Suns vs Warriors Prediction 25 October 2026
π The Phoenix Suns host the Golden State Warriors in an NBA regular season showdown. The Warriors have stumbled out of the gate, dropping their first two games - first to the Lakers, then suffering a narrow home defeat to Memphis. Now, the Californians head to Arizona for their second game in as many nights. Their situation is further complicated by the likely absence of Curry and Podziemski. The Suns also endured a heavy loss in their season opener and are now set for their first game in front of their home crowd. Both teams are desperate to notch their first win, but Golden Stateβs injury woes make Phoenix the clear favorite heading into this matchup.
Head-to-Head
πGolden State hold a slight edge in their last ten head-to-head clashes, leading 6-4. Last season, the Warriors took the regular-season series 3-1, but it was Phoenix who prevailed in their most recent encounter - a Play-In game on April 18, 2026 - winning 111-96.
Head-to-head statistics Suns - Warriors
Phoenix: Can They Wash Away the Portland Humiliation?
Phoenix opened their season with one of the most humiliating defeats in franchise history, falling 83-124 to Portland. The 41-point margin stands as the largest ever for the Suns in a season opener. After starting the game on the wrong end of a 0-21 run, Phoenix trailed 39-72 at halftime and were down by as many as 52 points. Devin Booker scored 23, but posted a career-worst plus-minus of -43 as a starter.
The Arizona side now find themselves in need of redemption in front of their home fans. After the least efficient performance of his career, Booker will be motivated to prove that outing was an anomaly. With two daysβ rest, the Suns also hold a physical edge - Golden State are on the second night of a back-to-back. Still, questions remain about the extent of their advantage given ongoing issues in the frontcourt and the potential absence of sharpshooter Kennard and backup big man Ighodaro (both listed as questionable).
Match Results: Phoenix Suns
Golden State: who will suit up in Phoenix?
Golden State open their campaign with back-to-back defeats. First, they were routed by the Lakers (105-127), then squandered a home lead against Memphis (108-111) - up by 12 with just 3:47 left, only to allow the Grizzlies to go on a stunning 17-0 run to close it out. To make matters worse, the Warriors head to Phoenix for their second game in as many nights, and their roster is decimated.
The injury situation is bordering on disastrous. Butler is sidelined until January, Moody is out for the season, and Porzingis (illness) will also miss this one. Podziemski sat out the opener with back soreness, returned for Game 2, but after taking a shot to the face from Edey, has already said he wonβt suit up in Phoenix. Star man Curry, after the Memphis loss, admitted heβs unlikely to play due to load management and an ankle issue. Green is also listed as questionable. If both Curry and Podziemski are absent, the playmaking duties will fall to Melton, Payton II, and Santos. This is a team that already looked shaky down the stretch in their first two games - now they face losing both of their main creators.
Match Results: Golden State Warriors
Total Points Prediction
In head-to-head matchups, the hosts have averaged 107.3 points per game, while the visitors come in at 111.4. Over their last ten outings, the Suns have posted an average of 97.9 points (rising to 109 at home), whereas the Warriors have averaged 108.2 points in those contests (dropping to 101.8 on the road). Notably, the Suns havenβt surpassed the 115.5-point mark at home in each of their last five meetings with Golden State. Given these trends, a well-founded pick would be the hostsβ individual total under 115.5 at odds of 1.73.
β Editorβs Prediction
Golden State travel to Phoenix missing three starters - Butler, Moody, and PorziΕΔ£is - while Curry and Podziemski are also likely to sit out. The Warriors already collapsed late in their last outing, and now theyβre without both of their primary ball handlers. The Suns, meanwhile, return home after two daysβ rest and are desperate to bounce back from a historic blowout loss. All signs point to Arizonaβs side taking control here. Back Phoenix with a -6.5 spread.
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Betting Tips: Phoenix Suns - Golden State Warriors
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