Dominican Republic vs Chile Prediction 1 September 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 In this Basketball World Cup qualifier, the Dominican Republic take on Chile. The hosts boast a much stronger roster, but they're unlikely to be chasing a blowout win. The visitors have what it takes to put up a respectable fight.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These teams have never faced each other before.

    Dominican Republic Team Overview

    At the moment, the Dominicans are riding high with four wins from their last five outings, including a recent 94-90 victory over Brazil. Notably, they've bolstered their roster for this window with quality additions like Feliz and Montero - players who should ensure the team’s creativity remains top-notch. Scoring shouldn’t be an issue either: they’re averaging 83.8 points per game, a figure that jumps to 90.8 when playing at home. Defensively, they’re solid as well, conceding just 73.3 points on average. However, it’s unlikely they’ll be able to maintain that intensity for the full 40 minutes. Once the rotation kicks in, some lapses seem inevitable.

    Match Results: Dominican Republic

    27.08.26
    FIBA AM Qualifier
    Brazil
    Brazil
    Dominican Republic
    Dominican Republic
    90
    94
    29
    18
    29
    32
    14
    25
    18
    19
    W
    04.08.26
    Central America MCAC
    Puerto Rico
    Puerto Rico
    Dominican Republic
    Dominican Republic
    94
    75
    17
    17
    19
    18
    23
    19
    35
    21
    L
    02.08.26
    Central America MCAC
    Dominican Republic
    Dominican Republic
    Mexico
    Mexico
    78
    65
    16
    13
    19
    10
    24
    18
    19
    24
    W
    31.07.26
    Central America MCAC
    Dominican Republic
    Dominican Republic
    Nicaragua
    Nicaragua
    89
    60
    20
    16
    23
    16
    22
    13
    24
    15
    W
    29.07.26
    Central America MCAC
    Belize
    Belize
    Dominican Republic
    Dominican Republic
    75
    78
    19
    28
    22
    11
    19
    17
    15
    22
    W
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    Chile Team Overview

    Chile lack the caliber of basketball talent found on the Dominican roster, and their underdog status is well justified. It’s likely they’ll face significant difficulties early on, much like they did against the United States (71-89), when they managed just 8 points in the first quarter. However, things settled down as the game progressed. A similar scenario could unfold here - once the opposition pulls ahead, Chile tend to find more freedom on offense. On average, they score 78.1 points per game while conceding 73.2. There are stretches where the visitors are able to slow the tempo and control the pace effectively.

    Match Results: Chile

    27.08.26
    FIBA AM Qualifier
    Chile
    Chile
    USA
    USA
    71
    89
    8
    23
    20
    21
    23
    24
    20
    21
    L
    06.07.26
    FIBA AM Qualifier
    Venezuela
    Venezuela
    Chile
    Chile
    66
    78
    14
    22
    17
    22
    18
    13
    17
    21
    W
    03.07.26
    FIBA AM Qualifier
    Colombia
    Colombia
    Chile
    Chile
    79
    81
    15
    19
    22
    18
    23
    21
    19
    23
    W
    02.03.26
    FIBA AM Qualifier
    Chile
    Chile
    Venezuela
    Venezuela
    68
    72
    11
    12
    14
    29
    21
    23
    22
    8
    L
    27.02.26
    FIBA AM Qualifier
    Chile
    Chile
    Colombia
    Colombia
    78
    86
    12
    28
    26
    15
    16
    21
    24
    22
    L
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    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    1st Quarter Statistics: Dominican Republic (home) vs Chile (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
    • wins: 2 (100%) vs 2 (100%);
    • losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
    • average total points scored: 22.5 vs 20.5;
    • average total points conceded: 15 vs 14.5.

    Last 10 Matches (overall):

    • wins: 6 vs 3;
    • losses: 3 vs 6;
    • draws: 1 vs 1;
    • average 1st quarter total: 38.1 (scored - 20.5, conceded - 17.6) vs 33.2 (scored - 15.2, conceded - 18).
    Trends
    • Under 41.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 5 Chile away games.
    👉Prediction: 1st Quarter Total Under 41,5 (odds: 1.86)

    Prediction on the over/under

    Statistics: Dominican Republic vs Chile

    • average total in the tournament: 167.25 vs 153.6;
    • average total points scored: 90 vs 75.2;
    • average total points conceded: 77.25 vs 78.4;
    • average total points scored in the 1st half: 45.75 vs 34.4;
    • average total points scored in the 2nd half: 44.25 vs 40.8;
    • Dominican Republic: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 90;
    • Chile: average total points scored away in the tournament - 79.5;
    • last 10 matches (average total points scored): 83.8 (home - 90.8) vs 78.1 (away - 79.75).
    Trends
    • Dominican Republic have scored under 94.5 points in 6 of last 7 games (FIBA Basketball World Cup Americas Qualifiers).
    • Dominican Republic have scored under 94.5 points in last 5 games.
    👉Prediction: Dominican Republic Total points Under (94,5) (odds: 1.71)

    Prediction on the outcome

    Trends
    • Chile won with a +23.5 points handicap in 30 of last 31 games.
    • Chile won with a +23.5 points handicap in last 9 games (FIBA Basketball World Cup Americas Qualifiers).
    👉Prediction: Chile Handicap (+23,5) (odds: 1.75)

    ⭐ Editor’s Prediction

    Chile are unlikely to pose a serious threat in this matchup. The Dominican Republic enter as clear favourites, boasting a much stronger roster and the advantage of playing at home. Expect the hosts to establish a commanding lead by halftime, especially with the home crowd behind them. However, squad rotation could have an impact for the favourites, potentially opening the door for Chile to put together some decent stretches - most likely during so-called “garbage time.” Our editorial team believes a complete blowout is unlikely. We’re backing Chile with a handicap of +23.5.
    Chile Handicap (+23,5)
    Published: 30/08/2026, 13:26
    Roman Smirnov
    Roman Smirnov
    Basketball and football specialist
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    Statistics for August 2026

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    Betting Tips: Dominican Republic - Chile

    Dominican Republic won the 1st half:
    dominican-republic-32in 9 of last 10 home games.
    1st Half Dominican Republic Win
    -1667
    Dominican Republic won the 1st quarter:
    dominican-republic-32in last 7 home games.
    1st Quarter Dominican Republic Win
    -714
    Chile won the 4th quarter:
    chile-3in 7 of last 8 away games.
    4th Quarter Chile Win
    +225
    Under 82.5 points in the 1st half:
    dominican-republic-32in 7 of last 8 Dominican Republic games.
    chile-3in last 11 Chile games.
    chile-3in last 9 Chile games (FIBA Basketball World Cup Americas Qualifiers).
    chile-3in last 5 Chile away games.
    1st Half Total Under 82,5
    -101
    View more facts

    Dominican Republic - Chile Table position

    America Second round Group E
    gWLPForm
    2.
    Brazil
    Brazil
    76113
    3.
    Dominican Republic
    Dominican Republic
    75212
    4.
    Mexico
    Mexico
    74311
    5.
    Colombia
    Colombia
    73410
    6.
    Chile
    Chile
    7259