Groningen vs Sparta Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 1 November 2026
📢 Groningen host Sparta Rotterdam with a notable gap between the two sides in terms of league position and current form. The hosts are holding a place in the upper half of the Eredivisie table and are pushing to close the gap on the Champions League places. They have been picking up points consistently at home, though their defensive record has not always been reliable. Sparta Rotterdam, by contrast, are close to the relegation zone and have been losing regularly. Away from home in particular they have been conceding heavily. Given where both sides sit in the table, this match carries real importance for each of them.
Head-to-Head
31 January 2026 Sparta Rotterdam beat Groningen 2-0 at home in the Eredivisie. The shots were level at 8-8, but Sparta Rotterdam were more accurate on target (5-2) and significantly outperformed their opponents in xG (1.63 vs 0.34).
Across 36 official meetings, both sides have scored exactly the same number of goals - 46 apiece. Sparta Rotterdam lead Groningen by just one win: 14 to 13, with nine draws.
Head-to-head statistics Groningen - Sparta
More than two goals per match and productive football at home
In their most recent Dutch Cup match on 29 October 2026, Groningen lost at home to Emmen 0-2, despite having 20 shots to their opponents' three and 73% possession. Seven of the home side's efforts were on target, but they couldn't find the net.
Groningen sit eighth in the table with 15 points, six points behind the Champions League places. In their last five matches, the hosts have won two and lost two, showing decent form, though consistency has been lacking. Their most notable characteristic remains their high scoring rate, particularly at home. In home matches they average more than 2 goals scored, and their overall average for the season exceeds 2.4 goals per game. Defensively they are considerably less reliable, conceding more than 2 goals as well. It is no surprise that Groningen's matches tend to be entertaining: in their last ten home games, Total Goals - Over 2.5 has come in almost every time.
Match Results: Groningen
Four defeats in ten matches and a weak defence
In their previous cup match on 28 October 2026, Sparta Rotterdam drew 2-2 with Fortuna Sittard at home, but Fortuna Sittard went through as the winners. Sparta Rotterdam had more possession (57%) and more shots (15-13), though they were edged out on shots on target, 4-5.
Sparta Rotterdam sit 14th in the table with nine points and are having to focus heavily on avoiding relegation from the Eredivisie. They have struggled for consistency, winning just two of their last ten matches, with four draws and four defeats. Over the last five matches the picture is even worse - one win, one draw and three losses. Their attack has been reasonably productive, averaging 1.9 goals per game, but the defence has been a persistent problem, conceding 2.5 per game, which has regularly cancelled out what they have done going forward.
Match Results: Sparta
Corners Prediction
Sparta Rotterdam served more than 3.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 away head-to-head matches against Groningen. They have also exceeded 2.5 corners in 10 consecutive matches, though that run relates to a lower line. The basis for the chosen threshold rests primarily on the head-to-head record. We're going with Sparta Rotterdam Team Corners - Over 3.5 at odds of 1.61*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Groningen have scored and conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches. Over their last 10 home games they average 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded; Sparta Rotterdam average 2 goals scored and 2.5 conceded in away matches. On top of that, Groningen have conceded in 11 of their last 12 head-to-head meetings. We're going with Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.46*.
Safer Bet
In 12 of Groningen's last 13 home matches there have been more than 2.5 goals, which supports the lower line as well. Over their last 10 home matches, Groningen average 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Sparta Rotterdam average 2 goals scored and 2.5 conceded in away matches. Our selection is Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 1.12*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the projected calculations, the three most likely scorelines are 2:1 (7.73%), 2:2 (7.57%) and 1:1 (6.8%). Our predicted score is 3:1.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Groningen are considered favourites for this match, which is down to their more consistent results and home advantage. The hosts regularly score at least two goals at home, though they also tend to make defensive errors fairly often. Sparta Rotterdam are capable of creating dangerous chances as well, but their weak defence frequently contributes to high-scoring away matches. The guests' recent run of fixtures also points in this direction, with their matches regularly finishing with at least three goals. The editor's main prediction is Total Goals - Over 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Groningen - Sparta
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