China vs Kazakhstan Prediction 11 September 2026

Details
Key points
    China
    China
    Kazakhstan
    Kazakhstan
    99
    61
    31
    27
    21
    20
    12
    19
    13
    17

    πŸ€ China host Kazakhstan in one of today's Asian Games matchups. The hosts hold a massive advantage in quality and enter as overwhelming favorites, reflected by a daunting handicap line. There’s little doubt about the outcome - China are expected to cruise to victory. The real question is how wide the margin will be when the final buzzer sounds.

    Head-to-Head

    πŸ“ŠStatistical analysis of previous official games between the teams China and Kazakhstan:

    • played 5 matches;
    • wins (including extra time): 5 for today's home team and 0 for the guests;
    • the home team averages 74 points per match, the guests - 62;
    • average total match points - 136.

    The last confrontation took place on 23 February 2023 at the venue of China and ended with a score of 71:59.

    Head-to-head statistics China - Kazakhstan

    100%
    6 Wins
    0%
    0 Wins
    11.09.26
    ABG
    China
    China
    Kazakhstan
    Kazakhstan
    99
    61
    31
    12
    27
    19
    21
    13
    20
    17
    23.02.23
    World Cup Qualification, Asia & Oceania
    China
    China
    Kazakhstan
    Kazakhstan
    71
    59
    21
    12
    22
    10
    16
    18
    12
    19
    25.08.22
    World Cup Qualification, Asia & Oceania
    Kazakhstan
    Kazakhstan
    China
    China
    56
    68
    14
    23
    10
    18
    18
    7
    14
    20
    23.08.18
    ABG
    Kazakhstan
    Kazakhstan
    China
    China
    66
    83
    18
    26
    19
    12
    12
    31
    17
    14
    27.09.15
    Asia Ch.ship
    China
    China
    Kazakhstan
    Kazakhstan
    75
    62
    23
    14
    19
    12
    19
    19
    14
    17
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    China Team Overview

    China are in strong form, having claimed three wins in their last five outings and seven victories from their previous ten games. Their most recent matchup ended in a convincing win. On average, the team scores 84.6 points per game while allowing 78.7 - numbers that highlight an impressive offense coupled with a solid defensive effort. Offensively, China consistently converts their shots, maintaining high scoring even against evenly matched opponents. Defensively, they are capable of containing fast breaks, though there are occasional games where they concede a significant number of points.

    Match Results: China

    20.09.26
    ABG
    China
    China
    Iran
    Iran
    70
    79
    17
    12
    14
    17
    15
    26
    24
    24
    L
    18.09.26
    ABG
    Japan
    Japan
    China
    China
    97
    77
    28
    15
    21
    15
    34
    22
    14
    25
    L
    16.09.26
    ABG
    China
    China
    Saudi Arabia
    Saudi Arabia
    87
    78
    27
    24
    21
    15
    14
    23
    25
    16
    W
    14.09.26
    ABG
    China
    China
    Philippines
    Philippines
    105
    61
    36
    16
    30
    14
    13
    10
    26
    21
    W
    12.09.26
    ABG
    Bahrain
    Bahrain
    China
    China
    59
    105
    11
    32
    18
    14
    13
    25
    17
    34
    W
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    Kazakhstan Team Overview

    Kazakhstan have struggled for consistency when facing top contenders. The team often find it difficult to cope against opponents boasting a strong frontcourt. Kazakhstan typically rely on perimeter shooting and a fast-paced game, but their offense tends to stall under tight marking and aggressive pressing. The underdog averages 73.9 points per game while maintaining a solid defense, conceding just 71.7 points on average. However, it will be a tall order for them to keep up those numbers against a much more powerful China.

    Match Results: Kazakhstan

    14.09.26
    ABG
    Bahrain
    Bahrain
    Kazakhstan
    Kazakhstan
    101
    78
    28
    15
    27
    24
    22
    17
    24
    22
    L
    12.09.26
    ABG
    Kazakhstan
    Kazakhstan
    Philippines
    Philippines
    78
    109
    15
    18
    22
    32
    29
    32
    12
    27
    L
    11.09.26
    ABG
    China
    China
    Kazakhstan
    Kazakhstan
    99
    61
    31
    12
    27
    19
    21
    13
    20
    17
    L
    31.08.26
    Asia Cup Qualification
    Sri Lanka
    Sri Lanka
    Kazakhstan
    Kazakhstan
    58
    87
    8
    25
    7
    26
    20
    14
    23
    22
    W
    30.08.26
    Asia Cup Qualification
    Kazakhstan
    Kazakhstan
    Kyrgyzstan
    Kyrgyzstan
    88
    67
    23
    18
    26
    13
    25
    18
    14
    18
    W
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    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters: 5;
    • First quarter wins at home for the hosts: 1; for the visitors on the road: 0;
    • Average total points in the first quarter: 37.4;
    • Today's home team averages 23.4 points, while the visitors average 14.
    Trends
    • Under 40.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 China games.
    • Under 40.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 5 China games (Asian Games - Men's Basketball).
    • Under 40.5 points in the 1st quarter in 14 of last 16 Kazakhstan games.
    👉Prediction: (odds: 1.83)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H:

    • average total points per match for the home team - 74, for the away team - 62;
    • average total points in H2H matches - 136.

    Statistics China vs Kazakhstan in the last 10 matches:

    • average total points scored: 84.6 vs 73.9;
    • China: average total points scored home - 84.78;
    • Kazakhstan: average total points scored away - 71.6.
    Trends
    • China have scored under 93.5 points in last 5 games against Kazakhstan.
    • China have scored under 93.5 points in 13 of last 14 games.
    👉Prediction: (odds: 1.85)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • Number of encounters - 5;
    • Home team wins - 5, away team wins - 0.
    Trends
    • Kazakhstan won with a +26.5 points handicap in last 5 games against China.
    • Kazakhstan won with a +26.5 points handicap in 15 of last 16 games.
    • Kazakhstan won with a +26.5 points handicap in last 5 games (Asian Games - Men's Basketball).
    👉Prediction: (odds: 1.9)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    China tend to execute their attacks with confidence, avoiding unnecessary risks, while Kazakhstan usually focus on restricting their opponents through disciplined defense and ball control. The recent trend is clear: Kazakhstan have surpassed the 66.5-point mark just once in their last six official outings. Facing China as heavy underdogs, the visitors could struggle to put points on the board. We're backing Kazakhstan's individual total under 67.
    Kazakhstan Total points Under (67)
    Odds-130
    Published: 10/09/2026, 15:40
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Basketball expert
    69
    0
    53
    122 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: China - Kazakhstan

    Kazakhstan lost the 1st half:
    china-4kazakhstan-1in last 5 games against China.
    1st Half China to Win
    -3333
    Under 158.5 points scored:
    china-4kazakhstan-1in last 5 China games against Kazakhstan.
    china-4in last 5 China games (Asian Games - Men's Basketball).
    kazakhstan-1in 15 of last 16 Kazakhstan games.
    kazakhstan-1in last 6 Kazakhstan games (Asian Games - Men's Basketball).
    Total points Under (158,5)
    +100
    Under 40.5 points in the 1st quarter:
    china-4in 6 of last 7 China games.
    china-4in last 5 China games (Asian Games - Men's Basketball).
    kazakhstan-1in 14 of last 16 Kazakhstan games.
    1st Quarter Total Under 40,5
    -120
    China have scored under 93.5 points:
    china-4kazakhstan-1in last 5 games against Kazakhstan.
    china-4in 13 of last 14 games.
    China Total points Under (93,5)
    -118
    View more facts

    China - Kazakhstan Table position

    Group stage Group C
    gWLPForm
    1.
    China
    China
    3306
    2.
    Bahrain
    Bahrain
    3215
    3.
    Philippines
    Philippines
    3124
    4.
    Kazakhstan
    Kazakhstan
    3033