Toronto vs Utah Mammoth Prediction 4 November 2026
π Toronto Maple Leafs are gradually putting their early-season mistakes behind them. Five wins in seven games have brought Jim Hillerβs team closer to a playoff spot, though they have still suffered the odd setback. Utah Mammoth remain higher in their conference standings, but their recent results have been less encouraging: they have won just three of their last seven games, with two of those victories coming in overtime. The teams met in October in a high-scoring contest that Utah won. Now the Maple Leafs have a chance to avenge that defeat on home ice.
Nine Goals in Salt Lake City
π The teamsβ first meeting of the season, on October 14, was a high-scoring affair. Utah Mammoth won 5-4, despite Toronto Maple Leafs answering the hostsβ attack with four goals of their own. Vincent Trocheck, Dylan Guenther, MacKenzie Weegar, Daniil But and Mikhail Sergachev scored for Utah, with Sergachev also adding an assist. Auston Matthews, Jack Roslovic, John Tavares and Gavin McKenna scored for Toronto. Both defences gave their opponents plenty of room, and Torontoβs four goals still were not enough to earn a point.
Head-to-head statistics Toronto - Utah Mammoth
The wins are coming, but not without problems
After a poor start to the season, Toronto have begun picking up points more regularly. They have won five of their last seven games, including a 7-2 rout of Edmonton, though losses to Calgary (5-2) and Seattle (5-4) have interrupted that run. Their attack is increasingly leading the way: Auston Matthews has scored 11 goals, while Jack Roslovic has 16 points (six goals, 10 assists). Injuries remain a concern, with Max Domi, Kirill Marchenko, John Tavares and several others sidelined. That makes it all the more important for Jim Hiller to keep this lineup producing.
The Toronto Maple Leafs faced another tough test in Vancouver, but this time they came through. William Nylander opened the scoring, and Matthews restored Torontoβs lead after the hosts had equalised. Zack MacEwen then extended the advantage before Teddy Blueger scored into an empty net late on to seal a 4-2 win. Anthony Stolarz made 27 saves, while Matthews extended his road point streak to eight games. The penalty kill remained a problem, however: Toronto have now conceded a power-play goal in four consecutive away games. Even so, they edged Vancouver in expected goals, 3.4 to 3.0.
Match Results: Toronto Maple Leafs
They score plenty, but concede even more.
Utah Mammoth remain in the Western Conferenceβs top four, but their recent results are cause for concern. Three wins in seven games are a far cry from the pace AndrΓ© Tourignyβs team set at the start of the season. Even their victories over Tampa Bay (5-4 in overtime) and Pittsburgh (4-3 in overtime) were hard-fought. Scoring is not the problem: the Mammoth lead the NHL with 16 power-play goals in 15 games, while their defencemen have chipped in with 14 goals. At the other end, though, the picture is less encouraging. Jon Marino remains on the injured list, and Kailer Yamamotoβs availability is still in doubt.
Their latest game against Philadelphia showed just how much Utah depend on focus and discipline. After a decent start, they lost control in the second period, and their third-period comeback attempt brought more mistakes. Mikhail Sergachev and Logan Cooley scored power-play goals 67 seconds apart, but it was not enough. Dmitri Simashev also found the net as the Mammoth lost 6-3, despite edging Philadelphia in shots (22-21) and expected goals (2.9 to 1.9). Afterwards, Tourigny singled out his teamβs lapses in concentration and defensive errors.
Match Results: Utah Mammoth
First-Period Prediction
There have been more than 1.5 goals in the first period in six of Utah Mammothβs last seven NHL games. Over the same stretch, Toronto Maple Leafs have averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1 conceded in the opening period at home, while Utah Mammoth have averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded on the road. The first-period total has stayed under 2.5 goals in five straight head-to-head meetings, but that still leaves room for this bet to land if exactly two goals are scored. Weβre backing over 1.5 first-period goals at odds of 1.66.
Total Goals Prediction
The last five Toronto Maple Leafs NHL games have each produced more than 6.5 goals. At home, Toronto Maple Leafs average 3 goals scored and 3.13 conceded per game, while Utah Mammoth average 3.33 scored and 3.44 conceded on the road. Our pick is over 6 total goals at odds of 1.63.
Reliable bet
Utah Mammoth have scored fewer than 4.5 goals in 12 of their last 13 NHL road games. They are averaging 3.33 goals per game away from home this season, while Toronto Maple Leafs are conceding an average of 3.13 at home. The pick is Utah Mammoth under 4.5 team goals at odds of 1.25.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
βοΈ Editorβs prediction
Utah Mammoth create chances, but they have been giving opponents far too many opportunities around their own net. Even their wins over Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh came with three or four goals conceded. Utah have allowed an average of 4.2 goals over their last five games. That looks promising for Toronto Maple Leafs, who have scored at least three goals in six of their last seven. The head-to-head record backs them up, too: Toronto have scored more than 2.5 goals in four of their last five games against Utah. After the recent 5-4 game in Salt Lake City, Iβm backing the hostsβ attack again. My pick is Toronto Maple Leafs over 2.5 team goals.
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Betting Tips: Toronto Maple Leafs - Utah Mammoth
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