Aces vs Liberty Prediction 14 August 2025

    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    83
    77
    20
    20
    21
    22
    24
    19
    20
    14

    🔊 In one of the most thrilling matchups of this WNBA season, the Las Vegas Aces will face off against the New York Liberty on their home court. Both teams are vying for the top of the standings, making this clash crucial in the playoff race. Given their current standings-fifth and second respectively-this game could be pivotal in determining the upper-tier positions in the league table.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between Las Vegas Aces (W) and New York Liberty (W):

    • They have played 53 games;
    • Wins (including overtime): 27 for the current home team and 26 for the visitors;
    • The home team averages 80.4 points per game, while the visitors average 78.74;
    • The average total for a game is 159.13.

    Their last encounter took place on 09 July 2025 at New York Liberty's home court and ended with a score of 87-78.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    52%
    28 Wins
    48%
    26 Wins
    14.08.25
    WNBA
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    83
    77
    20
    24
    20
    19
    21
    20
    22
    14
    09.07.25
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    87
    78
    19
    16
    21
    26
    22
    18
    25
    18
    17.05.25
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    92
    78
    19
    20
    28
    13
    16
    25
    29
    20
    06.10.24
    WNBA
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    62
    76
    19
    23
    19
    18
    13
    12
    11
    23
    05.10.24
    WNBA
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    95
    81
    26
    23
    26
    26
    21
    6
    22
    26
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    Las Vegas Aces (W) Team Overview

    The Las Vegas Aces enter this matchup in strong form, having secured victories in seven of their last ten games. Their average performance is impressive, consistently maintaining a high level of play both offensively and defensively. Notably, they excel at capitalizing on their home-court advantage, often finding success with the robust backing of their fans. However, the team occasionally struggles with long-range shooting. Interestingly, the Las Vegas Aces boast one of the best home winning streaks in the league.

    Match Results: Las Vegas Aces (W)

    18.06.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    76
    86
    28
    24
    21
    21
    15
    23
    12
    18
    W
    16.06.26
    WNBA
    Dallas Wings (W)
    Dallas Wings (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    96
    66
    29
    20
    27
    17
    18
    16
    22
    13
    L
    14.06.26
    WNBA
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    100
    97
    32
    21
    25
    30
    21
    20
    22
    26
    W
    12.06.26
    WNBA
    Portland Fire (W)
    Portland Fire (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    89
    105
    28
    27
    22
    29
    22
    22
    17
    27
    W
    09.06.26
    WNBA
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Seattle Storm (W)
    Seattle Storm (W)
    101
    91
    23
    25
    27
    18
    22
    16
    29
    32
    W
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    New York Liberty (W) Team Overview

    New York Liberty are also in impressive form, winning five of their last six games. They are renowned for their fast-paced offense and efficiency from beyond the arc. However, road games can present a challenge for them, as evidenced by their scoring stats, which rarely exceed 82 points per game against strong opponents on the road. Notably, the team actively utilizes player rotation to maintain a high tempo and avoid injuries to key players.

    Match Results: New York Liberty (W)

    19.06.26
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Washington Mystics (W)
    Washington Mystics (W)
    83
    86
    23
    23
    20
    16
    18
    24
    22
    23
    L
    18.06.26
    WNBA
    Chicago Sky (W)
    Chicago Sky (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    95
    96
    32
    27
    13
    20
    23
    27
    27
    22
    W
    14.06.26
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Washington Mystics (W)
    Washington Mystics (W)
    86
    64
    20
    13
    16
    15
    27
    22
    23
    14
    W
    11.06.26
    WNBA
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    90
    104
    19
    21
    25
    30
    20
    29
    26
    24
    W
    08.06.26
    WNBA
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    80
    89
    18
    23
    17
    15
    21
    27
    24
    24
    W
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    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 53;
    • First-quarter wins by the home team - 13; by the away team - 11;
    • Average first-quarter total: 42.21;
    • Today's home team averages 21.53 points, while the visitors average 20.68.

    First Quarter Statistics: Las Vegas Aces (Home) vs New York Liberty (Away)

    • Matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 12;
    • Wins: 6 (42.86%) vs 5 (41.67%);
    • Losses: 7 (50%) vs 5 (41.67%);
    • Draws: 1 (7.14%) vs 2 (16.67%).
    • Average points scored: 22.36 vs 22.92;
    • Average points conceded: 22.29 vs 23.17.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Wins: 4 vs 5;
    • Losses: 4 vs 4;
    • Draws: 2 vs 1;
    • Average first-quarter total: 45.2 (scored - 22.4, conceded - 22.8) vs 45.8 (scored - 23, conceded - 22.8).
    Trends
    • The first-quarter total over 41.5 points has hit in 9 consecutive head-to-head games at the home team's court (WNBA).
    • The first-quarter total over 41.5 points has hit in 7 consecutive head-to-head games at the home team's court.
    👉Prediction: 1st Quarter Total Over 41,5(odds: 1.5)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 53;
    • Home wins - 27, Away wins - 26.
    Trends
    • Las Vegas Aces (W) have lost 8 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings against this team (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: New York Liberty (W) Win (inc. OT)(odds: 2.23)

    Total Points Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Average points per game for the home team - 80.4, for the away team - 78.74;
    • Average total points in head-to-head matches - 159.13.

    Statistics: Las Vegas Aces (W) vs New York Liberty (W)

    • Average tournament total: 165.29 vs 166.61;
    • Average points scored: 82.25 vs 85.61;
    • Average points conceded: 83.04 vs 81;
    • Average first-half points: 42.36 vs 43.07;
    • Average second-half points: 39.89 vs 42.54;
    • Las Vegas Aces (W): Average points scored at home in the tournament - 86.93;
    • New York Liberty (W): Average points scored away in the tournament - 83.58;
    • Last 10 games (average points scored): 85.1 (home - 86) vs 85.4 (away - 82.4).
    Trends
    • Total under 172.5 points has hit in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head matches between these teams (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: Total points Under (172,5)(odds: 1.73)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The match promises to be intense and dynamic, thanks to the contrasting styles of both teams: the hosts prefer to dominate in the paint, while the visitors rely on fast breaks and accurate three-point shooting. A fierce battle for every ball is expected, but considering the Aces' home performance stats and Liberty's frequent struggles on the road, a slight edge can be given to the home team. Looking at recent trends in their head-to-heads and their current form, a low-scoring outcome seems the most likely scenario. We're betting on total under 172.5-this outcome has hit in 10 of the last 11 meetings between these teams.

    Our choice
    Total points Under (172,5) at odds of -137*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (13 August 2025, 07:34)

    Betting Tips: Las Vegas Aces (W) - New York Liberty (W)

    Las Vegas Aces (W) have lost:
    san-antonio-starsnew-york-libertyin 8 of last 9 games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).
    New York Liberty (W) Win (inc. OT)
    +125
    Las Vegas Aces (W) scored under 43.5 points in the 1st half:
    san-antonio-starsnew-york-libertyin 10 of last 11 games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).
    1st Half, Las Vegas Aces (W) Total points Under (43,5)
    -104
    Las Vegas Aces (W) have scored under 85.5 points:
    san-antonio-starsnew-york-libertyin 10 of last 11 games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).
    Las Vegas Aces (W) Total points Under (85,5)
    +125
    Under 172.5 points scored:
    san-antonio-starsnew-york-libertyin 10 of last 11 Las Vegas Aces (W) games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).
    Total points Under (172,5)
    -119
    View more facts

    Aces - Liberty Table position

    Group stage Commissioner's Cup Eastern Conference
    gWLForm
    1.
    Indiana Fever (W)
    Indiana Fever (W)
    541
    2.
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    541
    3.
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    532
    4.
    Washington Mystics (W)
    Washington Mystics (W)
    523
    5.
    Chicago Sky (W)
    Chicago Sky (W)
    514
    6.
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    514