Ryazan vs Neftjanik Prediction
🔊 The Ryazan club has achieved their minimum objective, returning home for two games with a 1-1 series split. Both encounters in Almetyevsk were high-scoring affairs. Can we expect a similar style of hockey in Ryazan? Let's delve into the statistical trends and the head-to-head history on the "Paratroopers" ice to offer a well-founded prediction for the third game of the second-round series in the Olimpbet VHL on April 14.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the past three seasons in the VHL, Neftyanik and Ryazan-VDV have clashed eight times: the team from Almetyevsk claimed victory in five of those encounters, while the side from Ryazan triumphed in three. This season, during the regular championship, the team from Tatarstan came out on top both times (3-1 and 5-2). However, in the playoffs, the teams have so far exchanged wins: the paratroopers took the first game of the series (5-4), while the oilmen secured the second (4-3).
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Ryazan Team Overview
After a less-than-stellar series against Rubin (averaging just over two goals in regulation), Ryazan bounced back with two consecutive games against Neftyanik, exceeding their average performance. The paratroopers netted five goals in the first match and three in the second. In the playoffs, Ryazan-VDV now averages 2.63 goals scored and 2.25 goals conceded per game in regulation.
On home ice, Ryazan have won their last five matches and 9 out of 10 overall, including regular season games. Remarkably, during this ten-game stretch, Ryazan-VDV allowed more than two goals only once. In the playoffs, they average 2.33 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded per game at home.
Ryazan-VDV have managed to score on the power play only once, with a conversion rate of 4.8%, placing them 15th among all Petrov Cup participants. In penalty killing, they have conceded five goals, neutralizing 81.5% of opponents' power plays, ranking 10th in the tournament.
Match Results: Ryazan
Neftjanik Team Overview
The club from Tatarstan continues to rank among the top in scoring. On average, during regular time in the playoffs, Neftyanik scores 2.88 goals while conceding 2.5. In each of their last four games, the Almetyevsk side has scored at least three times.
On the road, Neftyanik have avoided defeat in regular time in 14 of their last 16 games. In the playoffs, the 2024 champions average just 1.67 goals scored while conceding 2.33 per game. In 6 of their last 7 games, the "oilmen" have conceded exactly three goals-no more, no less.
In power play situations this playoff season, Neftyanik have netted ten goals-more than any other club in the tournament. Their conversion rate of 27.8% ranks fourth among teams in the Petrov Cup. In penalty killing, the team from Tatarstan have conceded only twice, with a 91.3% neutralization rate-the best among the teams still competing for the trophy.
Match Results: Neftjanik
Prediction for the 1st period
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 37;
- First-period wins for the home team (on home ice) - 3; for the away team (on the road) - 9;
- Average first-period total: 1.59;
- Today's home side averages 0.59 goals, while the visitors average 1.
First-Period Stats: Ryazan-VDV (home) vs Neftyanik (away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
- Number of wins: 11 (32.35%) vs 12 (35.29%);
- Number of losses: 7 (20.59%) vs 9 (26.47%);
- Number of draws: 16 (47.06%) vs 13 (38.24%).
- Average goals scored: 0.62 vs 0.85;
- Average goals conceded: 0.47 vs 0.71.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 4 vs 3;
- Number of losses: 3 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 3 vs 3;
- Average first-period total: 1.5 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.8 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 1).
- The total for the first period has been under 1.5 goals in 8 of Ryazan-VDV's last 9 home games (Olimpbet VHL).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 37;
- Home victories - 14, Away victories - 22.
Statistics: Ryazan-VDV vs Neftyanik
- Matches played in the tournament: 62 vs 62;
- Wins: 43 (61%) vs 47 (67%);
- Losses: 27 (39%) vs 23 (33%);
- Home wins in the tournament: 21;
- Away wins in the tournament: 21.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 7 vs 5;
- Losses: 3 vs 5;
- Home wins: 5;
- Away wins: 1.
- Ryazan-VDV cover the +1.5 spread in 18 of their last 19 matches (Olimpbet VHL).
- Ryazan-VDV cover the +1.5 spread at home in 9 of their last 10 matches (Olimpbet VHL).
Total Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Average goals per game for the home side - 2.24, for the away side - 3.16;
- Average goals in head-to-heads - 4.51;
- Both teams scored in the 1st period - 9 times;
- Both teams scored in the 2nd period - 9 times;
- Both teams scored in the 3rd period - 13 times.
Statistics: Ryazan-VDV vs Neftyanik
- Average total in the tournament: 4.71 vs 5.41;
- Average goals scored: 2.66 vs 3.49;
- Average goals conceded: 2.26 vs 2.19;
- Ryazan-VDV: Average home total in the tournament - 2.44;
- Neftyanik: Average away total in the tournament - 3.44;
- Last 10 matches (average goals scored): 2.9 (home - 3) vs 2.7 (away - 1.67).
- Ryazan-VDV score more than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head encounters with Neftyanik (Olimpbet VHL).
Editor's Prediction
Ryazan are showcasing consistent scoring prowess in their series against Neftyanik, and their opponents are keeping pace as well. An intriguing trend has emerged this season: Neftyanik have already played four series with at least two matches featuring over seven goals, and in every third game of these series, the team from Tatarstan concedes at least three times. We're opting for a more cautious approach with Ryazan-VDV's individual total of over 2 goals. This option has proven profitable in 6 out of Neftyanik's last 7 away games.
Betting Tips: Ryazan - Neftjanik
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