Derby vs Portsmouth Prediction 20 December 2025
🔊 Derby County and Portsmouth are set to clash in a highly anticipated 22nd round Championship fixture. The hosts have been showing inconsistent form, yet they sit a full ten points ahead of the visitors in the standings. Both teams have something to prove: Derby are pushing for a top-six finish, while Portsmouth are battling to avoid relegation.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 12 April 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Portsmouth):
- ball possession percentage: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 13 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Derby and Portsmouth:
- played 7 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 1, for the away team - 1, draws - 5;
- number of goals - 11 against 8;
- average total in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 1.71;
- average total goals in the match - 2.71.
Head-to-head statistics Derby - Portsmouth

Derby Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Sheffield Wednesday, away team - Derby ). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:3.
Here's the game statistics (Derby vs Sheffield Wednesday):
- ball possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 1;
- fouls: 8 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 7 vs 1.
Derby County are delivering commendable performances this season, currently sitting in 12th place on the table. The team have won 8 out of 21 matches, maintaining a consistent form with two wins and one draw in their last five games. They attack effectively, averaging 1.43 goals per game, although they occasionally struggle defensively, conceding around 1.38 goals per match.
Match Results: Derby

Portsmouth Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Portsmouth, away - Blackburn Rovers). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (Portsmouth vs Blackburn Rovers):
- ball possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 6;
- fouls: 9 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
Portsmouth are enduring a challenging phase of the season, teetering on the edge of the relegation zone, currently sitting 21st in the Championship. Over their last ten matches, they have managed just two victories while suffering seven defeats, highlighting their poor form. Despite this, the "Pompey" can still catch opponents off guard with their counter-attacks, leveraging the speed of their wingers. However, their away form is particularly concerning, with four consecutive losses and only a couple of goals scored during this stretch.
Match Results: Portsmouth
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 1, draws - 5.
Statistics: Derby vs Portsmouth
- matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 20;
- wins: 8 vs 5;
- win percentage: 38% vs 25%;
- losses: 7 vs 10;
- draws: 6 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 7;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- Derby have drawn in 5 of last 6 games against Portsmouth.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.57, the guests - 1.14;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.71;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Derby vs Portsmouth
- average total in the tournament: 2.81 vs 2.2;
- average total goals scored: 1.43 vs 0.85;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.57 vs 0.35;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.86 vs 0.5;
- Derby : average total at home in the tournament - 1.27;
- Portsmouth: average total away in the tournament - 0.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 1.4) vs 0.8 (away - 0.5).
- Derby have conceded in 8 of last 9 games (Championship).
Prediction on corners
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.05; at home field - 5.73;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.9; at home field - 7.4.
Portsmouth: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.25, away - 4.22;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; away - 4.5.
- Derby have taken under 5.5 corners in last 6 games against Portsmouth.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.28 (2.14 for home team and 2.14 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.67 (1.67 for home team and 3 for away team).
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.48; at home - 2.36;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; at home - 2.
Portsmouth: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.2, away - 2.44;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; away - 2.25.
- Over 2.5 yellow cards in 6 of last 7 Derby home games (Championship).
- Over 2.5 yellow cards in 14 of last 15 Portsmouth away games (Championship).
- Over 2.5 yellow cards in 8 of last 9 Portsmouth games (Championship).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Derby vs Portsmouth
- number of matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 20;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for Derby at home - 8 (73%);
- number of BTTS matches for Portsmouth away - 4 (44%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Derby at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Portsmouth away - 1 (25%).
- Derby have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games (Championship).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (42/250, 16.8%);
- Derby at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (4/11, 36.4%);
- Portsmouth away most often play: 1:1 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.3% (odds 5.6)
1:0 - 11.01% (odds 6)
2:1 - 8.78% (odds 8.4)