St. Pauli vs Borussia Prediction 1 March 2025
🔊 This time on the football arena, two teams with different ambitions and playing styles will face off. St. Pauli hosts Borussia Dortmund in the 24th round of the Bundesliga. Although the visitors are considered favorites with odds of 1.94 to win, the home team, having a series of 7 wins with a +1.5 handicap in home matches, does not plan to concede without a fight. A tense game is expected, where each team will strive to impose its style: attacking for the visitors and more cautious for the hosts. Who will emerge victorious in this clash?
Head-to-Head
📊The teams St. Pauli and Borussia Dortmund have played three official matches. The statistics are as follows:
- goals: 3 for the home team and 6 for the away team;
- average total goals in the match - 3.
The last encounter took place on 18 October 2024 at the home ground of Borussia Dortmund and ended with a score of 2:1.
Head-to-head statistics St. Pauli - Borussia

FC St. Pauli Team Overview
St. Pauli is in search of their best form. Currently, they are positioned on the edge of the relegation zone, with 3 wins in their last 10 matches. The team shows average scoring ability, netting 0.7 goals per game, but they demonstrate solid defense, conceding only one goal on average per match. At their home stadium, the "league pirates" are traditionally strong and capable of surprising any opponent, as evidenced by their successful statistics with a +1.5 handicap. In the last head-to-head against Borussia, Alexander Blessin's squad lost 2-1, which adds motivation for revenge. St. Pauli faces a tough challenge, but the support of the home crowd could be a key factor in this match.
Match Results: FC St. Pauli

Borussia Dortmund Team Overview
Borussia Dortmund has traditionally been one of the most attacking teams in the Bundesliga. In the last 10 matches, they have secured 4 victories, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game. However, their defense leaves much to be desired, conceding 1.2 goals per match. In away games, Borussia shows variability in attack but often faces defensive issues. Trends indicate that the "Bumblebees" have scored in 19 of the last 21 league matches, yet they rarely exceed the 2.5 goals mark on the road. In the first round, the "Black and Yellows" defeated St. Pauli with a score of 2:1, but that was still under Nuri Sahin, whose ideas did not take root in Dortmund. Now the team is led by Niko Kovac, and in the last round, his squad delivered a real spectacle by thrashing Union 6:0. Serhou Guirassy scored four goals and broke into the top five scorers of the championship.
Match Results: Borussia Dortmund
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 2, draws - 0.
- FC St. Pauli wins with a handicap of +1.5 in 7 of the last 8 Bundesliga home games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund
- average total in the tournament: 1.96 vs 3.52;
- average total goals scored: 0.78 vs 1.87;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.35 vs 0.83;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.43 vs 1.04;
- St. Pauli: average total at home in the tournament - 0.64;
- Borussia Dortmund: average total away in the tournament - 1.09;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 0.8) vs 1.8 (away - 1.2).
- There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 10 of the last 11 FC St. Pauli home games in the Bundesliga.
- There have been under 3.5 goals scored in each of the last 11 FC St. Pauli in the Bundesliga games.
- There have been under 3.5 goals scored in each of the last 5 Borussia Dortmund away games.
Prediction on corners
St. Pauli: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.78; at home field - 3.82;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; at home field - 3.4.
Borussia Dortmund: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.61, away - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.4; away - 6.6.
- There have been over 8.5 corners in each of the last 9 Borussia Dortmund away games.
- There have been over 8.5 corners in each of the last 6 Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga away games.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2 (1 for home team and 1 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 1.5 (1 for home team and 0.5 for away team).
St. Pauli: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.39; at home - 1.18;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.2; at home - 1.
Borussia Dortmund: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.09, away - 2.18;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; away - 1.8.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Editor's Prediction
Taking into account the current form and statistics of both teams, a tense match with many chances can be expected. St. Pauli will aim to utilize their strengths on home ground and maintain compactness in defense. Borussia Dortmund, on the other hand, will try to dominate in attack and capitalize on their opportunities to score against the opponent's goal. Considering trends and statistics, the most likely outcome appears to be a match with a total over 1.5 goals. The probability of this event is high due to the attacking power of the visitors and their desire for victory. Nevertheless, it should not be ruled out that the home team might manage to keep the game under control and minimize threats at their own goalposts.