Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction 13 November 2026
🏀 Minnesota Timberwolves will play Dallas Mavericks in an NBA regular-season game. Both teams have strong defensive records, which should have a significant impact on how the game unfolds. Without their star player, the home side are unlikely to put up an unusually high score.
Head-to-Head
📊 The teams last met in March, when Minnesota won 124:94 away from home. The Timberwolves have won all five of their last head-to-head games (5-0).
Head-to-head statistics Timberwolves - Mavericks
Minnesota Timberwolves: the hosts play more cautiously without Edwards
The home side are in decent form, with four straight wins, including a 117:107 victory over Houston. Finch’s team have played excellent defence even against top sides, allowing an average of 107 points per game. With McDaniels and Gobert on the roster, they could be just as effective defensively here. Kuminga, Dosunmu and the bench players also show a strong work rate.
Rebounding is another strength of the home side. Thanks to the aforementioned French centre and the energy of the team as a whole, they rank second in the league with 48.8 rebounds per game. At home, they should also do well defending the perimeter: opponents shoot just 32.1% from three against them on average. With Edwards absent, it is hard to expect a sharp shift towards attacking basketball.
Match Results: Minnesota Timberwolves
Dallas Mavericks: the visitors will focus on defence
Dallas are also playing at a solid level and have won three games in a row. They beat Indiana 125:122 a few days ago. When the opportunity arises, the Mavericks play at a very quick pace. They rank fourth in the league for pace. There are also stretches when the visitors deliberately slow things down to avoid unnecessary problems, as they did against Utah (112:100). A trip to Minnesota is unlikely to give them the chance to put on an offensive show, especially as they average just 114.9 points per game.
The Mavericks also look very good defensively. Their numbers are not as strong as Minnesota’s, but the 110.3 points they concede per game put them among the league’s top ten on that measure. Given their high pace, their effectiveness on the defensive end is clear. Their opponents’ three-point percentage of just 31.6% is the clearest evidence of that. Dallas do not, of course, have a player as dominant under the basket as Rudy Gobert. But the team have plenty of size, and, with the exception of Kyrie Irving, everyone can defend at a good level.
Match Results: Dallas Mavericks
Prediction for the 1st quarter
First-quarter prediction
In 8 of the last 9 head-to-head games, the first-quarter total was below 60.5 points. The first quarter has also finished with fewer than 59.5 points in six consecutive Dallas games and fewer than 58.5 points in five consecutive Minnesota home games. We pick First Quarter Total Points Under 60.5 at odds of 1.67*.
Total Goals Prediction
Total Points Prediction
The total has been under 232.5 points in six consecutive Minnesota games. Seven of Dallas’s last eight games have had fewer than 227.5 points. We’re backing Total Points Under 232.5 at odds of 1.56*.
Safer Bet
Reliable bet
In 8 of Dallas's last 9 away games, the total was under 238.5 points. An even lower mark of 232.5 points has not been exceeded in 6 consecutive Minnesota games. We pick Total Points Under 238.5 at odds of 1.32*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial prediction
Bookmakers give the home team a slight edge in this game. When two teams with very strong defences meet, the fourth quarter is always tense. That is when the support of the home crowd becomes especially important. Shooting at familiar baskets is much easier - even one made shot at a crucial moment can make the difference. Before then, however, both teams will give their all defensively. Despite both playing at a high pace, the game is unlikely to turn into a wild shootout. That is why our editorial team suggests betting on under 229.5 total points.
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Betting Tips: Minnesota Timberwolves - Dallas Mavericks
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in last 6 games against Dallas Mavericks (NBA).in 7 of last 8 games (NBA).in 15 of last 16 Minnesota Timberwolves games against Dallas Mavericks (NBA).
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