Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction 16 March 2026
🔊 The clash between Portsmouth and Derby County promises to be intriguing, given the current form and motivation of both sides. This is the final match of the 38th round in the Championship. Portsmouth, sitting near the bottom of the table, are eager to improve their standings, though their recent results do little to inspire confidence. Derby County have shown more consistent performances and are positioned in the top half of the table. However, the hosts are still considered favorites.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 20 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Derby ):
- ball possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 7 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Portsmouth and Derby :
- played 8 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 1, for the away team - 1, draws - 6;
- number of goals - 9 against 12;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.13, in the 2nd half - 1.5;
- average total goals in the match - 2.63.
Head-to-head statistics Portsmouth - Derby
Portsmouth Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Portsmouth, away team - Swansea City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here's the game statistics (Portsmouth vs Swansea City):
- ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 0;
- fouls: 9 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Portsmouth are facing significant challenges this season. They currently sit 20th in the league standings, struggling with poor form over their last five matches. During this stretch, the team has managed just one victory, averaging one goal scored per game while conceding 1.31. Even at home, the Pompey's performance remains inconsistent, having suffered three consecutive home defeats.
Match Results: Portsmouth
Derby Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Millwall, away - Derby ). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Derby vs Millwall):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 6;
- fouls: 13 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 4.
Derby County currently sit in 8th place, demonstrating a fairly confident performance in their last ten matches with five wins, four losses, and one draw. The visitors' attacking line appears significantly stronger, averaging 1.8 goals per game. However, their away form has been inconsistent, suffering three consecutive defeats on the road.
Match Results: Derby
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 8;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.13;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.38, while the visitors net 0.75.
First-Half Stats: Portsmouth (home) vs Derby (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 6 (33.33%) vs 8 (44.44%);
- losses: 6 (33.33%) vs 5 (27.78%);
- draws: 6 (33.33%) vs 5 (27.78%);
- Average goals scored: 0.83 vs 1.22;
- Average goals conceded: 0.44 vs 0.44.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 5 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.6 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.7).
- Derby conceded in the 1st half in last 5 games (Championship).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 1, draws - 6.
Statistics: Portsmouth vs Derby
- matches played in the tournament: 36 vs 37;
- wins: 10 vs 15;
- win percentage: 28% vs 41%;
- losses: 16 vs 13;
- draws: 10 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 5;
- losses: 5 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
- Portsmouth have drawn in 6 of last 7 games against Derby.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.13, the guests - 1.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.63;
- both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Portsmouth vs Derby
- average total in the tournament: 2.31 vs 2.76;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.46;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.36 vs 0.68;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.64 vs 0.78;
- Portsmouth: average total at home in the tournament - 1.06;
- Derby : average total away in the tournament - 1.56;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1) vs 1.8 (away - 1.8).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 6 Portsmouth games against Derby.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Derby games (Championship).
Prediction on corners
Portsmouth: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.89; at home field - 6.44;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.5; at home field - 7.
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.57, away - 3.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.6; away - 1.6.
- Portsmouth have taken under 6.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against Derby.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Portsmouth vs Derby
- number of matches played in the tournament: 36 vs 37;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 19 vs 25;
- number of BTTS matches for Portsmouth at home - 9 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Derby away - 11 (61%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Portsmouth at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Derby away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (70/452, 15.5%);
- Portsmouth at home most often finish matches: 0:1 (4/18, 22.2%);
- Derby away most often play: 1:2 (3/18, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.15% (odds 6)
1:0 - 10.64% (odds 7)
0:0 - 8.88% (odds 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the trends from recent head-to-head encounters between these teams and the overall statistics of the current season, Derby County have a better chance of success. At the very least, we don't see the visitors as underdogs. Portsmouth haven't won any of their last seven meetings against the Rams, so it would be odd to favor them. The most sensible bet appears to be - Derby County will not lose.
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Betting Tips: Portsmouth - Derby
in 6 of last 7 games against Derby.
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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