Dallas vs Colorado Prediction 14 October 2026
🔊 Dallas and Colorado are set to clash once again at the American Airlines Center, but this time, former teammates will find themselves on opposite sides of the rink. Mikko Rantanen now skates for the Stars, while his former club arrives boasting one of the league’s most prolific offenses. However, the hosts have been rock-solid defensively so far, rarely giving opponents much to work with in front of their own net. Through five games, the Texans have conceded just seven goals in regulation, with Jake Oettinger turning aside 96.3% of shots faced. The question now: can Dallas keep Colorado’s firepower in check?
The winner was decided in a shootout.
📊 Last regular season, Dallas and Colorado faced off four times, each side coming away with two wins. Remarkably, three of those contests were decided in shootouts. The Avalanche edged the head-to-head goal tally, outscoring the Stars 11-9 overall. The last two meetings are particularly notable, with both teams combining for just four goals. For Dallas, who continue to rely on a solid defensive structure, such low-scoring affairs have become something of a trademark.
Head-to-head statistics Dallas - Colorado
The goalkeeper delivers, but the attack struggles.
Dallas have opened the season with two wins and three losses, one of which came beyond regulation. While their results have yet to impress, there are few complaints about their defensive performance. The Stars are conceding just 1.4 goals per 60 minutes, with Jake Oettinger stopping 96.3% of shots and posting a goals-against average of 0.74. Their penalty kill is running at an efficient 88.2%, and the team is winning 54.6% of faceoffs. However, injuries are limiting Glen Gulutzan’s options. Matt Duchene, Joel Kiviranta, Cameron Hughes, and Harrison Scott are all sidelined, while Radek Faksa remains a doubt.
In their most recent outing, Dallas fell to Pittsburgh in a shootout (1-2), despite outshooting the Penguins 25-20. Oettinger extended his shutout streak to 188 minutes and 52 seconds before conceding on a deflection off Lian Bichsel’s stick. Tyler Seguin rescued the game with a last-minute equalizer after the goalie was pulled, but Pittsburgh proved more clinical in the shootout. After the game, Gulutzan admitted his side played too passively and struggled to generate real danger up front. The Stars went 0-for-3 on the power play but killed off all five penalties they faced. Ultimately, it was Dallas’ defensive structure and Oettinger’s heroics that secured at least a point for the Texans.
Match Results: Dallas Stars
Failed to hold on to their lead
Colorado have taken three wins from their opening five games and remain one of the NHL’s most prolific teams. The Avalanche are averaging 5.2 goals per game while firing 32.4 shots on target. Nathan MacKinnon has already found the net five times, including a brace in his most recent outing. However, their offensive firepower hasn’t masked issues at the back. Heading into the clash with Dallas, the Avs are coming off a defeat to Toronto, with Georgii Merkulov sidelined and Logan O’Connor listed as questionable.
On Saturday, Colorado fell 3-6 to Toronto despite taking the lead twice. MacKinnon struck twice in the opening period, and midway through the second, Brock Nelson made it 3-2. But the game turned sharply after that. William Nylander leveled things up, Easton Cowan put the Maple Leafs ahead, and Auston Matthews added two more in the final frame. For the Avalanche, it was a tough reminder that even three goals and strong performances from their stars don’t always guarantee points. Next up, Colorado’s attack faces a far more disciplined Dallas defense.
Match Results: Colorado Avalanche
Prediction for the 1st period
Dallas have failed to win the opening period in eight of their last nine home games. Colorado, on the other hand, have avoided trailing after the first 20 minutes in eight of their previous nine outings. Given the Stars’ current struggles to generate scoring chances, the visitors look well positioned to avoid falling behind early on. The pick: Colorado double chance in the 1st period (X2).
Outcome Prediction
Colorado have covered the +2.5 spread in 22 of their last 23 NHL road games. Across all venues, they've managed this feat in ten of their previous 11 outings. Given the Avalanche's current scoring form, they look capable of staying competitive even against teams with solid defensive setups. The pick: Colorado +2.5 handicap.
⭐️ Editor’s Prediction
Dallas have picked up just two wins in their last five outings, but the Stars look far more composed at the back than up front. They’ve recorded two shutouts and conceded only once in regulation in their latest clash with Pittsburgh. Across those five games, Dallas’ opponents have found the net just seven times-a defensive solidity even a high-powered Colorado side will need to respect.
The last two head-to-head meetings between these teams saw only four goals scored in total. While the Avalanche are generating plenty of offense right now, Dallas know how to slow the pace and limit quality chances-especially with Oettinger in such strong form. My pick: under 6.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Dallas Stars - Colorado Avalanche
in 7 of last 8 games (NHL).
in 21 of last 23 away games (NHL).in 8 of last 9 home games (NHL).in 8 of last 9 games (NHL).in 9 of last 10 Dallas Stars home games (NHL).in 7 of last 8 Dallas Stars games (NHL).in 12 of last 13 Colorado Avalanche away games (NHL).in 8 of last 9 Dallas Stars home games (NHL).in 10 of last 11 Colorado Avalanche games (NHL).in 8 of last 9 Colorado Avalanche away games (NHL).Other predictions
