Pittsburgh vs Vegas Prediction 4 November 2026
🔊 Pittsburgh were routed by Vegas in October, but the Penguins’ attack has become noticeably more productive since then. That has done little for their results, though: Dan Muse’s team have lost six of their last eight games and remain near the bottom of the Eastern Conference. The Golden Knights are in a more intriguing position. Despite losing four of their last five, they remain among the Western Conference leaders, although their defensive problems are becoming harder to ignore. Vegas now face their second game in as many days, and Pittsburgh will look to capitalise on the visitors’ fatigue and avenge October’s defeat.
Six Goals from Vegas
📊 The teams have already met this season. On October 18, the Vegas Golden Knights hosted the Pittsburgh Penguins at T-Mobile Arena and cruised to a 6-2 win. Rasmus Andersson, Noah Hanifin, Mark Stone, Trevor Connelly and Shea Theodore scored for the hosts. Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin replied for the Penguins, but Pittsburgh could not avoid a heavy defeat. It was Vegas’ second straight win over the Pennsylvania club. Interestingly, Pittsburgh’s scoring has picked up markedly since that game, though it has yet to translate into many more wins.
Head-to-head statistics Pittsburgh - Vegas
Goals Are Coming, but Wins Are Hard to Find
Six losses in eight games make for a frustrating run for Dan Muse’s Pittsburgh Penguins. Their defence is the bigger concern: they have conceded at least five goals in five of those games and are allowing 3.5 per game this season, one of the worst marks in the league. Their goaltenders have struggled too, with Arturs Silovs stopping 88.9% of shots and Sergei Murashov 87.1%. The Penguins have at least become more productive at the other end. They averaged 2.2 goals over the five games before their first meeting with the Vegas Golden Knights, rising to 3.4 over the next five. Injuries have not helped, though: Bryan Rust, James van Riemsdyk and several others remain out.
Their latest game against Montreal exposed familiar problems. Erik Karlsson put the Penguins ahead in the third minute, but they conceded twice in the space of 23 seconds soon afterwards. Tommy Novak levelled the score, only for the Canadiens to strike twice in quick succession early in the second period. Rickard Rakell cut the deficit, and Sidney Crosby gave Pittsburgh hope of a comeback late on. The Penguins outshot their opponents 15-4 in the third period but lost 5-4. Afterwards, Muse admitted his team were making too many mistakes and failing to halt their opponents’ momentum when it mattered.
Match Results: Pittsburgh Penguins
Defensive problems have surfaced, too.
Vegas Golden Knights remain second in the Pacific Division, but their recent results have been far from ideal. They have lost four of their last five games, conceding at least five goals in three of those defeats-an unusual sight for the Golden Knights. Across the season, Ryan Craig’s side have allowed an average of just 2.7 expected goals per game, ranking among the NHL’s top five in that category. Their attack has been productive, too, converting 11.9% of their shots. But Vegas have conceded an average of 3.5 goals over their last six games and, since facing Pittsburgh Penguins, have twice given up six in a game.
The Golden Knights visited Boston Bruins in their last game and came back from 2-0 down. Mark Stone scored on the rebound during a power play before Trevor Connelly levelled the score in the third period. Mitch Marner had a hand in both goals, extending his point streak to ten games. Neither team scored in overtime, and David Pastrňák converted the only successful attempt in the shootout. Vegas lost 3-2 but at least picked up a point. They now face their second road game in as many days, with virtually no time to recover from the meeting with the Bruins.
Match Results: Vegas Golden Knights
First-period prediction
Vegas Golden Knights have failed to win the first period in six straight games. In their recent away games, they have averaged 0.6 goals in the opening period. Our pick is Pittsburgh Penguins to avoid defeat in the first period at odds of 1.35.
Match Result Prediction
Pittsburgh Penguins have failed to win in regulation in 12 of their last 13 games. They have won four home games this season, though, so a home victory cannot be ruled out. Our pick is Vegas Golden Knights to avoid defeat in regulation at odds of 1.58.
Safe Bet
Vegas Golden Knights have scored fewer than 4.5 goals in six straight games. They have averaged 2.4 goals in their recent away games, while Pittsburgh Penguins have conceded an average of 1.75 goals at home. The pick is Vegas Golden Knights under 4.5 team goals at odds of 1.22.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between sportsbooks.
⭐️ Editor’s prediction
October’s loss to Vegas appears to have sparked Pittsburgh’s attack. The Penguins had averaged 2.2 goals across their previous five games, but that rose to 3.4 over the next five. Their defence, though, continues to make it hard to turn goals into wins. The Golden Knights have problems at the other end too: they have conceded an average of 3.5 goals over their last six games, giving up six twice. Add a tough game against Boston the previous night and a return to the ice just a day later, and Pittsburgh look well placed to score more than they did in October. My pick is Pittsburgh Penguins over 2.5 team goals.
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Betting Tips: Pittsburgh Penguins - Vegas Golden Knights
in 7 of last 8 home games against Vegas Golden Knights (NHL).
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