Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction 29 January 2026

Details
Key points
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    105
    118
    29
    19
    27
    30
    31
    27
    34
    26

    🔊 Can the visitors deliver another stellar defensive performance? In the NBA regular season, Dallas will face off against Minnesota. The teams are in vastly different states. The Mavericks are languishing near the bottom of the Western Conference standings, while the Timberwolves are pushing to join the conference leaders. The Wolves boast a more impressive roster. They are well-coordinated and capable of achieving results.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Statistical analysis of previous official games between the Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves:

    • Played 55 games;
    • Wins (including overtime): 30 for the current home team and 25 for the visitors;
    • The home team averages 107.71 points per game, while the visitors average 106.64;
    • The average total score per game is 214.35.

    The last encounter took place on 18 November 2025 at the Minnesota Timberwolves' court and ended with a score of 120-96.

    Head-to-head statistics Mavericks - Timberwolves

    52%
    30 Wins
    48%
    28 Wins
    31.03.26
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    94
    124
    23
    35
    23
    21
    25
    38
    23
    30
    21.02.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    122
    111
    40
    25
    29
    32
    27
    31
    26
    23
    29.01.26
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    105
    118
    29
    31
    19
    27
    27
    34
    30
    26
    18.11.25
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    120
    96
    34
    21
    27
    23
    37
    22
    22
    30
    23.01.25
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    114
    115
    22
    17
    31
    38
    29
    31
    32
    29
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Dallas Mavericks Team Overview

    At the moment, Dallas boast an unexpectedly strong record. Yes, they recently suffered a defeat to the Los Angeles Lakers (110-116). However, prior to that, they secured four consecutive victories. It's worth noting that their double-header against Utah (138-120, 144-122) might not be the best measure of their prowess. Yet, their triumphs over New York (114-97) and Golden State (123-115) are particularly noteworthy. This suggests that the hosts can occasionally rise to the occasion against top-tier teams, especially when it comes to defense-whether consistently or in crucial moments.

    When examining the stats, the Mavericks can primarily be praised for their secondary aspects. For instance, their perimeter defense stands out: opponents are making just 33.1% of their three-point attempts. These are impressive numbers. However, on the offensive end, the Mavericks average 114.3 points per game. With this metric, maintaining competitiveness is quite challenging.

    Match Results: Dallas Mavericks

    09.11.26
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn Nets
    130
    93
    33
    26
    33
    20
    34
    25
    30
    22
    W
    07.11.26
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Utah Jazz
    Utah Jazz
    112
    100
    26
    28
    31
    29
    32
    19
    23
    24
    W
    05.11.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    112
    111
    32
    26
    36
    25
    22
    29
    22
    31
    L
    03.11.26
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento Kings
    100
    115
    18
    19
    35
    35
    21
    27
    26
    34
    L
    31.10.26
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    116
    111
    27
    20
    17
    31
    32
    33
    40
    27
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Minnesota Timberwolves Team Overview

    The Minnesota basketball team has been hit with a series of significant setbacks. For instance, they fell to the Golden State Warriors with a score of 85-111. However, they managed to exact revenge with a 108-83 victory. It's clear that much of the team's performance hinges on their mindset. Throughout the season, results have tended to come in streaks. It seems likely that a run of success is on the horizon, especially as the battle for a top-six spot in the Western Conference heats up.

    By many statistical measures, Minnesota significantly outperforms their opponent. The Timberwolves boast impressive offensive numbers, averaging 119.2 points per game. Their three-point shooting is also commendable, with a 37.1% accuracy rate. However, context is key. Recently, the Timberwolves have adopted a slower pace, focusing heavily on defense. Their potential in this area is substantial, allowing an average of 115 points. Additionally, the team can dominate under the basket, thanks to Rudy Gobert's presence.

    Match Results: Minnesota Timberwolves

    09.11.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Utah Jazz
    Utah Jazz
    115
    100
    28
    25
    29
    26
    33
    27
    25
    22
    W
    07.11.26
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    109
    115
    30
    27
    21
    30
    28
    20
    30
    38
    W
    05.11.26
    NBA
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    107
    117
    30
    33
    27
    24
    27
    25
    23
    35
    W
    03.11.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Milwaukee Bucks
    Milwaukee Bucks
    112
    100
    29
    18
    19
    29
    32
    29
    32
    24
    W
    01.11.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    121
    111
    34
    28
    26
    33
    33
    27
    28
    23
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 55;
    • First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 16; for the visitors on the road - 11;
    • Average total points in the first quarter: 54.02;
    • Today's home team averages 27.02, while the visitors average 27.

    First Quarter Stats: Dallas Mavericks (home) vs Minnesota Timberwolves (away)

    • Tournament matches played: 28 vs 27;
    • Number of wins: 13 (46.43%) vs 16 (59.26%);
    • Number of losses: 14 (50%) vs 10 (37.04%);
    • Number of draws: 1 (3.57%) vs 1 (3.7%).
    • Average points scored: 29.36 vs 29.22;
    • Average points conceded: 29 vs 27.67.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 4 vs 8;
    • Number of losses: 6 vs 2;
    • Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
    • Average first quarter total: 59.3 (scored - 29.7, conceded - 29.6) vs 54.9 (scored - 28.9, conceded - 26).
    Trends
    • Minnesota Timberwolves scored under 29.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 6 away games against Dallas Mavericks (NBA).
    👉Prediction: 1st Quarter, Minnesota Timberwolves Total points Under (29,5)(odds: 1.84)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • Number of encounters - 55;
    • Home team wins - 30, away team wins - 25.
    Trends
    • Dallas Mavericks won with a +6.5 points handicap in 14 of last 15 home games against Minnesota Timberwolves (NBA).
    • Dallas Mavericks won with a +6.5 points handicap in 8 of last 9 games against Minnesota Timberwolves (NBA).
    • Dallas Mavericks won with a +6.5 points handicap in last 5 games (NBA).
    👉Prediction: Dallas Mavericks Handicap (+6,5)(odds: 1.97)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H:

    • average total points per match for the home team - 107.71, for the away team - 106.64;
    • average total points in H2H matches - 214.35.

    Statistics: Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

    • average total in the tournament: 229.58 vs 233.25;
    • average total points scored: 114.28 vs 119.08;
    • average total points conceded: 115.3 vs 114.17;
    • average total points scored in the 1st half: 56.7 vs 57.74;
    • average total points scored in the 2nd half: 56.72 vs 60.04;
    • Dallas Mavericks: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 115.68;
    • Minnesota Timberwolves: average total points scored away in the tournament - 122.22;
    • last 10 matches (average total points scored): 117.2 (home - 122.83) vs 116.6 (away - 124.6).
    Trends
    • Minnesota Timberwolves have scored under 119.5 points in 8 of last 9 away games against Dallas Mavericks (NBA).
    👉Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves Total points Under (119,5)(odds: 1.83)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Given the current circumstances, bookmakers are favoring Minnesota. With Anthony Edwards returning to the lineup, this preference is entirely logical and justified. The hosts might be eager to engage in a shootout, especially since their roster seems built for it. However, the game against the Lakers revealed that they struggle to close out games effectively. A nerve-wracking fourth quarter seems almost inevitable. Minnesota need to demonstrate more confidence, particularly on their own end. Considering the bookmakers' odds, our editorial team suggests betting on the total under 235.5 points.

    Total points Under (235,5)
    Odds-154
    Published: 28/01/2026, 10:36

    No comments

    Minimum 20 characters, maximum 500 characters

    Betting Tips: Dallas Mavericks - Minnesota Timberwolves

    Dallas Mavericks lost the 3rd quarter:
    dallas-mavericksminnesota-timberwolvesin 15 of last 16 home games against Minnesota Timberwolves (NBA).
    3rd Quarter Minnesota Timberwolves to Win
    -159
    Minnesota Timberwolves won the 1st quarter:
    minnesota-timberwolvesin last 7 away games (NBA).
    1st Quarter Minnesota Timberwolves to Win
    -167
    Dallas Mavericks scored over 52.5 points in the 1st half:
    dallas-mavericksminnesota-timberwolvesin 12 of last 14 home games against Minnesota Timberwolves (NBA).
    1st Half, Dallas Mavericks Total points Over (52,5)
    -149
    Over 56.5 points in the 4th quarter:
    dallas-mavericksin 7 of last 8 Dallas Mavericks games (NBA).
    dallas-mavericksin last 6 Dallas Mavericks home games (NBA).
    minnesota-timberwolvesin 11 of last 12 Minnesota Timberwolves away games (NBA).
    4th Quarter Total Over 56,5
    Bovada
    -110
    View more facts

    Mavericks - Timberwolves Table position

    Group stage WESTA
    MPWLForm
    1.
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    440
    2.
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix Suns
    431
    3.
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    422
    4.
    Utah Jazz
    Utah Jazz
    413
    5.
    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento Kings
    404