Sibir Novosibirsk vs Barys Astana Prediction 17 October 2026
🔊 Sibir return home after a road trip that saw them claim three straight wins, but they haven’t managed a victory on home ice since September 7. Ending that drought won’t be easy. Barys have established themselves among the top three teams in the East and head to Novosibirsk on the back of impressive wins over Avangard and Avtomobilist. That said, these two sides have already traded victories this season, with the two games in Astana unfolding in completely different fashions.
From Rout to Redemption
📊 The first meeting of the season turned into a disaster for Sibir. After the opening period, Barys led just 1-0, but then exploded for five unanswered goals in the second, cruising to a blowout 7-1 victory. The return game in Astana played out differently. Novosibirsk struck first, only to concede twice before the first intermission. Taylor Beck managed to level the score in the 51st minute, and shortly after, Pavel Tyutnev secured the win for the visitors (3-2). So, even on the same ice, these teams have already delivered two completely contrasting storylines.
Head-to-head statistics Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana
They tend to perform better on the road.
Three consecutive wins mark Sibir’s best run of the current campaign. Twice during this stretch, the Novosibirsk side had to come from behind after a poor opening period. In both Astana and Ufa, Yaroslav Lyuzenkov’s team trailed 1-2 at the first intermission but managed to turn things around each time. However, their issues with creating quality chances persist: their average xG sits at just 2.31, among the three lowest figures in the Eastern Conference. On the bright side, Sibir are averaging 3.2 goals per game in October-though they’ve yet to replicate that scoring form at home.
Their latest clash with Salavat Yulaev also got off to a rocky start. By the seventh minute, the hosts had found the net twice, with Sibir only responding through Ivan Vorobyov. After the break, momentum shifted. Pavel Tyutnev drew things level, and just 1:41 later, Stepan Nikulin put the visitors ahead. In the third period, Sergei Popov extended the lead to 4-2. Despite Ufa spending over 15 minutes on the attack-compared to Sibir’s eight-the Novosibirsk outfit actually led in shots on target, 30 to 29. Mikhail Berdin made crucial saves to preserve the advantage, allowing Sibir to complete their road trip unbeaten.
Match Results: Sibir Novosibirsk
Shutov brought composure to the side
Barys remain in the top three of the Eastern Conference, though their defensive play hasn't always matched their results. On average, the team from Astana concede 2.7 goals per game. Neftekhimik managed to put four past them, while both Spartak and Sibir scored three apiece. However, Barys have looked much more convincing in their recent home outings. Against Avangard (5-1), Andrei Shutov stopped 41 of 42 shots, and followed up with another solid performance versus Avtomobilist. Head coach Mikhail Kravets is pleased with his goaltending options and has yet to establish a clear-cut number one between the pipes.
Barys also limited Avtomobilist to just a single goal. Chase Priskie opened the scoring in the first period, his shot cleverly disguised behind the defenseman. The visitors equalized in the second, but just before the intermission Jake Massie restored the lead for Astana. From there, the hosts never relinquished control. Dinmukhamed Kaiyrzhan capitalized on a power play opportunity, while Alihan Omirbekov sealed a 4-1 victory. Shutov finished with 28 saves. Now Barys face a daunting stretch of nine consecutive road games, starting against a side that recently beat them on home ice.
Match Results: Barys Astana
Prediction for the 1st period
Sibir rarely seize the initiative in their home games. In eight of their last nine outings in Novosibirsk, the hosts have failed to win the opening period. Barys display a similar trend, but in reverse: the team have avoided defeat in the first period in 11 of their previous 12 road games. In fact, their unbeaten run in the opening twenty minutes now stands at six straight matches. The pick: Barys double chance in the first period (X2).
Total Prediction
While Sibir have put together three impressive wins on the road, their scoring struggles at home remain a concern. In eight of their last nine games in Novosibirsk, they have failed to score more than two goals. Their average xG is also among the lowest in the conference at 2.31. Meanwhile, Barys limited their last two opponents to just one goal each before heading out on this trip. The pick here is Sibir Under 2.5 goals (team total).
Match Outcome Prediction
Sibir have strung together three consecutive away wins, but their fortunes at home tell a different story. In eight of their last nine games in Novosibirsk, they have failed to secure a regulation-time victory. Barys, meanwhile, arrive on the back of convincing wins over Avangard and Avtomobilist, and their first head-to-head clash this season already showcased just how dangerous their offense can be. The pick: Barys to avoid defeat in regulation (X2).
⭐️ Editor’s Prediction
Barys have shown significant improvement up front, scoring at least twice in nine of their last ten outings. Sibir, meanwhile, have conceded an average of 2.4 goals over their previous five games, despite picking up three wins on a recent road trip. The Novosibirsk side have learned how to claw their way back into games, but their slow starts-evident in recent clashes with both Barys and Salavat Yulaev-remain a concern. In contrast, the Astana club have proven not only that they can find the net regularly, but also that they’re capable of holding onto a lead. Their convincing three-goal victory over Avtomobilist was a clear statement. So, even taking into account their recent defeat to Sibir, the visitors look well positioned to score at least twice here. My pick: Barys individual total over 2 goals.
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Betting Tips: Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana
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