Edmonton vs Toronto Prediction 24 October 2026
🔊 Edmonton hosts a clash between two Canadian sides who have both been tough to beat lately. The Oilers have claimed victory in eight of their last nine outings, while Toronto arrive in Alberta riding a three-game winning streak. Both teams are known for their offensive firepower: the Oilers just put five past the reigning Stanley Cup champions, and the Maple Leafs have found the net 14 times across their last three games. Toronto already picked up a win at Rogers Place back in February, so now the hosts will be looking to exact some revenge.
They tend to perform better on the road.
📊 Last regular season, the teams traded away victories. In December, Edmonton stunned Toronto on the road with a 6-3 win, as Connor McDavid and Vasily Podkolzin both netted a brace, while Leon Draisaitl picked up three assists. In February, the Maple Leafs responded by claiming a 5-2 victory on Oilers’ ice, with Matias Maccelli scoring twice. Interestingly, Edmonton have scored at least three goals in eight consecutive head-to-head clashes, but they have managed to beat Toronto in regulation at home only twice in their last 14 meetings.
Head-to-head statistics Edmonton - Toronto
McDavid is simply unstoppable
Edmonton have come out firing, winning eight of their first ten games to take the top spot in the Western Conference. Under Mike Babcock, the Oilers are averaging an impressive 4.7 goals per game, boasting a league-best shooting percentage of 18.5%. Connor McDavid has been nothing short of sensational, racking up 31 points (8 goals, 23 assists) in just ten outings. The captain has become only the fifth player in NHL history to notch 30 points in ten games or fewer. Leon Draisaitl is keeping pace as well; the German forward has already netted ten goals, seven of which have come in his last five appearances. However, Edmonton are dealing with a depleted lineup due to injuries-Savoie, Andersen, Janmark, Regula, Dickinson, and Ekholm are all sidelined.
Their most recent head-to-head with Carolina nearly ended in defeat for the hosts. Trailing 2-4 heading into the third period and losing Mattias Ekholm to injury after a heavy hit, the Oilers looked to be in trouble. But McDavid and Draisaitl drew Edmonton level within two and a half minutes. Although the Hurricanes pulled ahead again late on, the Oilers’ captain struck for his second of the night with just 88 seconds left on the clock. In the shootout, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins-making his season debut-delivered the decisive goal. The thrilling 6-5 victory marked Edmonton’s third straight win. Both McDavid and Draisaitl finished with five points apiece, and Edmonton’s power play once again converted three times. After the game, Babcock praised his team’s resilience but admitted there were plenty of mistakes to address.
Match Results: Edmonton Oilers
Victories come in the closing stages
Toronto have bounced back from a rough patch with three straight wins, outscoring their opponents 14-7 over that stretch. Jim Hiller’s side are averaging 3.6 goals per game on 27.8 shots, with their power play firing at an impressive 28.6%-good enough to rank among the league’s top five units. Auston Matthews has racked up 18 points (8 goals, 10 assists) in 12 games, while Kirill Marchenko has already scored four times on the man advantage. However, the defensive end remains a concern. Anthony Stolarz is stopping 89.8% of shots, and Sergei Bobrovsky sits at 89.5%. The injury list still features Domi, Merzlikins, Tanev, Wood, Tavares, and Rifai, which continues to test the team’s depth.
The clash with the Rangers proved to be a tough battle for Toronto. Easton Cowan opened the scoring just two minutes in, and Teddy Blueger soon netted his first goal as a Maple Leaf. The visitors clawed their way back, with Brandon Duhaime tying it up at 3-3 in the second period. Later, Marchenko struck again on the power play, extending his point streak to three games. The decisive moment came with just 28 seconds left on the clock, as Troy Stecher buried the game-winner to seal a 5-4 victory for the hosts. Duhaime finished the night with three points, while Bobrovsky made 21 saves on 25 shots. This win marked Bobrovsky’s 459th in the NHL, pulling him level with Henrik Lundqvist on the all-time list.
Match Results: Toronto Maple Leafs
Prediction for the 1st period
Despite Edmonton’s high-powered offense, the Oilers rarely score twice before the first intermission when facing Toronto. In their last six head-to-head meetings, Edmonton have managed no more than one goal in the opening twenty minutes. That trend holds at home as well, with the Oilers netting one or fewer in seven of their last eight games on their own ice. The bet here is Edmonton individual total under 1.5 goals in the first period at odds of 1.37.
Match Result Prediction
Toronto have often managed to take points away from Edmonton. In 12 of their last 14 head-to-head clashes on the Oilers’ ice, the hosts have failed to secure a regulation win. The pick: Toronto to avoid defeat in regulation at 1.86.
Total Goals Prediction
Edmonton have been prolific in front of goal this season, but they rarely hit five against Toronto. In 13 of their last 14 home head-to-head meetings, the Oilers have scored no more than four goals. The same pattern holds in six of the past seven clashes with the Maple Leafs and in six of Edmonton’s previous seven home outings. The pick here is Edmonton Under 4.5 Goals (Individual Total) at 1.41.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editor’s Prediction
Shutting down Edmonton’s offense is no easy task right now. The Oilers have scored at least three goals in nine of their last ten games, and even managed to put five past Carolina, coming back from a two-goal deficit heading into the third period. Toronto are also consistently finding the net, but their defense remains vulnerable: over their last five outings, the Maple Leafs have conceded an average of three goals per game. On top of that, Edmonton have scored at least three goals against Toronto in eight consecutive head-to-head meetings. My pick: Edmonton’s team total over 2.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Edmonton Oilers - Toronto Maple Leafs
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in 8 of last 9 home games (NHL).in 18 of last 20 away games (NHL).in 8 of last 9 games (NHL).in 7 of last 8 home games against Toronto Maple Leafs (NHL).in last 6 games against Toronto Maple Leafs (NHL).
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