Aces vs New York Liberty (W) Prediction 31 July 2026
π In this WNBA regular season matchup, the Las Vegas Aces take on the New York Liberty. Both teams come into this contest boasting impressive potential-especially on the defensive end. Itβs hard to imagine a scenario where either side neglects their defensive duties, given their quality. Expect stretches of gritty, hard-fought basketball that could shape the entire flow of the game.
Head-to-Head
π These teams last faced each other about a month ago, with New York hosting and coming away with a 93-85 victory. Itβs worth noting that in four of their last five meetings, the home side has consistently come out on top.
Head-to-head statistics Aces - New York Liberty (W)
Las Vegas Aces (W) Team Overview
The Las Vegas Aces recently faced Portland and came away with a convincing 98-83 victory. Their season metrics are solid, boasting a 66.7% win rate. Offensively, the Aces remain consistent, averaging 90.9 points per game - a testament to their dominance on that end of the floor. Their success is largely built on their ability to produce in the oppositionβs half, even as they allow an average of 86.7 points defensively. However, it's important to note that Las Vegas sometimes struggle when up against elite competition. For example, they suffered a heavy 75-109 defeat to Indiana, highlighting that their offense can falter against top-tier opponents. The upcoming matchup could present similar challenges for the Aces.
Match Results: Las Vegas Aces (W)
New York Liberty (W) Team Overview
The New York representatives are riding a three-game winning streak, and they've been putting up impressive numbers along the way. Just recently, they outgunned the Los Angeles Sparks in a high-scoring affair, 113-109. More often than not, Liberty look to push the tempo, averaging 89 points per game - a solid offensive output. However, their defense tends to suffer as a result, with the team conceding an average of 87 points per contest. It wouldnβt be surprising if the visitors focus more on their defensive efforts this time around, especially since their three-point shooting often falters away from home.
Match Results: New York Liberty (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 56;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 13; for the visitors on the road - 13;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 42.23;
- Today's home team averages 21.41, while the visitors average 20.82.
First Quarter Stats: Las Vegas Aces (W) (home) vs New York Liberty (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 14 vs 16;
- Number of wins: 8 (57.14%) vs 9 (56.25%);
- Number of losses: 5 (35.71%) vs 7 (43.75%);
- Number of draws: 1 (7.14%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 25.5 vs 22.94;
- Average points conceded: 21.71 vs 22.44.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 7 vs 6;
- Number of losses: 2 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 48.4 (scored - 26, conceded - 22.4) vs 46.3 (scored - 23.5, conceded - 22.8).
- Las Vegas Aces (W) won the 1st quarter in 7 of last 8 games (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 80.45, for the away team - 79.11;
- average total points in H2H matches - 159.55.
Statistics: Las Vegas Aces (W) vs New York Liberty (W)
- average total in the tournament: 177.57 vs 176.23;
- average total points scored: 90.9 vs 89.23;
- average total points conceded: 86.67 vs 87;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 47.33 vs 43.9;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 43.17 vs 44.39;
- Las Vegas Aces (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 89.43;
- New York Liberty (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 92.31;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 93.3 (home - 89) vs 90.7 (away - 90.5).
- New York Liberty (W) have scored under 87.5 points in 10 of last 11 away games against Las Vegas Aces (W).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 56;
- number of wins for the home team - 28, for the away team - 28.
Statistics: Las Vegas Aces (W) vs New York Liberty (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 27 vs 28;
- number of wins: 20 (66.67%) vs 18 (58.06%);
- number of losses: 10 (33.33%) vs 13 (41.94%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 9;
- number of away wins for the away team: 9.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 5;
- number of losses: 4 vs 5;
- number of home wins for the home team: 3;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
- New York Liberty (W) won with a +6.5 points handicap in 13 of last 14 games against Las Vegas Aces (W) (WNBA).
Editor's Pick
Las Vegas come into this matchup as slight favorites, with home-court advantage playing a huge role here. New York are capable of creating quality looks, but the overall tempo could drop at times, especially as both teams are closely matched in terms of talent and ability. Expect stretches of slower pace and tactical battles, which usually favor defense over offense. While individual players might deliver standout performances, our editorial team is leaning toward a low-scoring contest overall. Weβre backing under 184.5 points.
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Betting Tips: Las Vegas Aces (W) - New York Liberty (W)
in 12 of last 14 games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).in 5 of last 6 home games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).in 7 of last 8 games (WNBA).in 6 of last 7 home games (WNBA).in last 14 Las Vegas Aces (W) games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).
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