Indonesia vs Южная Корея Prediction 11 September 2026
🏀 Indonesia are set to face South Korea in the second round of the Asian Games group stage. Indonesia’s opening game on Japanese hardwood ended in a heavy defeat to the tournament hosts, while South Korea cruised past Saudi Arabia with confidence. Unsurprisingly, the Koreans enter this clash as clear favourites. It will be interesting to see what Indonesia’s solid roster can offer as underdogs in this matchup.
Head-to-Head
📊 Throughout their official head-to-head history, Indonesia and South Korea have faced off 7 times. In every encounter, the away side has come out on top, with the hosts failing to secure a single win-even after overtime. Their most recent meeting took place on 23 February 2025 in Indonesia, where the game ended 86-78.
Head-to-head statistics Indonesia - Южная Корея
Indonesia Team Overview
The Indonesian national team have arrived at these Asian Games with one of the strongest squads in their history. Even without key figures like Bolden and Jawato, the roster boasts impressive quality and depth. Naturalized stars and core players-Prosper, Bean, Dian, and Xaverio-are joined by top local talents such as Saputera, giving Indonesia a formidable lineup with five potent offensive threats. The Indonesians are here to compete seriously, and they won’t be an easy matchup for anyone. That’s why their heavy defeat to Japan in Thursday’s tournament opener (53-98) came as such a shock. Fans are now looking for a response, but facing South Korea will be no less of a challenge.
Match Results: Indonesia
Republic of Korea Team Overview
South Korea enter the tournament as one of the medal contenders, despite a recent run of challenges. Head coach Mazurs has been under considerable pressure, but the team managed to turn things around with a convincing 82-66 victory over a solid Saudi Arabia side in their tournament opener. Their preparation also went smoothly, as they cruised to back-to-back wins against the Philippines in warm-up games. Team leader and NBA prospect Lee has openly set his sights on gold, drawing significant attention from both the media and their rivals.
Match Results: Republic of Korea
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 70.86, for the away team - 101;
- average total points in H2H matches - 171.86.
Statistics: Indonesia vs Republic of Korea
- average total in the tournament: 151 vs 148;
- average total points scored: 53 vs 82;
- average total points conceded: 98 vs 66;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 21 vs 41;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 32 vs 41;
- Indonesia: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 0;
- Republic of Korea: average total points scored away in the tournament - 0;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 76.1 (home - 79.8) vs 76.3 (away - 69).
- Over 149.5 points scored in last 8 Indonesia games against Republic of Korea.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 7;
- number of wins for the home team - 0, for the away team - 7.
Statistics: Indonesia vs Republic of Korea
- number of tournament matches played: 1 vs 1;
- number of wins: 0 (0%) vs 1 (100%);
- number of losses: 1 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 0;
- number of away wins for the away team: 0.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 5 vs 4;
- number of losses: 5 vs 6;
- number of home wins for the home team: 4;
- number of away wins for the away team: 0.
- Indonesia won with a +26.5 points handicap in 9 of last 10 games.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Even with Indonesia boasting four top-tier overseas players, South Korea still hold a clear edge in quality. The presence of an NBA-caliber talent who can impact the game on both ends of the floor makes the Koreans firm favourites in this matchup. That said, don’t expect a one-sided blowout-South Korea are unlikely to cruise, and the margin could well stay within 23-25 points. The value play here is backing the ‘home’ side with a +30.5-point handicap.
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Betting Tips: Indonesia - Republic of Korea
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