Suns vs Warriors Prediction
🔊 Can the hosts stifle the offense of the Californian team? In this NBA regular season clash, Phoenix will face off against Golden State. The teams are in fundamentally different conditions. The Suns are in a much better position. However, this is unlikely to result in a blowout victory. The Warriors, in almost any setup, are capable of solid defense.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical analysis of the previous official games between the Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors:
- They have played 57 games;
- Wins (including overtime): 22 for the current home team and 35 for the visitors;
- The home team averages 107.46 points per game, while the visitors average 111.95;
- The average total score per game is 219.4.
The last encounter took place on 21 December 2025 at the Golden State Warriors' court and ended with a score of 119-116.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Phoenix Suns Team Overview
Phoenix have emerged victorious in 4 of their last 5 games. They suffered a setback against the Clippers (93-117), but bounced back with an impressive win over the Trail Blazers (130-125). It's reasonable to predict that their upcoming clash will focus more on defense. After all, the hosts favor a slower pace, which allows them to concede just 111.3 points on average.
The home court advantage plays a significant role. Secondary options tend to execute slightly more attempts, which is crucial given Devin Booker’s absence. The team is unlikely to engage in a reckless shootout. The stakes are high as they battle for a top-six spot in the Western Conference. Thus, leveraging their defense, the Suns will strive to achieve their goal.
Match Results: Phoenix Suns

Golden State Warriors Team Overview
In their previous encounter, Golden State were without several key players. Everyone knows about Jimmy Butler's injury by now. Additionally, it's almost certain that Stephen Curry won't take to the court. Jonathan Kuminga, one of the most promising young talents, is also sidelined due to knee issues. The remaining lineup lacks significant offensive solutions. Scoring will be a challenge. In such a situation, they need to focus more on defense.
The visitors have suffered 3 losses in their last 5 games. Recently, they were narrowly but deservedly defeated by Philadelphia (94-113). It's hard to envision a scenario where the team can showcase a stellar offense against Phoenix. They lack star power. Moreover, playing away against such a team is no easy task.
Match Results: Golden State Warriors
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 57;
- Home team wins - 22, away team wins - 35.
- Golden State Warriors won with a +11.5 points handicap in 8 of last 9 away games against Phoenix Suns (NBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 107.46, for the away team - 111.95;
- average total points in H2H matches - 219.4.
Statistics: Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors
- average total in the tournament: 225.35 vs 230.09;
- average total points scored: 114.13 vs 116.14;
- average total points conceded: 111.22 vs 113.95;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 58.31 vs 56.36;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 55.44 vs 59.39;
- Phoenix Suns: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 114.23;
- Golden State Warriors: average total points scored away in the tournament - 113.3;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 112.2 (home - 108.2) vs 119.1 (away - 112.25).
- Phoenix Suns have scored under 116.5 points in 7 of last 8 games against Golden State Warriors (NBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In this matchup, bookmakers rightfully see Phoenix as favorites. While the team may not boast the star power of Golden State, the Suns maintain a solid core that delivers impressive defense, proving its mettle under the toughest conditions. Golden State can afford to drop a game here and there. It's possible that Green might join Curry on the sidelines. If so, Steve Kerr's squad would lose a significant psychological and emotional foundation. Our editorial suggests noting that these opponents rank among the top ten in fewest points allowed. Given this context, betting on under 223.5 total points appears to be a smart move.