Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction 15 January 2026
🔊 Will the hosts dazzle with bold offensive basketball? In this NBA regular season clash, Dallas face off against Denver. Despite losing their main star, the visitors keep racking up wins. Meanwhile, the Mavericks, having revamped their strategy, are now trying to play at a faster pace. This could result in a high-scoring game and outcome overall.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical analysis of previous official games between the Dallas Mavericks and the Denver Nuggets:
- They have played 50 matches;
- Wins (including overtime): 25 for today's home team and 25 for the visitors;
- The home team averages 108.38 points per game, while the visitors average 108.28;
- The average total score per game is 216.66.
The last encounter took place on 24 December 2025 at the Dallas Mavericks' court and ended with a score of 131-130.
Head-to-head statistics Mavericks - Nuggets

Dallas Mavericks Team Overview
Currently, the Dallas basketball team boasts 3 victories in their last 5 games. They recently overcame a gritty and defensive Brooklyn (113-105). They also secured a win against Houston (110-104). However, the team struggles to maintain consistent performances over extended periods, especially against top-tier opponents. Considering they rank 20th in defense (117.5), their defensive play might not be the most outstanding.
On the offensive end, Cooper Flagg deserves praise. The first draft pick is gradually putting up impressive numbers, including 27 points against Brooklyn. Additionally, the team has started to improve their long-range shooting. Thompson has woken up, and other players are catching fire as well.
Match Results: Dallas Mavericks

Denver Nuggets Team Overview
It's likely that Denver's approach to the game will remain unchanged. Recently, the Nuggets defeated New Orleans (122-116). It was a high-paced game where all secondary options performed well. And, of course, Jamal Murray stole the show with 35 points and 9 assists. Despite the absence of their primary playmaker, Denver's ball movement has been relatively good. This has allowed the team to effectively execute long-range attempts-hitting 40% last night.
It's hard to say that the visitors will face any systemic issues. Initially, it seemed like Denver was doomed. However, with Gordon playing at center and an overall mobile and sizable lineup, they are managing to achieve quite a lot unexpectedly. It's unlikely that Dallas will be an insurmountable obstacle.
Match Results: Denver Nuggets
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 50;
- Home team wins - 25, away team wins - 25.
- Dallas Mavericks won with a +2.5 points handicap in 7 of last 8 home games (NBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 108.38, for the away team - 108.28;
- average total points in H2H matches - 216.66.
Statistics: Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets
- average total in the tournament: 228.48 vs 237.56;
- average total points scored: 113.09 vs 121.18;
- average total points conceded: 115.39 vs 116.38;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 56.05 vs 61.42;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 56.07 vs 58.56;
- Dallas Mavericks: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 113.7;
- Denver Nuggets: average total points scored away in the tournament - 120.23;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 112.8 (home - 115.5) vs 113.4 (away - 117.38).
- Under 230.5 points scored in 15 of last 16 Dallas Mavericks home games against Denver Nuggets (NBA).