Nuggets vs Mavericks Prediction 26 March 2026

Details
The main thing
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    142
    135
    34
    34
    43
    31
    33
    26
    41
    35

    🔊 The Denver Nuggets and Dallas Mavericks are set to clash in another NBA regular-season game. Like many matches toward the season's end, this one holds significance for only one team. In this case, it's the hosts, who are battling for a stronger position in the Western Conference. Meanwhile, the visitors have long since resigned themselves to their fate, anticipating an off-season overhaul. Can they muster enough strength to avoid a blowout in Colorado? We'll find out soon as we analyze the matchup and make a well-founded prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The teams have faced each other 51 times, with victories almost evenly split-26 for the home side and 25 for the visitors. Their last encounter took place on the Mavericks' court, where the hosts fell short, losing 109-118. 

    Head-to-head statistics Nuggets - Mavericks

    52%
    27 Wins
    48%
    25 Wins
    26.03.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    142
    135
    34
    33
    34
    26
    43
    41
    31
    35
    15.01.26
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    109
    118
    23
    29
    23
    34
    32
    25
    31
    30
    24.12.25
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    131
    130
    41
    27
    25
    29
    37
    47
    28
    27
    02.12.25
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    121
    131
    41
    27
    27
    42
    36
    33
    17
    29
    15.01.25
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    99
    118
    21
    36
    24
    35
    22
    20
    32
    27
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Denver Nuggets Team Overview

    The Denver Nuggets seem to have finally hit their stride, winning four out of their last five games and climbing back into the Top 4 in the West. The team continues to lead the league in offensive rating, scoring 120.2 points per game. However, their Achilles' heel remains their defense, allowing 116.5 points (20th in the league). This flaw significantly disrupts their game balance and could easily become a liability in the upcoming playoffs. After all, two other conference contenders, Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs, boast much stronger defenses.

    In their last matchup, Adelman's squad battled on the road against the Phoenix Suns (125-123), with Jokic securing victory just 11 seconds before the final buzzer. The Serbian superstar once again played in terminator mode, recording yet another triple-double. It's encouraging that Murray and Gordon are also in peak form, so fans are hopeful their favorites will eventually find the right "chemistry" on defense.

    Match Results: Denver Nuggets

    19.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    89
    96
    29
    23
    18
    24
    20
    30
    22
    19
    W
    17.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Portland Trail Blazers
    Portland Trail Blazers
    101
    108
    25
    25
    25
    23
    24
    29
    27
    31
    L
    15.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    103
    106
    22
    31
    29
    29
    20
    18
    32
    28
    W
    11.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    82
    101
    13
    26
    26
    26
    33
    21
    10
    28
    W
    10.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    86
    97
    20
    20
    17
    25
    30
    23
    19
    29
    L
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    Dallas Mavericks Team Overview

    The Dallas Mavericks are currently navigating a tough stretch, having dropped four straight games and securing just two wins in their last ten outings. It's no surprise they've slipped to 13th in the Western Conference, with their focus seemingly shifting towards accumulating losses for a favorable draft pick to aid in roster rebuilding. The current lineup is plagued with issues, from a lackluster offense generating just 113.8 points per game (ranking 23rd) to a similarly struggling defense allowing 119 points (also 23rd).

    In their last outing, Kidd's squad managed to rally and put up a strong fight against the troubled Golden State Warriors, ultimately falling 131-137 in overtime. Flagg, the lone bright spot in an otherwise bleak Mavericks season, scored 32 points and dominated play on the opponent's half of the court. The coach is now contemplating how to rebuild the roster while keeping this young talent at the heart of the project. Counting on Irving, who has been sidelined for a year and is still recovering from an Achilles tear, seems overly optimistic.

    Match Results: Dallas Mavericks

    18.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    New York Knicks
    New York Knicks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    88
    110
    23
    16
    18
    25
    19
    35
    28
    34
    W
    16.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    87
    97
    20
    24
    25
    25
    18
    28
    24
    20
    W
    13.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    88
    96
    19
    24
    27
    26
    19
    18
    23
    28
    W
    12.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    70
    91
    19
    21
    25
    26
    13
    20
    13
    24
    L
    09.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    90
    101
    20
    24
    19
    35
    27
    20
    24
    22
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Denver Nuggets

    ⛔ Denver will be without the long-injured Watson.

    📋 Probable lineup: Murray, Jokic, Brown, Johnson, Gordon.

    Dallas Mavericks

    ⛔ The Mavericks will definitely be without Martin, while Gafford and Williams are doubtful.

    📋 Projected lineup: Flagg, Christie, Marshall, Gafford, Washington.

    🏀 Three-Point Shooting

    When it comes to long-range shots, no team this season outshines Denver, who are hitting 39.2% of their attempts. On their own arc, Adelman's squad also showcases elite defense, allowing just 34.9% (5th place) from beyond the arc.

    Dallas, on the other hand, struggles with their three-point shooting, converting only 34.5% of their attempts (26th in the league). However, they have soared to second place in defending their perimeter, with opponents making just 34.6% of their three-point attempts.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The game is expected to be dominated by the home team, thanks to their exceptional offensive prowess. Considering the current form of both teams, Denver's advantage seems an obvious factor for betting on this matchup. We struggle to see what Dallas could bring to counter the Nuggets' powerful offense. The Colorado club is riding high and often delivers their best performances at home. The unmotivated Texans might keep the score close in the first half with their strong perimeter defense, but they lack the strength for more, leading to a substantial defeat. We're backing a home victory with a spread of (-11.5).

    Denver Nuggets Handicap (-11,5)
    Published: 25/03/2026, 13:21

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    Betting Tips: Denver Nuggets - Dallas Mavericks

    Denver Nuggets won the 3rd quarter:
    denver-nuggetsdallas-mavericksin 7 of last 8 home games against Dallas Mavericks (NBA).
    3rd Quarter Denver Nuggets Win
    -192
    Dallas Mavericks lost the 2nd half:
    dallas-mavericksin 12 of last 13 games (NBA).
    dallas-mavericksin 9 of last 10 away games (NBA).
    2nd Half Denver Nuggets Win
    -278
    Dallas Mavericks lost the 2nd quarter:
    dallas-mavericksin 7 of last 8 away games (NBA).
    2nd Quarter Denver Nuggets Win
    -208
    Dallas Mavericks have lost (inc. OT):
    dallas-mavericksin last 2 games (NBA).
    Denver Nuggets Win (inc. OT)
    Everygame
    -588
    View more facts

    Nuggets - Mavericks Table position

    Group stage WESTB
    gWLForm
    1.
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    440
    2.
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    431
    3.
    Los Angeles Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    422
    4.
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    413
    5.
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    404