Pittsburgh vs Ottawa Prediction 15 November 2026
π The trip to California brought Pittsburgh Penguins two wins, but they have yet to climb out of the lower reaches of the Eastern Conference. The Penguins are still conceding plenty of goals, while they do not manage to score in every game. Ottawa Senators are in a better position: the Canadian side sit sixth in the East and have picked up points in four straight games. The Senators earned their latest win in overtime against Colorado, having let a two-goal lead slip during the game. Travis Greenβs team now head to Pittsburgh, where they won last season.
Seven matches without a high total
π Last season, the Ottawa Senators won two of their three games against the Pittsburgh Penguins. Both of Ottawaβs wins came in regulation, while the Penguinsβ only reply was a shootout win. The away team won each of the last two meetings: first, the Senators won in Pennsylvania, then Pittsburgh gained revenge in Canada. There is another interesting trend: the teams have scored no more than six goals in seven consecutive head-to-head games.
Head-to-head statistics Pittsburgh - Ottawa
Murashov preserves the win
The Pittsburgh Penguins have picked up 16 points from 19 games and currently sit just 14th in the Eastern Conference. Dan Museβs team have won two of their last five games, beating Los Angeles and San Jose. The Penguins lost the other three, with Boston and Anaheim scoring a combined 11 goals against them. They have had difficulties in attack too: Pittsburgh scored two goals in regulation in four of their previous five games. Their power-play percentage, meanwhile, is around 20-21%.
In San Jose, the Penguins held the lead for a long time after goals from Sam Girard and Ben Kindel. They scored their second goal on the power play, but then Macklin Celebrini took over. The Sharks forward scored himself before helping to tie the game. Pittsburgh survived a penalty kill in overtime, and Kindel scored the winning shootout goal. Sergei Murashov saved 36 of 38 shots and stopped all three shootout attempts. Without his saves, it would have been much harder to turn the game into a win.
Match Results: Pittsburgh Penguins
Pintoβs brace secured two points
Ottawa have won three of their last five games and climbed to sixth in the Eastern Conference. The Senators now have 26 points from 20 games, and their unbeaten run in regulation has reached four games. The Canadian side allow an average of three goals per game, although they held their opponents to no more than two goals in two of their previous five games. Their power play has not been firing on all cylinders, with a conversion rate of around 12%. Linus Ullmark has, however, returned after missing nine games.
Against Colorado, the Senators opened with two unanswered goals. Shane Pinto scored first after an interception, and Tim StΓΌtzle soon doubled the lead. By the middle of the third period, however, Ottawa were trailing 2-3. Drake Batherson equalised with four minutes left before the final horn, and Pinto capitalised on another opposition mistake in overtime. His second goal gave the Canadian side a 4-3 win. Ullmark made 25 saves, although he conceded twice on the penalty kill.
Match Results: Ottawa Senators
First-Period Prediction
The first period ended with fewer than 2.5 goals in 11 of Pittsburghβs last 12 home games. At home, the Penguins average 0.38 goals scored in the first period, while Ottawa allow an average of 0.4 goals in the first period on the road. We pick Under 2.5 Goals in the first period at odds of 1.3.
Outcome Prediction
Pittsburgh Penguins have failed to win in regulation in 7 of their last 8 NHL games. Ottawa Senators have 12 wins this season to Pittsburgh's 7; those figures support the trend but do not rule out a draw. We pick Ottawa Senators to avoid defeat in regulation at odds of 1.5.
Total Goals Prediction
The total has gone over 4.5 goals in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games. At home, the Pittsburgh Penguins average 3 goals scored and 3 goals allowed; the Ottawa Senators' away averages are also 3.1 goals scored and 3 allowed. However, the total has stayed under 6.5 goals in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 home games - both trends are compatible. We pick Over 4.5 Total Goals at odds of 1.33.
Risky Bet
Ottawa Senators were level at the end of the first period in 6 of their last 7 NHL away games. Pittsburgh Penguins failed to win the first period in 7 of their last 8 home games, while Ottawa Senators also failed to win it in 7 of their last 8 away games. Failing to win does not in itself mean a draw, so Ottawa Senatorsβ run is the main argument here. We pick a first-period draw at odds of 2.85.
*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
βοΈ Editor's Pick
Pittsburgh's finishing is not at a level right now where a high-scoring game can be taken for granted. The Penguins have scored no more than two goals in regulation in four of their last five games, and against San Jose, even a two-goal lead was not enough for them to win without a shootout. Ottawa look more assured, but their recent results have not always featured a lot of goals either. Since Ullmark's return, the Canadian side have had added stability in goal. The main argument here, though, is the head-to-head record. The teams have stayed at six goals or fewer in seven consecutive meetings, and eight of their last ten games have followed the same pattern. My pick is Under 6.5 Goals.
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Betting Tips: Pittsburgh Penguins - Ottawa Senators
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