Maccabi vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Prediction 16 June 2026
🔊 Maccabi host Hapoel in the opening game of the Israeli Super League playoff finals. Both Tel Aviv sides have dominated the competition throughout the season, and their head-to-head clash in the championship series seemed inevitable even before the postseason tipped off. Both teams cruised through the previous rounds, although the visitors did encounter slightly more resistance along the way. At the moment, Maccabi are listed as the bookmakers’ favorites-but is that really justified? We’ll find out soon enough. For now, let’s break down this matchup and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Maccabi Tel-Aviv and Hapoel Tel Aviv:
- played 69 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 49 for today's home team and 20 for the guests;
- the home team averages 84.43 points per match, the guests - 78.64;
- average total match points - 163.07.
The last confrontation took place on 28 May 2026 at the venue of Maccabi Tel-Aviv and ended with a score of 97:115.
Head-to-head statistics Maccabi - Hapoel Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel-Aviv Team Overview
Maccabi Tel Aviv head into this clash in sensational form, having racked up nine wins in their last ten outings, including a current five-game winning streak. Over the course of the season, they are averaging 99.3 points per game while conceding just 81.7, but their recent performances are even more impressive-posting 103.6 points scored and only 80.7 allowed per game across their last ten contests.
This team thrives on aggressive play in the opposition’s half and boasts a high conversion rate from beyond the arc, rarely losing out in terms of pace. In the semi-finals, Oded Kattash’s men swept Hapoel UNET Holon 3-0 in the series. Their dominant run was underpinned by a powerful offensive display, particularly in both home games, where the storied club tallied 107 and 89 points respectively.
Match Results: Maccabi Tel-Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv Team Overview
Hapoel Tel Aviv are enjoying a strong run of form since their opening-round playoff defeat to Maccabi Rishon. Following that setback, the team have rattled off four consecutive wins and have come out on top in eight of their last ten outings. Over the course of the season, Hapoel are averaging 90.3 points per game while conceding just 78.5, underlining the reliability of their defense even against high-caliber opposition.
In their last ten games, their scoring has dipped slightly to 86.7 points per contest, but their defensive efficiency remains consistent - conceding only 79.2 points per game reinforces that impression. Earlier in the campaign, particularly during the EuroLeague, Hapoel were known for their offensive-minded approach, but their recent performances highlight a more balanced game.
Match Results: Hapoel Tel Aviv
Prediction for the 1st quarter
1st Quarter Statistics: Maccabi Tel-Aviv (home) vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 15;
- wins: 14 (87.5%) vs 11 (73.33%);
- losses: 1 (6.25%) vs 4 (26.67%);
- draws: 1 (6.25%) vs 0 (0%).
- average total points scored: 27.75 vs 24.07;
- average total points conceded: 19.13 vs 19.87.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- wins: 8 vs 6;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 0 vs 0;
- average 1st quarter total: 46.3 (scored - 27, conceded - 19.3) vs 43.7 (scored - 23.2, conceded - 20.5).
- Maccabi Tel-Aviv won the 1st quarter in last 10 home games (Basketball League).
- Maccabi Tel-Aviv won the 1st quarter in last 9 home games.
- Maccabi Tel-Aviv won the 1st quarter in 7 of last 8 games (Basketball League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 69;
- number of wins for the home team - 49, for the away team - 20.
Statistics: Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
- number of tournament matches played: 26 vs 26;
- number of wins: 29 (93.55%) vs 26 (83.87%);
- number of losses: 2 (6.45%) vs 5 (16.13%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 15;
- number of away wins for the away team: 13.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 9 vs 8;
- number of losses: 1 vs 2;
- number of home wins for the home team: 6;
- number of away wins for the away team: 5.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv won with a +8.5 points handicap in last 8 games (Basketball League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 84.43, for the away team - 78.64;
- average total points in H2H matches - 163.07.
Statistics: Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
- average total in the tournament: 181.06 vs 168.9;
- average total points scored: 99.32 vs 90.32;
- average total points conceded: 81.74 vs 78.58;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 51.61 vs 46.71;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 47.06 vs 43.16;
- Maccabi Tel-Aviv: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 100.56;
- Hapoel Tel Aviv: average total points scored away in the tournament - 93.6;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 103.6 (home - 106.57) vs 86.7 (away - 91.6).
- Under 177.5 points scored in 7 of last 8 Hapoel Tel Aviv away games.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The clash between the top two sides of the season promises to be an intense affair, with a particular emphasis on discipline and tight defense from the visiting Hapoel. Recent trends in their away fixtures suggest a slower pace, as the total has gone under 177.5 in seven of their last eight games on the road. It would be naive to expect a reckless shootout in such a crucial series between fierce rivals. The tempo is likely to drop significantly, with both teams valuing every possession and working the ball for high-percentage shots. Our well-founded prediction: total points under 178.5.No comments
Betting Tips: Maccabi Tel-Aviv - Hapoel Tel Aviv
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