Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Prediction 23 June 2026
π On Tuesday, Tel Aviv will host Game 4 of the Israeli Super League Finals as local rivals Hapoel and Maccabi face off once again. Over the weekend, Hapoel - officially the home side -narrowed the series deficit to 1-2, reigniting their hopes and giving themselves a shot at leveling the score. Will Hapoel force a decisive Game 5, or can Maccabi clinch the championship on the road? Letβs break down the matchup and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
πStatistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Hapoel Tel Aviv and Maccabi Tel-Aviv:
- played 72 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 21 for today's home team and 51 for the guests;
- the home team averages 78.88 points per match, the guests - 84.69;
- average total match points - 163.57.
The last confrontation took place on 21 June 2026 at the venue of Maccabi Tel-Aviv and ended with a score of 74:80.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Hapoel Tel Aviv Team Overview
Hapoel Tel Aviv head into the city derby in strong form, having won seven of their last ten games. Their most recent outing in the finals saw them claim victory on Maccabiβs court. The series itself has been a rollercoaster, including a stretch of back-to-back defeats, but the team now appears to have regained momentum. Over the season, Hapoel average 89.7 points scored while conceding 79.6; in their last ten outings, those numbers stand at 89.1 points for and 84.3 against.
The team traditionally relies on an aggressive offense and isnβt afraid to trade shots with any opponent - their scoring average backs that up. However, their defense remains inconsistent: they often struggle to protect the paint, which leads to a relatively high number of points allowed, even on home court. Can Itoudisβ men overcome these significant defensive flaws and mount a comeback in the finals?
Match Results: Hapoel Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel-Aviv Team Overview
Maccabi Tel Aviv have been putting together a highly impressive campaign, suffering just three defeats all season and showcasing excellent playoff form - eight wins in their last ten outings, including a four-game winning streak before Sundayβs loss to Hapoel.
Offensively, Maccabi consistently outclass most opponents, averaging a remarkable 98.5 points per game (up to 100 over their last ten matches). Defensively, they remain solid as well, typically allowing just 81-84 points per contest regardless of venue. Itβs no surprise that Kattashβs squad enter the upcoming clash as slight favourites.
Match Results: Maccabi Tel-Aviv
Prediction for the 1st quarter
1st Quarter Statistics: Hapoel Tel Aviv (home) vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 16;
- wins: 13 (76.47%) vs 8 (50%);
- losses: 3 (17.65%) vs 6 (37.5%);
- draws: 1 (5.88%) vs 2 (12.5%).
- average total points scored: 23.88 vs 24.5;
- average total points conceded: 19.24 vs 21.69.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- wins: 6 vs 7;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 1;
- average 1st quarter total: 41.9 (scored - 21.9, conceded - 20) vs 43.4 (scored - 24.9, conceded - 18.5).
- Under 44.5 points in the 1st quarter in 10 of last 11 Hapoel Tel Aviv home games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 72;
- number of wins for the home team - 21, for the away team - 51.
Statistics: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv
- number of tournament matches played: 26 vs 26;
- number of wins: 27 (79.41%) vs 31 (91.18%);
- number of losses: 7 (20.59%) vs 3 (8.82%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 13;
- number of away wins for the away team: 15.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 7 vs 8;
- number of losses: 3 vs 2;
- number of home wins for the home team: 2;
- number of away wins for the away team: 3.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv won with a +4.5 points handicap in 6 of last 7 games (Basketball League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 78.88, for the away team - 84.69;
- average total points in H2H matches - 163.57.
Statistics: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv
- average total in the tournament: 169.44 vs 180.53;
- average total points scored: 89.79 vs 98.56;
- average total points conceded: 79.65 vs 81.97;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 46.26 vs 50.91;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 43.12 vs 47.06;
- Hapoel Tel Aviv: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 87.88;
- Maccabi Tel-Aviv: average total points scored away in the tournament - 98.25;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 89.1 (home - 89.25) vs 100 (away - 98).
- Over 176.5 points scored in 7 of last 8 Maccabi Tel-Aviv away games (Basketball League).
β Editorial Prediction
Both teams are known for their attacking style of basketball: Hapoel average nearly 90 points per game this season, while Maccabi are even more prolific, putting up around 99 per contest. The hosts have shown inconsistency on defense, even on their home court, whereas the visitors consistently deliver offensively, as evidenced by their recent run of high-scoring road games. Maccabi bring two strong trends in favor of the over - total points over 176.5 has hit in seven of their last eight away fixtures. This suggests another high-scoring encounter is on the cards, especially given the way both sides play. Even with the stakes as high as they are, we expect both teams to keep the scoreboard ticking. Our pick: over 173.5 points.
Will this prediction come true?
Betting Tips: Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Tel-Aviv
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