Puebla vs Pumas Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 31 October 2026
🔊 Both Puebla and Pumas UNAM come into this match with plenty at stake in the table: both sides remain in contention for a play-off place, sitting just three or four points off eighth position. At the midpoint of the season, neither team can afford to drop points, which raises the intensity and increases the likelihood of an open game.
Difference in goals says it all
Puebla led 2-1 at half-time in their last head-to-head meeting on 14 February 2026, but Pumas UNAM won the Liga MX match 3-2. The shots were level at 17 apiece, though the winners held the advantage in expected goals: 2.28 to 1.28.
Pumas UNAM have won 21 of their 43 official meetings with Puebla, losing 10 and drawing 12. The goal difference also favours them - 73:49 - with the advantage particularly pronounced in second halves: 49 goals to 23.
Head-to-head statistics Puebla - Pumas
Form is inconsistent, but motivation is high
In their last Liga MX match, Puebla lost away to Atlas 3-4 ({25 October 2026}). The score was 1-1 at half-time before the two sides combined for five more goals, though their expected goals figures across the full match were close: 1.42 for Puebla and 1.52 for Atlas.
Puebla are going through a difficult spell: they have won just two of their last ten matches, losing five in that period. In their last five games they have managed one win and four defeats, which points to real struggles when it comes to picking up points in important matches. At home, Puebla have been consistently involved in both-ways scoring - six of their last seven home games have featured goals at both ends, though the scoring rate remains modest at an average of one goal per game. Their league position is forcing them to attack more: they are four points off the play-off places, and every point now matters if they are to keep their hopes alive.
Match Results: Puebla
Away from home, consistency has been lacking
In their most recent Liga MX match at home, Pumas UNAM drew 1-1 with Tigres UNAM (25 October 2026). They created more dangerous attacks - 61 to 38 - and posted an xG of 2.31 against their opponents' 1.14, but managed only one goal.
Pumas UNAM have also struggled on the road, going without a win in 7 of their last 8 away matches. Over their last ten matches, the visitors have two wins, four defeats and four draws, with averages that suggest a tendency towards open play - 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their league position is similar to their opponents': three points separate Pumas from a play-off place, which makes a more attacking approach justified right now. The visitors will be looking to create chances at the other end in pursuit of maximum points.
Match Results: Pumas UNAM
Prediction for the 1st half
Pumas UNAM have conceded in the first half in nine of their last ten away matches. That is a direct argument for Puebla scoring before the break, though no other first-half indicators are available in the data. We are going with Puebla 1st Half Team Total - Over 0.5 at odds of 2.03*.
Match Result Prediction
Puebla have failed to win at home in 9 of their last 10 matches. This season they have one win from six home games, while Pumas UNAM have won three of their seven away matches. On that basis, we're going with Double Chance - Pumas UNAM at 1.40*.
Total Goals Prediction
In eight consecutive away matches, Pumas UNAM have scored fewer than 3.5 goals, and seven of Puebla's last eight matches have finished with under 2.5 goals. Over their last ten home matches, Puebla have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game, which adds some uncertainty. We're going with Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.40*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Puebla have both scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 home matches. They have also conceded in nine consecutive home matches, while Pumas UNAM have conceded in 16 of their last 17 meetings. However, over their last ten away matches Pumas UNAM have averaged just 0.6 goals scored, so Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.60* carries notable uncertainty.
High-Risk Bet
Puebla have failed to win in nine of their last ten home matches, while Pumas UNAM have failed to win in seven of their last eight away matches. This season Puebla have drawn three of their six home games, but Pumas UNAM have only one draw in seven away matches, which limits the case for that outcome. The bolder option is the draw at 3.55*.
Safer Bet
Puebla have scored fewer than two goals in nine of their last ten home matches. Their average over those ten home games is 1.2 goals, and their home average for the season is 1.17. We're backing Puebla Team Total - Under 1.5 at 1.50*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12.35%), 0-1 (9.11%) and 1-2 (9.09%). A 1-1 draw comes out on top. The probabilities of the other two scorelines are close to each other.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams have high motivation, and there is a clear trend towards goals at both ends: Puebla regularly see both teams score in their home matches, while Pumas UNAM's defence is unstable, particularly away from home. The average scoring output of both sides supports the case for an open game going forward, with notable problems at the back - the pressure of the table is pushing both teams to attack. The main prediction is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Puebla - Pumas UNAM
in 7 of last 8 away games.
in 9 of last 10 home games (Liga MX).in last 6 games (Liga MX).in 6 of last 7 Puebla home games (Liga MX).in 16 of last 17 Pumas UNAM games.in last 10 Pumas UNAM away games.in last 9 Pumas UNAM games (Liga MX).in last 7 Pumas UNAM away games (Liga MX).in 16 of last 17 games.in last 10 away games.in last 9 games (Liga MX).in last 7 away games (Liga MX).Comparison of Teams Stats
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