Philippines vs Bahrain Prediction 11 September 2026

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The main thing

    🏀 The Philippines host Bahrain in one of the Asian Games matchups. For the nominal hosts, this clash presents a chance to prove their competitiveness after a string of mixed results. Bahrain, meanwhile, come into the game riding an impressive winning streak, hoping to extend their run of success against a formidable opponent.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The two national teams have only met once in an official game. That match took place on 26 September 2023 in the Philippines, where the home side cruised to an 89-61 victory.

    Head-to-head statistics Philippines - Bahrain

    100%
    1 Win
    0%
    0 Wins
    26.09.23
    ABG
    Philippines
    Philippines
    Bahrain
    Bahrain
    89
    61
    22
    18
    29
    15
    21
    14
    17
    14
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Philippines Team Overview

    The Philippines national team have shown inconsistent form recently, picking up two wins and suffering three defeats in their last five outings. Over their previous ten games, they have claimed victory six times but fallen short on four occasions. Averaging 73.5 points scored and 75.4 points conceded per game, their numbers trail behind those of their current opponents. The squad have struggled at times to put points on the board, finding it difficult to break down tight defenses - especially when forced to push the tempo or adapt to a more physical, aggressive style of play. It’s also worth noting that, for various reasons, the Philippines are competing in this tournament with a largely second-string roster. Key player Brownlee is among those absent.

    Match Results: Philippines

    30.08.26
    FIBA AS Qualifier
    Philippines
    Philippines
    Iran
    Iran
    68
    56
    7
    18
    29
    16
    13
    13
    19
    9
    W
    28.08.26
    FIBA AS Qualifier
    Jordan
    Jordan
    Philippines
    Philippines
    81
    82
    28
    14
    16
    25
    14
    15
    14
    18
    9
    10
    W
    06.07.26
    FIBA AS Qualifier
    Australia
    Australia
    Philippines
    Philippines
    92
    49
    33
    14
    8
    13
    22
    10
    29
    12
    L
    03.07.26
    FIBA AS Qualifier
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    Philippines
    Philippines
    106
    102
    23
    17
    21
    22
    19
    25
    20
    19
    23
    19
    L
    01.03.26
    FIBA AS Qualifier
    Philippines
    Philippines
    Australia
    Australia
    66
    93
    13
    14
    20
    24
    20
    30
    13
    25
    L
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    Bahrain Team Overview

    Bahrain are in outstanding form, riding a five-game winning streak that highlights the team's confidence heading into the Asian Games and their consistent results in recent weeks. Over their last ten outings, Bahrain have claimed eight victories and suffered just two defeats, maintaining an aggressive offensive approach coupled with a disciplined defense. On average, Bahrain are putting up 85.7 points per game while conceding only 73.8 - both figures surpassing the majority of tournament participants. This balance underscores their high level of organization on both ends of the court. Sampson, Thomas, Ajukwa, and Ilic - their naturalized players - are expected to be difference-makers against a fragmented Philippines side.

    Match Results: Bahrain

    31.08.26
    Asia Cup Qualification
    Kuwait
    Kuwait
    Bahrain
    Bahrain
    67
    95
    11
    19
    19
    26
    18
    24
    19
    26
    W
    30.08.26
    Asia Cup Qualification
    Bahrain
    Bahrain
    Nepal
    Nepal
    105
    71
    25
    14
    26
    8
    23
    18
    31
    31
    W
    28.08.26
    Asia Cup Qualification
    United Arab Emirates
    United Arab Emirates
    Bahrain
    Bahrain
    80
    83
    16
    26
    22
    5
    19
    22
    23
    30
    W
    21.08.26
    International
    Bahrain
    Bahrain
    Saudi Arabia
    Saudi Arabia
    100
    83
    21
    26
    25
    18
    36
    14
    18
    25
    W
    20.08.26
    International
    Qatar
    Qatar
    Bahrain
    Bahrain
    69
    76
    23
    20
    17
    26
    14
    18
    15
    12
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters: 1;
    • First quarter wins at home for the hosts: 0; for the visitors on the road: 0;
    • Average total points in the first quarter: 40;
    • Today's home team averages 22 points, while the visitors average 18.
    Trends
    • Philippines lost the 1st quarter in last 10 games.
    👉Prediction: 1st Quarter Bahrain Win

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H:

    • average total points per match for the home team - 89, for the away team - 61;
    • average total points in H2H matches - 150.

    Statistics Philippines vs Bahrain in the last 10 matches:

    • average total points scored: 73.5 vs 85.7;
    • Philippines: average total points scored home - 69.83;
    • Bahrain: average total points scored away - 85.17.
    Trends
    • Under 163.5 points scored in 9 of last 10 Philippines games.
    👉Prediction: (odds: 1.67)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • Number of encounters - 1;
    • Home team wins - 1, away team wins - 0.
    Trends
    • Bahrain have won in last 7 games.
    👉Prediction: Bahrain Win (inc. OT) (odds: 1.29)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    If the Philippines were fielding their strongest squad, the outlook would be quite different. However, with the nominal hosts relying on a largely reserve roster, Bahrain’s superiority is undeniable. It’s hard to see the Philippines keeping pace, as they trail their opponents in most areas. Bahrain’s new high-caliber coach and a roster stacked with top regional talent should lead the favorites to a comfortable win. We’re backing Bahrain to cover the -5.5 handicap.

    Bahrain Handicap (-5,5)
    Published: 10/09/2026, 18:10
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Basketball expert
    22
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    44 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Philippines - Bahrain

    Bahrain won the 3rd quarter:
    bahrainin last 10 games.
    3rd Quarter Bahrain Win
    -161
    Philippines lost the 1st quarter:
    philippines-2in last 10 games.
    1st Quarter Bahrain Win
    -167
    Bahrain won the 2nd half:
    bahrainin last 7 games.
    2nd Half Bahrain Win
    -192
    Bahrain have won:
    bahrainin last 7 games.
    Bahrain Win (inc. OT)
    -323
    View more facts

    Philippines - Bahrain Table position

    Group stage Group C
    gWLForm
    1.
    China
    China
    000
    2.
    Philippines
    Philippines
    000
    3.
    Bahrain
    Bahrain
    000
    4.
    Kazakhstan
    Kazakhstan
    000