Ryazan vs Neftjanik Prediction
🔊 The teams have delivered a high-scoring game for the third consecutive time in the series, with at least seven goals scored each time. Will all the games in this series continue to be this way? Or should we expect a more defensive clash with Neftyanik leading 2-1? Let's delve into the statistical trends and the history of their head-to-head matchups on the "Desantniki" ice to provide an insightful prediction for the fourth game of the second round series in the Olimpbet VHL on April 16.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the past three seasons in the VHL, Neftyanik and Ryazan-VDV have clashed nine times: the team from Almetyevsk has emerged victorious in six matches, while Ryazan has claimed three wins. In playoff games on Neftyanik's ice, the teams traded victories: a 5-4 win for Ryazan-VDV and a 4-3 triumph for Neftyanik. In their first matchup on Ryazan's home ice, the visitors once again prevailed with a 4-3 scoreline.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Ryazan Team Overview
After a low-scoring series against Rubin, where they averaged just over two goals in regulation, Ryazantsy bounced back with three consecutive games against Neftyanik, exceeding their usual performance. In the first game, the "paratroopers" netted five goals, followed by three in each of the next two matches. Yet, even with this scoring surge, it hasn't been enough to consistently lead on the scoreboard. Ryazan-VDV's playoff average stands at 2.67 goals scored versus 2.44 conceded in regulation.
At home, Ryazantsy have won 5 of their last 6 games, including regular season matchups. Remarkably, in 9 of their last 11 home games, Ryazan-VDV have allowed no more than two goals per game. In the playoffs, they average 2.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on home ice.
Ryazan-VDV have managed just one power-play goal, with a conversion rate of 4.5%, the lowest among all Petrov Cup participants. On the penalty kill, they've allowed five goals while neutralizing 83.9% of opponents' power plays, ranking 9th in the tournament.
Match Results: Ryazan
Neftjanik Team Overview
The club from Tatarstan continues to rank among the top teams in terms of scoring efficiency. On average, during regulation time in the playoffs, Neftyanik scores 3.00 goals while conceding 2.56. In each of their last five games, the Almetyevsk team has scored at least three times.
On the road, Neftyanik have avoided losing in regulation time in 15 of their last 17 games and have won 7 out of 9. In the playoffs, the top team of the 2024 tournament averages 2.25 goals scored and 2.50 goals conceded per game. In 7 of their last 8 games, Neftyanik have allowed exactly three goals.
In power plays during the current playoffs, Neftyanik have scored ten goals-more than any other team in the tournament. Their conversion rate of 25% ranks fourth among the Petrov Cup teams. In penalty kills, the Tatarstan team has conceded only twice, boasting a 91.7% neutralization rate-the best among the teams still vying for the trophy.
Match Results: Neftjanik
Prediction for the 1st period
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 38;
- First-period wins at home (home ice) - 3; away (on the road) - 9;
- Average total in the first period: 1.61;
- Today's home team averages 0.61 goals, visitors - 1.
First Period Statistics: Ryazan-VDV (home) vs Neftyanik (away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 35 vs 35;
- Number of wins: 11 (31.43%) vs 12 (34.29%);
- Number of losses: 7 (20%) vs 9 (25.71%);
- Number of draws: 17 (48.57%) vs 14 (40%).
- Average total goals scored: 0.63 vs 0.86;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.49 vs 0.71.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- Number of wins: 4 vs 3;
- Number of losses: 3 vs 3;
- Number of draws: 3 vs 4;
- Average total in the first period: 1.7 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.9 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 1).
- The total in the first period has exceeded 0.5 goals in 9 of the last 10 head-to-head matches between these teams (Olimpbet VHL).
- The total in the first period has exceeded 0.5 goals in the last 5 consecutive matches for Ryazan-VDV (Olimpbet VHL).
- The total in the first period has exceeded 0.5 goals in 17 of Neftyanik's last 19 matches (Olimpbet VHL).
- The total in the first period has exceeded 0.5 goals in 7 of Neftyanik's last 8 away matches (Olimpbet VHL).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 38;
- Home wins - 14, Away wins - 23.
Statistics: Ryazan-VDV vs Neftyanik
- Total matches played in the tournament: 62 vs 62;
- Total victories: 43 (61%) vs 48 (68%);
- Total losses: 28 (39%) vs 23 (32%);
- Home victories in the tournament: 21;
- Away victories in the tournament: 22.
Last 10 Matches:
- Total wins: 6 vs 6;
- Total losses: 4 vs 4;
- Home wins: 4;
- Away wins: 2.
- Neftyanik have not lost in regulation time in 15 of their last 17 away games (Olimpbet VHL).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Average goals per match for the home team - 2.26, for the away team - 3.18;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 4.58;
- Both teams scored in the 1st period - 10 times;
- Both teams scored in the 2nd period - 10 times;
- Both teams scored in the 3rd period - 14 times.
Statistics: Ryazan-VDV vs Neftyanik
- Average total in the tournament: 4.75 vs 5.44;
- Average goals scored: 2.66 vs 3.49;
- Average goals conceded: 2.28 vs 2.2;
- Ryazan-VDV: average total at home in the tournament - 2.46;
- Neftyanik: average total away in the tournament - 3.46;
- Last 10 matches (average goals scored): 3 (home - 3.2) vs 3 (away - 2.25).
- Ryazan-VDV score more than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings with Neftyanik (Olimpbet VHL).
Editorial Prediction
In playoff games, besides solid defensive play (which doesn’t quite apply to the current series), the third period becomes crucial. It's essential to consider the statistics for both Ryazan and Almetyevsk here. At least two goals were scored in the third period of each of their last five head-to-head matchups, as well as in Ryazan-VDV's last eight games and in 10 out of Neftyanik's last 11 games. The best bet for this game is over 1.5 goals in the third period.
Betting Tips: Ryazan - Neftjanik
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