Guadalajara Team Corners - Over 5.5 at 1.46*.
High-Risk Bet
CF Atlante's last five away matches have all finished with under 2.5 goals. In 9 of Guadalajara's last 10 home matches there were fewer than 3.5 goals, though that trend applies to a higher line. In addition, 8 of Guadalajara's last 9 matches have seen over 1.5 goals, and across their last 10 home matches the two teams have combined for an average of 3 goals per game - which limits confidence in the stricter low-scoring option. The riskier selection is Total Goals - Under 2.5 at odds of 2.31. *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*
Safer Bet
CF Atlante scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 away matches. Over their last 10 away games their average stands at 0.6 goals, while Guadalajara have conceded an average of 1 goal per game in their last 10 home matches. These figures support CF Atlante Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals at 1.28*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the probability distribution provided, the top three most likely scorelines are 1-0 (14.58%), 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (10.09%). The 1-0 result has the highest probability among these options. All three scorelines imply a Guadalajara win.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The data points to a consistent trend of low-scoring matches involving Guadalajara at home: Total Goals - Under 3.5 has come in in almost all of their recent home matches, supported by the hosts' defensive solidity and a run of below-par scoring (under 2.5 goals in consecutive matches). CF Atlante have rarely shown high attacking output even against less organised opponents, and their current run only underlines the limited resources they carry going forward. The editor's main prediction is Total Goals - Under 3.5.
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Betting Tips: Guadalajara Chivas - Atlante
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