Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction 29 January 2026
🔊 Can the visitors deliver another stellar defensive performance? In the NBA regular season, Dallas will face off against Minnesota. The teams are in vastly different states. The Mavericks are languishing near the bottom of the Western Conference standings, while the Timberwolves are pushing to join the conference leaders. The Wolves boast a more impressive roster. They are well-coordinated and capable of achieving results.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical analysis of previous official games between the Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves:
- Played 55 games;
- Wins (including overtime): 30 for the current home team and 25 for the visitors;
- The home team averages 107.71 points per game, while the visitors average 106.64;
- The average total score per game is 214.35.
The last encounter took place on 18 November 2025 at the Minnesota Timberwolves' court and ended with a score of 120-96.
Head-to-head statistics Mavericks - Timberwolves

Dallas Mavericks Team Overview
At the moment, Dallas boast an unexpectedly strong record. Yes, they recently suffered a defeat to the Los Angeles Lakers (110-116). However, prior to that, they secured four consecutive victories. It's worth noting that their double-header against Utah (138-120, 144-122) might not be the best measure of their prowess. Yet, their triumphs over New York (114-97) and Golden State (123-115) are particularly noteworthy. This suggests that the hosts can occasionally rise to the occasion against top-tier teams, especially when it comes to defense-whether consistently or in crucial moments.
When examining the stats, the Mavericks can primarily be praised for their secondary aspects. For instance, their perimeter defense stands out: opponents are making just 33.1% of their three-point attempts. These are impressive numbers. However, on the offensive end, the Mavericks average 114.3 points per game. With this metric, maintaining competitiveness is quite challenging.
Match Results: Dallas Mavericks

Minnesota Timberwolves Team Overview
The Minnesota basketball team has been hit with a series of significant setbacks. For instance, they fell to the Golden State Warriors with a score of 85-111. However, they managed to exact revenge with a 108-83 victory. It's clear that much of the team's performance hinges on their mindset. Throughout the season, results have tended to come in streaks. It seems likely that a run of success is on the horizon, especially as the battle for a top-six spot in the Western Conference heats up.
By many statistical measures, Minnesota significantly outperforms their opponent. The Timberwolves boast impressive offensive numbers, averaging 119.2 points per game. Their three-point shooting is also commendable, with a 37.1% accuracy rate. However, context is key. Recently, the Timberwolves have adopted a slower pace, focusing heavily on defense. Their potential in this area is substantial, allowing an average of 115 points. Additionally, the team can dominate under the basket, thanks to Rudy Gobert's presence.
Match Results: Minnesota Timberwolves
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 55;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 16; for the visitors on the road - 11;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 54.02;
- Today's home team averages 27.02, while the visitors average 27.
First Quarter Stats: Dallas Mavericks (home) vs Minnesota Timberwolves (away)
- Tournament matches played: 28 vs 27;
- Number of wins: 13 (46.43%) vs 16 (59.26%);
- Number of losses: 14 (50%) vs 10 (37.04%);
- Number of draws: 1 (3.57%) vs 1 (3.7%).
- Average points scored: 29.36 vs 29.22;
- Average points conceded: 29 vs 27.67.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 4 vs 8;
- Number of losses: 6 vs 2;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 59.3 (scored - 29.7, conceded - 29.6) vs 54.9 (scored - 28.9, conceded - 26).
- Minnesota Timberwolves scored under 29.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 6 away games against Dallas Mavericks (NBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 55;
- Home team wins - 30, away team wins - 25.
- Dallas Mavericks won with a +6.5 points handicap in 14 of last 15 home games against Minnesota Timberwolves (NBA).
- Dallas Mavericks won with a +6.5 points handicap in 8 of last 9 games against Minnesota Timberwolves (NBA).
- Dallas Mavericks won with a +6.5 points handicap in last 5 games (NBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 107.71, for the away team - 106.64;
- average total points in H2H matches - 214.35.
Statistics: Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves
- average total in the tournament: 229.58 vs 233.25;
- average total points scored: 114.28 vs 119.08;
- average total points conceded: 115.3 vs 114.17;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 56.7 vs 57.74;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 56.72 vs 60.04;
- Dallas Mavericks: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 115.68;
- Minnesota Timberwolves: average total points scored away in the tournament - 122.22;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 117.2 (home - 122.83) vs 116.6 (away - 124.6).
- Minnesota Timberwolves have scored under 119.5 points in 8 of last 9 away games against Dallas Mavericks (NBA).