Raptors vs Memphis Prediction 10 November 2026
🏀 Toronto host Memphis in Tuesday’s NBA regular-season game. The hosts return home after a run of away games and will try to start a new winning streak. The visitors come into the game on a three-game losing streak and need to regain confidence. A fast-paced, high-scoring game seems likely, as both teams favour a high tempo and open basketball.
Head-to-Head
📊 Toronto won both head-to-head games last season. However, Memphis have a narrow 3-2 edge over the last five meetings.
Head-to-head statistics Raptors - Memphis
Toronto: not dazzling without Kawhi, but not falling apart either
Toronto go into the game after beating Milwaukee 121-107. The win was made possible by career nights from Martin and Barrett, who scored 27 points each and took on the leadership burden in the absence of Leonard, Barnes and Quickley. Before that, the Raptors lost to Denver 109-128, having beaten the Clippers 125-118 on 2 November. The team are showing character, but the depth of their rotation raises serious questions.
Under coach Rajaković, Toronto are playing fast, aggressive basketball this season, with an emphasis on offence and pressure on the perimeter. The team average 118.2 points per game (eighth in the league) while conceding 112.8 (12th). However, without Barnes and Quickley (both doubtful for the upcoming game), the responsibility for organising the offence will fall to Barrett and Shead, making the attack more predictable.
Match Results: Toronto Raptors
Memphis: a dip after a strong start
Memphis are in free fall after a perfect start. In their latest game, the Tennessee side were thrashed by Oklahoma City (97-128), their third straight defeat after opening with six wins. Before that, the Grizzlies lost to Indiana (103-107) and Denver (112-120). The main problem is defence: across those three defeats, Memphis conceded an average of 118.3 points, and against the Thunder they allowed their opponents to shoot 55% from the field. Turnovers have also become a persistent problem: they committed 18 against Oklahoma City, leading to 30 points for their opponents.
Under Iisalo, Memphis build their offence around ball movement and three-point shots, but their efficiency has slumped over the last three games: they shot 32% from the field and 22% from beyond the arc against Oklahoma City. The Grizzlies’ defence has also faltered: their defensive rating, which ranked in the top five early in the season, fell to an average level across the three defeats.
Match Results: Memphis Grizzlies
Latest news
Toronto Raptors
⛔ Leonard and Bittle are sidelined for Toronto, while Barnes and Quickley's availability is in doubt.
📋 Projected starting five: Shead, Barrett, Poeltl, Walter, Murray-Boyles.
Memphis Grizzlies
⛔ Pippen Jr. and Stewart will not play for Memphis.
📋Projected starting five: Boozer, Jerome, Coward, Wells, Edey.
Outcome Prediction
Memphis have covered the (+3.5) spread in six consecutive NBA away games. They have seven wins in their last ten games, while Toronto have five. We pick Grizzlies (+3.5) handicap at odds of 1.88.
Total Points Prediction
In eight of Toronto's last nine home games, the total was under 235.5 points. In their recent home games, Toronto have averaged 126 points scored and 104 conceded; Memphis have averaged 117 scored and 107 conceded in their recent away games. Meanwhile, Toronto's last six games have all finished with over 227.5 points, so both trends allow for a total between those thresholds. We pick Under 235.5 Total Points at odds of 1.53.
Top scorers
Barrett is averaging 21.6 points this season and has scored at least 22 in each of his last four games. Without Leonard, and with Barnes and Quickley also likely to be absent, his role in the offence will only grow. Memphis have been conceding plenty of points in recent games, particularly on the perimeter and on drives. We’re backing Barrett to score over 23.5 points at odds of 1.90*
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial prediction
The Raptors’ home advantage and slightly more balanced roster (even allowing for potential absences) give them a small edge. If Barnes and Quickley are available, even in a limited capacity, Toronto will have more options in attack. The Grizzlies need to stay in the game early and stop the hosts from pulling away in the first half. Betting on the winner or the handicap looks risky given the current situation, so it makes more sense to focus on both teams’ preference for attacking, high-tempo basketball (both rank in the top seven for pace) and back Total Points Over 227.5.
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Betting Tips: Toronto Raptors - Memphis Grizzlies
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