Excelsior vs Twente Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 1 November 2026
📢 Excelsior continue to be inconsistent in the Eredivisie, regularly dropping points and struggling defensively. Their matches have also been high-scoring: at least three goals have been scored in each of their last ten consecutive fixtures. Twente, by contrast, are producing more solid results and remain in contention for a Champions League place. The visitors carry a good attacking threat and score regularly away from home. The gap in current form between the two sides is clear, though Excelsior will look to use home advantage to put up a fight against the stronger opposition.
Head-to-Head
In their last Eredivisie meeting on 24 January 2026, Twente and Excelsior drew 0-0. Twente had 65% possession, had 14 shots to Excelsior's 8 and hit the woodwork twice, but couldn't find the net.
Twente have won 12 of their 24 official meetings with Excelsior, while Excelsior have won five; seven matches have ended in a draw. The goal difference also favours Twente - 38:22.
Head-to-head statistics Excelsior - Twente
Five consecutive home matches with goals at both ends
In their last match, 28 October 2026, Excelsior beat Maastricht away in the KNVB Cup - 3-0. Excelsior had fewer shots than their opponents (9 to 16), though both sides put six shots on target.
Excelsior sit in the bottom half of the table with 11 points and have been unable to find any consistency. They have won just three of their last ten matches, and in their previous five they managed only one win alongside three defeats and a draw. Their defence remains a significant problem, conceding an average of 1.9 goals per game. At home, Excelsior regularly play an open style, creating chances at one end but giving opponents opportunities at the other. Notably, both teams have scored in each of their last five home matches.
Match Results: Excelsior
Seven wins from ten matches and productive away days
Twente's most recent Eredivisie match was an away win over AZ Alkmaar on 25 October 2026, which they won 2-0. There were no goals before half-time; across the full match Twente had 16 shots to AZ's 13 and posted an xG of 2.39 against 1.06, despite finishing with ten men.
Twente sit in the upper reaches of the table with 20 points and are still in contention for a Champions League place, which they trail by just one point. The visitors are in good form, winning seven of their last ten matches with two draws and only one defeat. Their attack has been fairly effective, averaging 2.1 goals per game, while the defence looks even more solid, conceding just 0.9 per match. Particularly notable is Twente's output away from home: they scored at least twice in six of their previous seven away matches. However, they rarely manage more than two goals on the road - in eight of their last nine away matches they scored no more than two.
Match Results: Twente
Prediction for the 1st half
Excelsior have conceded in the first half in five consecutive matches. That is a straightforward argument for Twente scoring before the break. We are going with Twente Team Total 1st Half - Over 0.5 at 1.48*.
Total Goals Prediction
Ten consecutive Excelsior matches have seen more than 2.5 goals. At home, Excelsior average 1.25 goals scored and 2.5 conceded, while Twente have averaged 2.6 goals per game in their recent away matches. The counterargument is that the last 11 head-to-head meetings at Excelsior's ground have all gone under 3.5 goals. Nevertheless, we're going with Total Goals - Over 2.5 at 1.45*.
Corners Prediction
Twente have served more than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 away matches. The lower threshold - over 4.5 corners - has been cleared in 15 of their last 16 matches overall; these runs partially overlap and are not independent confirmations. For the bet on Twente Team Total Corners - Over 5.5 at 1.78*, the away run remains the primary basis.
Safer Bet
Excelsior have gone six matches without a win. Twente have avoided defeat in 8 of their 10 matches this season, including 4 of their 5 away games, while Excelsior have lost 3 of their 4 home matches. These figures support a bet on Double Chance - X2 at odds of 1.18.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely scorelines are 1-2 (9.85%), 1-1 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.32%), with 1-2 having the highest probability of the three.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Twente are clear favourites for this match, and it is hard to argue with that assessment from the bookmakers. The visitors are noticeably superior in attacking quality and have shown excellent scoring form away from home, netting at least two goals in six consecutive away matches. Excelsior, by contrast, have serious defensive problems and concede regularly even against mid-table sides. Given the difference in current form and Twente's strong motivation in the race for a Champions League place, we are backing the visitors. Our main prediction is a Twente win.
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Betting Tips: Excelsior - Twente
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