New York Liberty (W) vs Aces Prediction 9 August 2026
🔊 In this WNBA regular season clash, the New York Liberty take on the Las Vegas Aces. Both sides are renowned for their strong defensive play, and that quality could prove decisive in the upcoming head-to-head.
Head-to-Head
📊 The most recent meeting between these teams took place on July 31, with Las Vegas coming out on top, 104-99. Looking at their last five head-to-head clashes, the home side has prevailed in four of those encounters.
Head-to-head statistics New York Liberty (W) - Aces
New York Liberty (W) Team Overview
At the moment, New York have claimed four wins in their last five outings. Most recently, they dispatched Seattle twice (92-86, 95-83), showcasing top-tier offensive execution. However, it’s worth noting that the schedule has offered them opportunities to exploit defensive gaps time and again. Facing Las Vegas, that favorable scenario is unlikely to repeat itself. On average, New York score 89.9 points per game while conceding 87.5. Given the current context, a slower tempo can’t be ruled out. The Liberty are adept at controlling the pace and grinding games down when the situation demands it.
Match Results: New York Liberty (W)
Las Vegas Aces (W) Team Overview
The Las Vegas side have posted solid, if not quite as impressive, results as their upcoming opponents. Over their last five outings, they have registered three wins. One of their standout performances came in a narrow victory over Indiana (86-84), where they managed to halt one of the tournament’s most dynamic and high-scoring teams. However, that was followed by a setback against Minnesota (87-98). It's worth noting that the team had little time to fully recover between games, which could significantly impact their offensive output. As a result, we might see the Aces opting for a more measured pace this time around - their energy reserves are not unlimited. So it would be optimistic to expect them to hit their usual average of 91.3 points.
Match Results: Las Vegas Aces (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 57;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 17; for the visitors on the road - 10;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 42.42;
- Today's home team averages 20.91, while the visitors average 21.51.
First Quarter Stats: New York Liberty (W) (home) vs Las Vegas Aces (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 17 vs 19;
- Number of wins: 10 (58.82%) vs 10 (52.63%);
- Number of losses: 6 (35.29%) vs 8 (42.11%);
- Number of draws: 1 (5.88%) vs 1 (5.26%).
- Average points scored: 22.88 vs 23.84;
- Average points conceded: 20.41 vs 22.32.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 6 vs 6;
- Number of losses: 4 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 47.7 (scored - 25.4, conceded - 22.3) vs 47.1 (scored - 25.1, conceded - 22).
- Las Vegas Aces (W) scored under 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 79.46, for the away team - 80.86;
- average total points in H2H matches - 160.32.
Statistics: New York Liberty (W) vs Las Vegas Aces (W)
- average total in the tournament: 177.37 vs 178.51;
- average total points scored: 89.89 vs 91.31;
- average total points conceded: 87.49 vs 87.2;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 44.23 vs 47.11;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 44.83 vs 43.54;
- New York Liberty (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 86.82;
- Las Vegas Aces (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 92.42;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 95.1 (home - 94) vs 95.6 (away - 95.5).
- Las Vegas Aces (W) have scored under 85.5 points in last 10 away games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 57;
- number of wins for the home team - 28, for the away team - 29.
Statistics: New York Liberty (W) vs Las Vegas Aces (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 32 vs 32;
- number of wins: 21 (60%) vs 23 (65.71%);
- number of losses: 14 (40%) vs 12 (34.29%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 11;
- number of away wins for the away team: 13.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 6;
- number of losses: 4 vs 4;
- number of home wins for the home team: 3;
- number of away wins for the away team: 3.
- Las Vegas Aces (W) won with a +14.5 points handicap in last 9 away games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).
⭐ Editor's Prediction
In this matchup, the home side come in as clear favourites - not just because of home-court advantage or their recent run of form, but primarily due to their physical condition. Las Vegas are set to play their third game in as many days, which is virtually unheard of. Fatigue could seriously hamper their ability to execute plays effectively. They'll need to slow the tempo and try to keep the game tight; otherwise, the visitors risk falling apart across all facets in the second half. Our editorial team recommends factoring in this key detail. We're expecting a low-scoring affair and suggest backing the under 181.5 points market.
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Betting Tips: New York Liberty (W) - Las Vegas Aces (W)
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