Aces vs Mercury Prediction

    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    66
    99
    21
    14
    10
    21
    27
    29
    27
    16

    📢What tactical schemes can be used against zone defense? Las Vegas Aces (W) and Phoenix Mercury (W) will show us their offensive options as they clash on 9 May at 19:30 in the "WNBA" tournament. The favorite for the match is the Las Vegas Aces (W) team, and the victory of each side is rated as follows: against . We will analyze how accurate the bookmakers' ratings are in our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Las Vegas Aces (W) and Phoenix Mercury (W):

    • played 62 matches;
    • wins (including extra time): 33 for today's home team and 29 for the guests;
    • the home team averages 84.18 points per match, the guests - 83.47;
    • average total match points - 167.65.

    The last confrontation took place on 11 October 2025 at the venue of Phoenix Mercury (W) and ended with a score of 86:97.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    52%
    33 Wins
    48%
    30 Wins
    09.05.26
    WNBA
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    66
    99
    21
    27
    14
    29
    10
    27
    21
    16
    11.10.25
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    86
    97
    21
    30
    17
    24
    24
    22
    24
    21
    09.10.25
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    88
    90
    23
    26
    20
    29
    16
    21
    29
    14
    05.10.25
    WNBA
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    91
    78
    24
    27
    22
    10
    30
    24
    15
    17
    04.10.25
    WNBA
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    89
    86
    21
    21
    24
    29
    22
    21
    22
    15
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    Las Vegas Aces (W) Team Overview

    🏆This season, Las Vegas Aces (W) has stepped onto the court for 2 matches, with their performance breaking down as follows: 1 victories, 1 defeats.

    📈Throughout this season, Las Vegas Aces (W) boasts a success rate of 50%, while their defeats account for 50% of their total matches.

    📊The team plays with the average over/under of 178.5 points, with an average of 89 points per match and conceding 89.5 points to the opposition.

    🏀At their home venue, the team's average score per game is 94 points. In home games, the team's defense concedes an average of 78 points per game.

    Match Results: Las Vegas Aces (W)

    14.06.26
    WNBA
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    100
    97
    32
    21
    25
    30
    21
    20
    22
    26
    W
    12.06.26
    WNBA
    Portland Fire (W)
    Portland Fire (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    89
    105
    28
    27
    22
    29
    22
    22
    17
    27
    W
    09.06.26
    WNBA
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Seattle Storm (W)
    Seattle Storm (W)
    101
    91
    23
    25
    27
    18
    22
    16
    29
    32
    W
    06.06.26
    WNBA
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    84
    79
    20
    13
    18
    22
    20
    20
    26
    24
    W
    03.06.26
    WNBA
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    69
    79
    10
    14
    20
    23
    21
    27
    18
    15
    W
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    Phoenix Mercury (W) Team Overview

    🏆This season, Phoenix Mercury (W) has stepped onto the court for 2 matches, with their performance breaking down as follows: 2 victories, 0 defeats.

    📈Throughout this season, Phoenix Mercury (W) boasts a success rate of 100%, while their defeats account for 0% of their total matches.

    📊The team plays with the average over/under of 179 points, with an average of 97 points per match and conceding 82 points to the opposition.

    🏀Away, the team throws on average 0 points per game, misses on average 0 points per meeting.

    Match Results: Phoenix Mercury (W)

    14.06.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    102
    111
    27
    27
    27
    24
    16
    28
    28
    19
    4
    13
    L
    12.06.26
    WNBA
    Dallas Wings (W)
    Dallas Wings (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    85
    70
    24
    20
    21
    16
    25
    16
    15
    18
    L
    10.06.26
    WNBA
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    87
    81
    22
    18
    27
    14
    17
    29
    21
    20
    L
    06.06.26
    WNBA
    Portland Fire (W)
    Portland Fire (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    72
    78
    16
    21
    18
    17
    17
    17
    21
    23
    W
    04.06.26
    WNBA
    Seattle Storm (W)
    Seattle Storm (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    68
    72
    15
    21
    18
    15
    22
    16
    13
    20
    W
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    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 62;
    • First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 12; for the visitors on the road - 17;
    • Average total points in the first quarter: 43.32;
    • Today's home team averages 20.77, while the visitors average 22.55.

    First Quarter Stats: Las Vegas Aces (W) (home) vs Phoenix Mercury (W) (away)

    • Tournament matches played: 1 vs 0;
    • Number of wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Number of draws: 1 (100%) vs 0 (0%).
    • Average points scored: 30 vs 0;
    • Average points conceded: 30 vs 0.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 4 vs 4;
    • Number of losses: 3 vs 5;
    • Number of draws: 3 vs 1;
    • Average first quarter total: 47.7 (scored - 24.1, conceded - 23.6) vs 45.2 (scored - 22.6, conceded - 22.6).
    Trends
    • Over 41.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 5 Las Vegas Aces (W) home games (WNBA).
    • Over 41.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 6 Phoenix Mercury (W) games (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: 1st Quarter Total Over 41.5 (odds: 1.67)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of matchups - 62;
    • number of wins for the home team - 33, for the away team - 29.

    Statistics: Las Vegas Aces (W) vs Phoenix Mercury (W)

    • number of tournament matches played: 2 vs 2;
    • number of wins: 1 (50%) vs 2 (100%);
    • number of losses: 1 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
    • number of wins at home for the home team: 1;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of wins: 8 vs 5;
    • number of losses: 2 vs 5;
    • number of home wins for the home team: 5;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 1.
    Trends
    • Las Vegas Aces (W) have won in last 7 games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
    • Las Vegas Aces (W) have won in 17 of last 18 home games (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: Las Vegas Aces (W) Win (inc. OT) (odds: 1.22)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H:

    • average total points per match for the home team - 84.18, for the away team - 83.47;
    • average total points in H2H matches - 167.65.

    Statistics: Las Vegas Aces (W) vs Phoenix Mercury (W)

    • average total in the tournament: 178.5 vs 179;
    • average total points scored: 89 vs 97;
    • average total points conceded: 89.5 vs 82;
    • average total points scored in the 1st half: 47 vs 53;
    • average total points scored in the 2nd half: 42 vs 44;
    • Las Vegas Aces (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 94;
    • Phoenix Mercury (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 0;
    • last 10 matches (average total points scored): 90.9 (home - 94.2) vs 86 (away - 80.5).

    Trends
    • Over 164.5 points scored in 6 of last 7 Las Vegas Aces (W) games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: Total points Over (164.5) (odds: 1.58)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Over 164.5 points scored in 6 of last 7 Las Vegas Aces (W) games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).

    Our choice
    Total points Over (164.5) at odds of -149*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (7 May 2026, 20:25)

    Betting Tips: Las Vegas Aces (W) - Phoenix Mercury (W)

    Las Vegas Aces (W) have won
    san-antonio-starsphoenix-mercuryin last 7 games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
    san-antonio-starsin 17 of last 18 home games (WNBA).
    Las Vegas Aces (W) Win (inc. OT)
    -455
    Phoenix Mercury (W) lost the 3rd quarter
    phoenix-mercuryin 7 of last 8 games (WNBA).
    3rd Quarter Las Vegas Aces (W) Win
    -196
    Phoenix Mercury (W) scored over 19.5 points in the 1st quarter
    san-antonio-starsphoenix-mercuryin 16 of last 18 away games against Las Vegas Aces (W) (WNBA).
    1st Quarter, Phoenix Mercury (W) Total points Over (19.5)
    -122
    Over 39.5 points in the 1st quarter
    san-antonio-starsphoenix-mercuryin last 13 Las Vegas Aces (W) home games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
    san-antonio-starsphoenix-mercuryin last 5 Las Vegas Aces (W) games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
    phoenix-mercuryin last 7 Phoenix Mercury (W) away games (WNBA).
    1st Quarter Total Over 39.5
    -
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    Aces - Mercury Table position

    Preseason
    gWLForm
    3.
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    220
    4.
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    220
    5.
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    110
    9.
    Seattle Storm (W)
    Seattle Storm (W)
    211
    10.
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    211
    11.
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    211