Neftjanik vs Ryazan Prediction
🔊 On their fourth attempt, the teams produced a low-scoring game, much to the delight of the "Oilers," who left Ryazan with two victories and now lead the series 3-1. Ryazan-VDV, who were ahead after the first game, now find themselves on the brink of ending their season. Let's delve into statistical trends and the head-to-head history of these teams to offer an insightful prediction for the fifth game of the second-round series in the Olimpbet VHL on April 19.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the past three seasons, Neftyanik and Ryazan-VDV have faced off ten times in the VHL. The team from Almetyevsk claimed victory in seven matches, while Ryazan emerged victorious in three. In playoff games on Neftyanik's ice, the teams exchanged wins: a 5-4 triumph for Ryazan-VDV and a 4-3 victory for Neftyanik. Both encounters on Ryazan-VDV's home ice saw the visitors come out on top, with scores of 4-3 and 2-1.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Neftjanik Team Overview
Despite a low-scoring previous match, the club from Tatarstan remains among the top scoring teams in the championship. On average, during regulation time in the playoffs, Neftyanik scores 2.9 goals while conceding 2.4. In 5 of their last 6 games, the Almetyevsk team has scored at least three times.
At home, the Almetyevsk side has won 4 out of 5 playoff games, with their only loss coming by a narrow margin. Their home scoring average is 3.6 goals scored and 2.6 goals conceded per game in regulation.
In this playoff, Neftyanik has scored 11 power-play goals - more than any other club in the tournament. Their power-play conversion rate of 26.2% ranks fifth among teams in the Petrov Cup. In penalty killing, the Tatarstan team has conceded just three times, with an 88.9% kill rate, the best among the teams still in contention for the trophy.
Match Results: Neftjanik
Ryazan Team Overview
Ryazan, for the first time in six games, failed to score more than one goal-a performance reminiscent of their first-round series. Their offensive numbers have noticeably declined in the playoffs, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 2.4 conceded during regulation time.
On the road, Ryazan-VDV have been inconsistent, securing only two wins out of five playoff matches. Away from home in this trophy run, the paratroopers average 2.8 goals scored per game, with the same number conceded during regulation.
Ryazan-VDV have managed to score just twice on the power play, with a conversion rate of 8.0%, ranking them 13th among all Petrov Cup participants. In penalty killing, they've allowed six goals, successfully neutralizing 81.8% of opponent attempts, placing them 11th in the tournament.
Match Results: Ryazan
Prediction for the 1st period
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 39;
- First period wins at home - 8; away - 5;
- Average total in the first period: 1.56;
- Today's home team averages 0.97 goals, while the visitors score 0.59.
First Period Stats: Neftyanik (home) vs Ryazan-VDV (away)
- Total matches played in the tournament: 36 vs 36;
- Number of wins: 21 (58.33%) vs 14 (38.89%);
- Number of losses: 6 (16.67%) vs 11 (30.56%);
- Number of draws: 9 (25%) vs 11 (30.56%).
- Average goals scored: 1.08 vs 0.83;
- Average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 0.83.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- Number of wins: 3 vs 4;
- Number of losses: 2 vs 2;
- Number of draws: 5 vs 4;
- Average total in the first period: 1.5 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.5).
- Neftyanik have failed to win the first period in 7 of their last 8 games (OLIMPBET VHL).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 39;
- Home victories - 24, away victories - 14.
Statistics: Neftyanik vs Ryazan-VDV
- Matches played in the tournament: 62 vs 62;
- Victories: 49 (68%) vs 43 (60%);
- Losses: 23 (32%) vs 29 (40%);
- Home victories in the tournament: 26;
- Away victories in the tournament: 22.
Last 10 Matches:
- Victories: 7 vs 5;
- Losses: 3 vs 5;
- Home victories for the hosts: 4;
- Away victories for the visitors: 2.
- Ryazan-VDV wins with a +1.5 handicap in 20 of their last 21 games (OLIMPBET VHL).
- Ryazan-VDV wins with a +1.5 handicap on the road in 10 consecutive matches (OLIMPBET VHL).
Total Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Average total goals per match for the home team - 3.15, for the visitors - 2.23;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 4.54;
- Both teams scored in the 1st period - 10 times;
- Both teams scored in the 2nd period - 10 times;
- Both teams scored in the 3rd period - 15 times.
Statistics: Neftyanik vs Ryazan-VDV
- Average tournament total: 5.4 vs 4.72;
- Average goals scored: 3.47 vs 2.64;
- Average goals conceded: 2.18 vs 2.28;
- Neftyanik: Average home total in the tournament - 3.53;
- Ryazan-VDV: Average away total in the tournament - 2.86;
- Last 10 matches (average goals scored): 3 (home - 3.8) vs 2.6 (away - 2.8).
- Ryazan-VDV scores more than 1.5 goals on the road in 8 consecutive head-to-head matches against these opponents (OLIMPBET VHL).
Editorial Prediction
Neftyanik have the chance to turn the series around and secure their fourth consecutive win, advancing to the next round. This scenario is clearly not what Ryazan-VDV are hoping for, as they aim to bring the game back to the style of the series' opening matches-high-scoring and a bit chaotic, where victory can be achieved by outscoring the opponent rather than relying on solid defense. The choice for this game is over 4.5 goals in the match. This option has proven profitable in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head games between these teams in Almetyevsk, as well as in 6 of Neftyanik's last 7 home matches.
Betting Tips: Neftjanik - Ryazan
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