Twente vs Excelsior Prediction 24 January 2026
⭐️ The clash between Twente and Excelsior promises to be intense. Twente are currently sitting sixth in the standings and have been solid at home, boasting an impressive unbeaten run. Excelsior, on the other hand, are fighting for survival and need points to steer clear of the relegation zone. The teams showcase contrasting styles: the hosts favor ball possession, while the visitors rely on counter-attacks. How will their battle unfold? Find out in the prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (home team - Excelsior):
- possession: 30% vs 70%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 8.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Twente and Excelsior:
- 23 matches played;
- home wins - 12, away wins - 5, draws - 6;
- goals scored - 38 to 22;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.35, in the second half - 1.26;
- average total goals per match - 2.61.
Head-to-head statistics Twente - Excelsior

Twente Team Overview
The last official match took place in the Eredivisie, with Heracles Almelo as the home team and Twente as the visitors. The match concluded with a 0-2 scoreline.
Here's the game statistics (Twente vs Heracles Almelo):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 14 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
Twente, currently sitting sixth in the standings, have showcased consistent form with five wins and five draws in their last ten matches. Their playing style emphasizes ball control and solid defense, allowing just 0.8 goals per game over this stretch. Their most recent outing against Excelsior ended with a narrow 1-0 victory. The hosts' strengths lie in their organized defense and efficient attack, averaging 1.7 goals scored over the past ten games.
Match Results: Twente

Excelsior Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place in the Eredivisie, where AZ Alkmaar hosted Excelsior. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar):
- possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corners: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
Excelsior are striving to improve their standing in the league, currently sitting in fourteenth place with mixed form. Over their last five matches, they have secured two wins, one draw, and suffered two defeats, highlighting some inconsistency in their performances. The team often relies on swift counterattacks and maintains an average scoring rate of approximately 1.2 goals per game over their last ten matches. However, they concede nearly two goals per match due to defensive vulnerabilities.
Match Results: Excelsior
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 23;
- home team wins - 12, away team wins - 5, draws - 6.
Statistics: Twente vs Excelsior
- matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- wins: 7 vs 6;
- win percentage: 37% vs 32%;
- losses: 4 vs 10;
- draws: 8 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- losses: 0 vs 4;
- draws: 5 vs 3.
- Twente have not lost in 14 of last 15 games (Eredivisie).
- Twente have not lost in last 12 games.
- Twente have not lost in 7 of last 8 home games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.65, the guests - 0.96;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.61;
- both teams scored: overall - 12; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: Twente vs Excelsior
- average total in the tournament: 2.68 vs 2.89;
- average total goals scored: 1.53 vs 1.05;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.47 vs 0.58;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.05 vs 0.47;
- Twente: average total at home in the tournament - 1.44;
- Excelsior: average total away in the tournament - 1.11;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1) vs 1.2 (away - 1.2).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Twente games.
Prediction on corners
Twente: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.16; at home field - 5.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; at home field - 5.5.
Excelsior: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.05, away - 4.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; away - 5.4.
- Under 9.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Twente home games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 23;
- both teams scored all-time - 12 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Twente vs Excelsior
- number of matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for Twente at home - 5 (56%);
- number of BTTS matches for Excelsior away - 7 (78%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Twente at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for Excelsior away - 4 (80%).
- Excelsior have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 away games (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (21/170, 12.4%);
- Twente at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:2 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 2:0 , 2:1 , 2:2 , 2:3 , 3:2 (1/9, 11.1%);
- Excelsior away most often play: 1:2 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.44% (odds 9.5)
2:0 - 10.75% (odds 7.5)
2:1 - 10.74% (odds 9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Twente traditionally showcase high-scoring performances at home, leveraging their home advantage to create numerous goal-scoring opportunities. Excelsior often falter defensively but strive to counter with sharp attacks, leading to thrilling and high-scoring encounters. Considering the attacking prowess of the hosts and the defensive inconsistencies of the visitors, a prediction for over 2.5 goals seems logical and statistically well-founded. A 2-1 scoreline is possible.