Ottawa vs St. Louis Prediction 13 October 2026
π St. Louis embark on a three-game road trip, kicking things off in Ottawa, where the Senators have been nearly flawless at home. Ottawa have claimed victory in five of their last six outings, climbing toward the top of the Eastern Conference standings. The Blues, on the other hand, havenβt matched that level of consistency, though they did finally snap their losing skid in their most recent game. Interestingly, it was St. Louis who managed to beat the Canadian side twice last season. This time, however, the visitors will need to replicate that feat against an opponent whose defensive play has improved significantly.
Two matches, two wins
π Last season, St. Louis dominated the head-to-head meetings with Ottawa, taking both encounters. In November, the Blues edged a 4-3 win on home ice, and just nine days later, they traveled to Canada and came away with a 2-1 victory. Jake Neighbours stole the show in that second clash, netting a brace, while goaltender Joel Hofer was outstanding between the pipes, turning aside 41 shots. Ottawaβs lone response came from Fabian Zetterlund. This time around, though, the Senators approach the matchup in much stronger form.
Head-to-head statistics Ottawa - St. Louis
Five wins and a rock-solid defense
Ottawa have kicked off the season in style, racking up five wins in their opening six games and collecting ten points. Travis Greenβs side have looked especially solid defensively: only once have the Senators allowed more than two goals in a game. Linus Ullmark has been a key figure between the pipes-heading into the clash with New Jersey, he boasted four wins from four starts, a save percentage of 94.2%, and a stingy 1.34 goals-against average. Still, there are a few areas of concern. Ottawa have killed off 80% of their opponentsβ power plays, and the injury situation is far from ideal. Curtis MacDermid, Artem Zub, and William Eklund are sidelined with injuries, Crotty is out sick, and Jake Sanderson remains a doubt.
Before heading to Newark, Ottawa managed victories over both Philadelphia and Nashville. The matchup with the Predators proved particularly challenging: the Senators trailed 0-2 after the opening period but clawed their way back to force a shootout, eventually prevailing 3-2. Next up was a trip to face the Devils, who at that point were averaging a league-high 37.8 shots per game. Green had stressed the importance of playing across all zones and not letting New Jersey settle in the attacking end. The plan paid off: Ottawa came away with a 4-1 win. Shane Pinto opened the scoring just nine seconds into the second period, with Stephen Halliday, Tim StΓΌtzle, and Tyler Kleven also finding the net. Once again, the Senators conceded just once-even though their opponents had several power play opportunities.
Match Results: Ottawa Senators
They managed to come from behind, but their issues remain.
St. Louis are averaging a point per game and currently sit outside the playoff picture. The main issue? Defense. The Blues have conceded at least three goals in each of their last four outings, including a six-goal barrage from Colorado. Interestingly, despite these struggles, Jim Montgomeryβs side ranks among the NHLβs best on the penalty kill, neutralizing 93.3% of opponent power plays-fourth-best in the league. This suggests their problems go beyond simply shorthanded situations. For the upcoming game, the Blues will again be without Mailu, Tucker, Alexei Toropchenko, and Duehr-all sidelined with injuries.
In their most recent contest, St. Louis snapped a three-game winless streak, though their start against Columbus was far from ideal. The hosts trailed 0-2 after the opening period and managed just four shots on target. But things turned around in the second frame: Jake Neighbours cut the deficit, and Jimmy Snuggerud struck twice to put the Blues ahead. Columbus managed to level, but in the third period, Jonatan Berggren pounced on a rebound after Jet Greavesβ save, and Pavel Buchnevich sealed it with an empty-netter (5-3). Dylan Holloway finished with three assists, while Jordan Binnington recorded 20 saves. St. Louis converted 18.5% of their shots with an expected goals tally of three. The offense delivered, but mounting a comeback from 0-2 against this Ottawa side will be a much tougher ask.
Match Results: St. Louis Blues
Prediction for the 1st period
St. Louis have avoided defeat in the opening twenty minutes in seven of their last eight road games. Even in their recent clash with Columbus, where the Blues quickly found themselves trailing, the team managed to turn things around. However, facing Ottawa-who have been rock-solid defensively at the start of the season-replicating that scenario wonβt be easy. The pick: St. Louis to avoid defeat in the first period (Double Chance X2).
Total Goals Prediction
Six of St. Louisβ last seven road games have seen at least five goals scored. The Blues are more than capable of keeping up a high tempo themselves, but they also give their opponents plenty of chances. In each of their previous four outings, the Missouri club have conceded at least three times. The pick here is over 4.5 total goals.Outcome Prediction
Ottawa have covered the +1.5 spread in seven of their last eight home games. The Senators are currently on a run of five wins from six, conceding more than two goals just once in that span. St. Louis are known for their ability to turn things around during games, but breaking down this kind of defensive structure and securing a convincing win will be a tough ask. The pick: Ottawa +1.5.βοΈ Editorβs Prediction
At first glance, Ottawaβs solid defense suggests a cautious bet on the total. The Senators have allowed more than two goals just once in their last six games, and Linus Ullmark has made a confident start to the campaign. However, St. Louis approach things differently: the Blues regularly give up dangerous chances at the back, but have the firepower to erase even a two-goal deficit in no time.
Six of the last eight head-to-head meetings between Ottawa and St. Louis have produced at least six goals. The same outcome has occurred in three of the Bluesβ previous four games. Their recent 5-3 win over Columbus only reinforced the pattern: when St. Louis are involved, cautious hockey often goes out the window. My pick is over 5.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Ottawa Senators - St. Louis Blues
in 7 of last 8 home games (NHL).
in 7 of last 8 away games (NHL).in 14 of last 15 home games (NHL).in 15 of last 16 games (NHL).in 13 of last 14 away games (NHL).
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