Nuggets vs Memphis Prediction 9 April 2026

Details
Key points
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    136
    119
    37
    31
    39
    29
    33
    39
    22
    25

    🔊 Will the hosts continue their highly efficient performances? In this NBA regular season matchup, Denver face off against Memphis. The hosts are aiming to maintain their hold on the 3rd spot in the Western Conference, so they're determined to win every battle. Meanwhile, the visitors have nothing at stake-they're hitting the court with their reserves and just looking to pad their stats. The difference in class is evident. And this should make an impact.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The last matchup between these opponents took place on March 19. The Grizzlies pulled off a surprising victory with a score of 125-118. Prior to that, Denver had won four consecutive head-to-head encounters.

    Head-to-head statistics Nuggets - Memphis

    55%
    28 Wins
    45%
    23 Wins
    09.04.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    136
    119
    37
    33
    31
    39
    39
    22
    29
    25
    19.03.26
    NBA
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    125
    118
    31
    30
    29
    30
    39
    31
    26
    27
    12.02.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    122
    116
    30
    28
    30
    26
    33
    27
    29
    35
    25.11.25
    NBA
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    115
    125
    23
    27
    31
    35
    31
    31
    30
    32
    12.04.25
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    117
    109
    28
    35
    25
    24
    39
    36
    25
    14
    Empty
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    Denver Nuggets Team Overview

    At home, Denver are showcasing top-tier basketball, particularly in their offensive play. They recently outplayed Portland (137-132) and even San Antonio (136-134). Yes, each of these victories came after overtime, but the Nuggets consistently scored over 120 points in regulation. This was also true in their game against Utah (130-117). Another shootout could be on the cards against Memphis, especially with all the key players in top form, suggesting a higher level of efficiency than in their last head-to-head.

    Looking at the stats, it's important to highlight not just their scoring average (120.5), but also their shooting percentage-49.5%. This ranks them second in the NBA's offensive ratings. Additionally, the Nuggets excel in ball movement, averaging 28.7 assists per game. It's clear that Nikola Jokic and company are unlikely to face significant challenges against the current Grizzlies lineup. Moreover, their defense can also step up situationally.

    Match Results: Denver Nuggets

    07.11.26
    NBA
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    102
    114
    19
    27
    22
    37
    37
    26
    24
    24
    W
    05.11.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    128
    109
    33
    35
    31
    32
    41
    15
    23
    27
    W
    03.11.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Portland Trail Blazers
    Portland Trail Blazers
    110
    118
    31
    19
    35
    39
    21
    27
    23
    33
    L
    31.10.26
    NBA
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix Suns
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    120
    127
    37
    32
    30
    39
    26
    32
    27
    24
    W
    29.10.26
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    91
    104
    18
    37
    27
    20
    28
    22
    18
    25
    W
    Empty
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    Memphis Grizzlies Team Overview

    The visitors continue to rely heavily on their deep reserves. Memphis management is focused on maximizing the number of losses. This strategy is paying off, as they've dropped five games in a row. Overall, their win percentage stands at just 31.6%. There are no clear signs that they will succeed in the upcoming clash. Their unpredictable style of play, which occasionally poses problems, is unlikely to be paired with high-quality shooting. After all, the "Bears" roster is far from ideal. Therefore, the primary focus should be on the volume of points conceded-averaging 118.1 per game.

    It's worth considering that Memphis's erratic style might allow certain players to rack up impressive personal stats. For instance, Coward has been performing well. Additionally, the team excels in fast breaks, especially following steals. However, even under these conditions, Memphis concedes far more than they score. A prime example was their game against an under-strength Cleveland lineup (126-142).

    Match Results: Memphis Grizzlies

    07.11.26
    NBA
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    97
    128
    28
    35
    21
    36
    27
    27
    21
    30
    L
    05.11.26
    NBA
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    103
    107
    24
    32
    28
    22
    30
    26
    21
    27
    L
    03.11.26
    NBA
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    134
    135
    31
    34
    31
    25
    33
    41
    29
    24
    10
    11
    L
    01.11.26
    NBA
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento Kings
    136
    105
    27
    21
    39
    34
    42
    25
    28
    25
    W
    30.10.26
    NBA
    Portland Trail Blazers
    Portland Trail Blazers
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    103
    124
    25
    25
    33
    33
    25
    33
    20
    33
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Denver Nuggets

    ⛔️ Jones and Watson are sidelined for the hosts due to injuries.

    📋 Probable lineup: Murray, Brown, Johnson, Gordon, Jokic.

    Memphis Grizzlies

    ⛔️ The visitors cannot rely on Aldama, Morant, Clarke, Jerome, Pippen, Spencer, Wells, and Caldwell-Pope.

    📋 Projected lineup: Williamson, Coward, Clayton, Jackson, Prosper.

    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 50;
    • First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 15; for the visitors on the road - 9;
    • Average total points in the first quarter: 50.62;
    • Today's home team averages 24.68, while the visitors average 25.94.

    First Quarter Stats: Denver Nuggets (home) vs Memphis Grizzlies (away)

    • Tournament matches played: 41 vs 39;
    • Number of wins: 27 (65.85%) vs 13 (33.33%);
    • Number of losses: 14 (34.15%) vs 23 (58.97%);
    • Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 3 (7.69%).
    • Average points scored: 31.17 vs 29.31;
    • Average points conceded: 28.51 vs 30.77.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 4 vs 1;
    • Number of losses: 6 vs 9;
    • Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
    • Average first quarter total: 65.6 (scored - 32.7, conceded - 32.9) vs 59.6 (scored - 26.8, conceded - 32.8).
    Trends
    • Memphis Grizzlies lost the 1st quarter in 10 of last 11 games (NBA).
    👉Prediction: 1st Quarter Denver Nuggets to Win

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • Number of encounters - 50;
    • Home team wins - 27, away team wins - 23.
    Trends
    • Memphis Grizzlies won with a +25.5 points handicap in 17 of last 18 away games against Denver Nuggets (NBA).
    • Memphis Grizzlies won with a +25.5 points handicap in 21 of last 22 away games (NBA).
    👉Prediction: Memphis Grizzlies Handicap (+25,5)(odds: 1.55)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H:

    • average total points per match for the home team - 104.64, for the away team - 102.64;
    • average total points in H2H matches - 207.28.

    Statistics: Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies

    • average total in the tournament: 237.46 vs 235.62;
    • average total points scored: 121 vs 115.12;
    • average total points conceded: 116.46 vs 120.5;
    • average total points scored in the 1st half: 60.1 vs 58.06;
    • average total points scored in the 2nd half: 59.5 vs 56.83;
    • Denver Nuggets: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 120.24;
    • Memphis Grizzlies: average total points scored away in the tournament - 114.62;
    • last 10 matches (average total points scored): 128.8 (home - 130.71) vs 110.1 (away - 107.67).
    Trends
    • Memphis Grizzlies have scored over 108.5 points in last 5 games against Denver Nuggets (NBA).
    👉Prediction: Memphis Grizzlies Total points Over (108,5)(odds: 1.64)

    Editorial Prediction

    In this matchup, the Denver players are clear favorites. They come into the game with a full roster, motivated and riding high after two overtime victories. Nikola Jokic and company have only recently regrouped in full force, and with the playoffs approaching, they need to return to their usual rhythm and interactions on the court, with some players needing to find their shooting touch again. Therefore, we can expect a very focused approach from the favorites. Memphis will keep running, shooting, and conceding heavily, and against the Grizzlies' third lineup, one of the best teams of the season is unlikely to face many challenges. Our editorial team suggests betting on Denver's total over 131.5 points.

    Denver Nuggets Total points Over (131,5)
    Odds-147
    Published: 08/04/2026, 06:29

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    Betting Tips: Denver Nuggets - Memphis Grizzlies

    Denver Nuggets have won:
    denver-nuggetsmemphis-grizzliesin 13 of last 14 home games against Memphis Grizzlies (NBA).
    denver-nuggetsin last 9 games (NBA).
    Denver Nuggets have won (inc. OT):
    denver-nuggetsin last 2 games (NBA).
    Memphis Grizzlies have lost:
    memphis-grizzliesin 10 of last 11 games (NBA).
    memphis-grizzliesin last 8 away games (NBA).
    Denver Nuggets Win (inc. OT)
    Bovada
    -10000
    Denver Nuggets won the 2nd quarter:
    denver-nuggetsmemphis-grizzliesin 8 of last 9 games against Memphis Grizzlies (NBA).
    2nd Quarter Denver Nuggets to Win
    -385
    Memphis Grizzlies lost the 1st half:
    memphis-grizzliesin last 11 games (NBA).
    memphis-grizzliesin last 5 away games (NBA).
    1st Half Denver Nuggets to Win
    -1667
    Memphis Grizzlies lost the 1st quarter:
    memphis-grizzliesin 10 of last 11 games (NBA).
    1st Quarter Denver Nuggets to Win
    -500
    View more facts

    Nuggets - Memphis Table position

    Group stage WESTB
    MPWLForm
    1.
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    440
    2.
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    431
    3.
    Los Angeles Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    422
    4.
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    413
    5.
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    404