Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction 21 February 2026

Details
Key points
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    122
    111
    40
    29
    27
    26
    25
    32
    31
    23

    🔊 Can the hosts capitalize on their significant skill advantage? In this NBA regular season clash, Minnesota take on Dallas. Both teams have suffered disappointing losses recently. However, for the Timberwolves, it's a frustrating blip, while for the Mavericks, it's a recurring issue. It's clear that Finch's squad will aim to secure a victory through sheer class.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The previous head-to-head clash took place on January 29. Minnesota, playing away, secured a 118-105 victory. Moreover, the Wolves have triumphed in 4 of their last 5 encounters with the Mavs.

    Head-to-head statistics Timberwolves - Mavericks

    48%
    28 Wins
    52%
    30 Wins
    31.03.26
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    94
    124
    23
    35
    23
    21
    25
    38
    23
    30
    21.02.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    122
    111
    40
    25
    29
    32
    27
    31
    26
    23
    29.01.26
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    105
    118
    29
    31
    19
    27
    27
    34
    30
    26
    18.11.25
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    120
    96
    34
    21
    27
    23
    37
    22
    22
    30
    23.01.25
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    114
    115
    22
    17
    31
    38
    29
    31
    32
    29
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Minnesota Timberwolves Team Overview

    At the moment, Minnesota are gradually finding their rhythm. There have been some targeted roster changes. They've weathered a minor crisis, during which the team took a few hard knocks. But slowly, things are getting back on track: the team boasts a 60.7% win rate. There's a solid opportunity to climb up to the 3rd spot in the West. They'll be putting in maximum effort, especially since all the players have had some rest.

    Of course, it's impossible to overlook that Finch's squad have significantly improved offensively. They've started playing at a higher pace, leading to the 3rd highest scoring average (119.7). It's reasonable to expect they'll get plenty of quality shots from all distances. And under the basket, Rudy Gobert is expected to dominate.

    Match Results: Minnesota Timberwolves

    09.11.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Utah Jazz
    Utah Jazz
    115
    100
    28
    25
    29
    26
    33
    27
    25
    22
    W
    07.11.26
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    109
    115
    30
    27
    21
    30
    28
    20
    30
    38
    W
    05.11.26
    NBA
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    107
    117
    30
    33
    27
    24
    27
    25
    23
    35
    W
    03.11.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Milwaukee Bucks
    Milwaukee Bucks
    112
    100
    29
    18
    19
    29
    32
    29
    32
    24
    W
    01.11.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    121
    111
    34
    28
    26
    33
    33
    27
    28
    23
    L
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    Dallas Mavericks Team Overview

    The Mavericks find themselves in a tough spot. With nine consecutive losses, it's not just about on-court struggles but also significant emotional setbacks. Few teams can endure such prolonged slumps. The team continues to play at a fast pace, generating numerous shots, but this primarily impacts their defensive efforts. They are conceding an average of 118.3 points per game. It's reasonable to predict that their situation could worsen on the road against the Timberwolves.

    Among the few veteran players remaining on the Mavericks roster, there's little desire to put in the effort. The younger players make sporadic attempts to contribute, but against one of the top teams in the Western Conference, it's unlikely to be enough.

    Match Results: Dallas Mavericks

    09.11.26
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn Nets
    130
    93
    33
    26
    33
    20
    34
    25
    30
    22
    W
    07.11.26
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Utah Jazz
    Utah Jazz
    112
    100
    26
    28
    31
    29
    32
    19
    23
    24
    W
    05.11.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    112
    111
    32
    26
    36
    25
    22
    29
    22
    31
    L
    03.11.26
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento Kings
    100
    115
    18
    19
    35
    35
    21
    27
    26
    34
    L
    31.10.26
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    116
    111
    27
    20
    17
    31
    32
    33
    40
    27
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Minnesota Timberwolves

    ✅ As of now, Minnesota have no injuries or absences in their squad.

    📋 Projected lineup: DiVincenzo, Edwards, McDaniels, Randle, Gobert.

    Dallas Mavericks

    ⛔️ In the upcoming game, the Mavericks will be without Lively, Washington, and Irving. Martin remains questionable.

    📋 Projected lineup: Williams, Christie, Washington, Marshall, Gafford.

    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 56;
    • First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 16; for the visitors on the road - 11;
    • Average total points in the first quarter: 54.13;
    • Today's home team averages 27.07, while the visitors average 27.05.

    First Quarter Stats: Minnesota Timberwolves (home) vs Dallas Mavericks (away)

    • Tournament matches played: 31 vs 26;
    • Number of wins: 14 (45.16%) vs 6 (23.08%);
    • Number of losses: 16 (51.61%) vs 19 (73.08%);
    • Number of draws: 1 (3.23%) vs 1 (3.85%).
    • Average points scored: 29.16 vs 28.08;
    • Average points conceded: 28.71 vs 32.42.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 6 vs 0;
    • Number of losses: 4 vs 10;
    • Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
    • Average first quarter total: 58.1 (scored - 30.1, conceded - 28) vs 61.2 (scored - 27.2, conceded - 34).
    Trends
    • Minnesota Timberwolves won the 1st quarter in 7 of last 8 home games against Dallas Mavericks (NBA).
    • Dallas Mavericks lost the 1st quarter in 12 of last 13 away games (NBA).
    • Dallas Mavericks lost the 1st quarter in last 10 games (NBA).
    👉Prediction: 1st Quarter Minnesota Timberwolves to Win

    🏀 Three-Point Shooting

    Recently, Minnesota have been performing well from beyond the arc, converting 37.6% of their attempts. This ranks among the best in the league. Defensively, their perimeter game is slightly less impressive but still positive, with opponents hitting 35.8% of their shots.

    Currently, the Mavericks are among the league's worst teams in terms of long-range accuracy, managing just 34.4%. Interestingly, they lead the NBA in perimeter defense, allowing opponents to make only 33.7% of their three-point shots.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    In the current situation, the favorite is clear-Minnesota. The team boasts depth, a well-gelled core, and the advantage of home court. It's hard to envision a scenario where the Mavericks can put up any significant resistance. Sure, someone might rack up decent stats, but even that is unlikely to come with efficient execution. Their only hope lies in speed-there will be plenty of attempts and consequently a high score. But the same goes for the favorites. According to our editorial team, the Timberwolves are more than capable of scoring 120+. With this in mind, it makes sense to consider Minnesota's total over 123.5 points.

    Minnesota Timberwolves Total points Over (123,5)
    Odds-111
    Published: 19/02/2026, 19:35

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    Betting Tips: Minnesota Timberwolves - Dallas Mavericks

    Minnesota Timberwolves won the 1st quarter:
    minnesota-timberwolvesdallas-mavericksin 7 of last 8 home games against Dallas Mavericks (NBA).
    Dallas Mavericks lost the 1st quarter:
    dallas-mavericksin 12 of last 13 away games (NBA).
    dallas-mavericksin last 10 games (NBA).
    1st Quarter Minnesota Timberwolves to Win
    -250
    Minnesota Timberwolves won the 3rd quarter:
    minnesota-timberwolvesdallas-mavericksin 7 of last 8 games against Dallas Mavericks (NBA).
    3rd Quarter Minnesota Timberwolves to Win
    -222
    Dallas Mavericks lost the 1st half:
    dallas-mavericksin 10 of last 11 away games (NBA).
    dallas-mavericksin last 9 games (NBA).
    1st Half Minnesota Timberwolves to Win
    -417
    Dallas Mavericks have lost:
    dallas-mavericksin last 9 games (NBA).
    Minnesota Timberwolves Win (inc. OT)
    Everygame
    -714
    View more facts

    Timberwolves - Mavericks Table position

    Group stage WESTA
    MPWLForm
    1.
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    440
    2.
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix Suns
    431
    3.
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    422
    4.
    Utah Jazz
    Utah Jazz
    413
    5.
    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento Kings
    404