Aces vs Mercury Prediction 9 May 2026

    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    66
    99
    21
    14
    10
    21
    27
    29
    27
    16

    📢What tactical schemes can be used against zone defense? Las Vegas Aces (W) and Phoenix Mercury (W) will show us their offensive options as they clash on 9 May at 19:30 in the "WNBA" tournament. The favorite for the match is the Las Vegas Aces (W) team, and the victory of each side is rated as follows: against . We will analyze how accurate the bookmakers' ratings are in our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Las Vegas Aces (W) and Phoenix Mercury (W):

    • played 62 matches;
    • wins (including extra time): 33 for today's home team and 29 for the guests;
    • the home team averages 84.18 points per match, the guests - 83.47;
    • average total match points - 167.65.

    The last confrontation took place on 11 October 2025 at the venue of Phoenix Mercury (W) and ended with a score of 86:97.

    Head-to-head statistics Aces - Mercury

    55%
    36 Wins
    45%
    30 Wins
    25.09.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    82
    100
    18
    32
    18
    33
    24
    12
    22
    23
    11.07.26
    WNBA
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    106
    58
    29
    9
    28
    13
    22
    14
    27
    22
    18.06.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    76
    86
    28
    24
    21
    21
    15
    23
    12
    18
    09.05.26
    WNBA
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    66
    99
    21
    27
    14
    29
    10
    27
    21
    16
    11.10.25
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    86
    97
    21
    30
    17
    24
    24
    22
    24
    21
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    Las Vegas Aces (W) Team Overview

    🏆This season, Las Vegas Aces (W) has stepped onto the court for 2 matches, with their performance breaking down as follows: 1 victories, 1 defeats.

    📈Throughout this season, Las Vegas Aces (W) boasts a success rate of 50%, while their defeats account for 50% of their total matches.

    📊The team plays with the average over/under of 178.5 points, with an average of 89 points per match and conceding 89.5 points to the opposition.

    🏀At their home venue, the team's average score per game is 94 points. In home games, the team's defense concedes an average of 78 points per game.

    Match Results: Las Vegas Aces (W)

    27.09.26
    WNBA
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Indiana Fever (W)
    Indiana Fever (W)
    102
    85
    27
    23
    35
    24
    24
    18
    16
    20
    W
    25.09.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    82
    100
    18
    32
    18
    33
    24
    12
    22
    23
    W
    23.09.26
    WNBA
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    89
    79
    24
    11
    18
    22
    23
    18
    24
    28
    W
    21.09.26
    WNBA
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Seattle Storm (W)
    Seattle Storm (W)
    98
    77
    29
    18
    23
    25
    24
    21
    22
    13
    W
    18.09.26
    WNBA
    Seattle Storm (W)
    Seattle Storm (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    77
    114
    13
    25
    21
    27
    29
    33
    14
    29
    W
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    Phoenix Mercury (W) Team Overview

    🏆This season, Phoenix Mercury (W) has stepped onto the court for 2 matches, with their performance breaking down as follows: 2 victories, 0 defeats.

    📈Throughout this season, Phoenix Mercury (W) boasts a success rate of 100%, while their defeats account for 0% of their total matches.

    📊The team plays with the average over/under of 179 points, with an average of 97 points per match and conceding 82 points to the opposition.

    🏀Away, the team throws on average 0 points per game, misses on average 0 points per meeting.

    Match Results: Phoenix Mercury (W)

    25.09.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    82
    100
    18
    32
    18
    33
    24
    12
    22
    23
    L
    22.09.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Dallas Wings (W)
    Dallas Wings (W)
    87
    86
    19
    26
    24
    21
    18
    21
    26
    18
    W
    19.09.26
    WNBA
    Dallas Wings (W)
    Dallas Wings (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    87
    82
    19
    24
    37
    25
    12
    15
    19
    18
    L
    18.09.26
    WNBA
    Portland Fire (W)
    Portland Fire (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    91
    94
    26
    20
    24
    23
    19
    25
    22
    26
    W
    30.08.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Toronto Tempo (W)
    Toronto Tempo (W)
    101
    69
    27
    17
    31
    18
    30
    14
    13
    20
    W
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    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 62;
    • First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 12; for the visitors on the road - 17;
    • Average total points in the first quarter: 43.32;
    • Today's home team averages 20.77, while the visitors average 22.55.

    First Quarter Stats: Las Vegas Aces (W) (home) vs Phoenix Mercury (W) (away)

    • Tournament matches played: 1 vs 0;
    • Number of wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Number of draws: 1 (100%) vs 0 (0%).
    • Average points scored: 30 vs 0;
    • Average points conceded: 30 vs 0.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 4 vs 4;
    • Number of losses: 3 vs 5;
    • Number of draws: 3 vs 1;
    • Average first quarter total: 47.7 (scored - 24.1, conceded - 23.6) vs 45.2 (scored - 22.6, conceded - 22.6).
    Trends
    • Over 41.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 5 Las Vegas Aces (W) home games (WNBA).
    • Over 41.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 6 Phoenix Mercury (W) games (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: 1st Quarter Total Over 41,5 (odds: 1.67)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of matchups - 62;
    • number of wins for the home team - 33, for the away team - 29.

    Statistics: Las Vegas Aces (W) vs Phoenix Mercury (W)

    • number of tournament matches played: 2 vs 2;
    • number of wins: 1 (50%) vs 2 (100%);
    • number of losses: 1 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
    • number of wins at home for the home team: 1;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of wins: 8 vs 5;
    • number of losses: 2 vs 5;
    • number of home wins for the home team: 5;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 1.
    Trends
    • Las Vegas Aces (W) have won in last 7 games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
    • Las Vegas Aces (W) have won in 17 of last 18 home games (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: Las Vegas Aces (W) Win (inc. OT) (odds: 1.22)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H:

    • average total points per match for the home team - 84.18, for the away team - 83.47;
    • average total points in H2H matches - 167.65.

    Statistics: Las Vegas Aces (W) vs Phoenix Mercury (W)

    • average total in the tournament: 178.5 vs 179;
    • average total points scored: 89 vs 97;
    • average total points conceded: 89.5 vs 82;
    • average total points scored in the 1st half: 47 vs 53;
    • average total points scored in the 2nd half: 42 vs 44;
    • Las Vegas Aces (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 94;
    • Phoenix Mercury (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 0;
    • last 10 matches (average total points scored): 90.9 (home - 94.2) vs 86 (away - 80.5).

    Trends
    • Over 164.5 points scored in 6 of last 7 Las Vegas Aces (W) games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: Total points Over (164,5) (odds: 1.58)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Over 164.5 points scored in 6 of last 7 Las Vegas Aces (W) games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).

    Total points Over (164,5)
    Odds-149
    Published: 07/05/2026, 20:25

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    Betting Tips: Las Vegas Aces (W) - Phoenix Mercury (W)

    Las Vegas Aces (W) have won:
    san-antonio-starsphoenix-mercuryin last 7 games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
    san-antonio-starsin 17 of last 18 home games (WNBA).
    Las Vegas Aces (W) Win (inc. OT)
    -455
    Phoenix Mercury (W) lost the 3rd quarter:
    phoenix-mercuryin 7 of last 8 games (WNBA).
    3rd Quarter Las Vegas Aces (W) to Win
    -196
    Phoenix Mercury (W) scored over 19.5 points in the 1st quarter:
    san-antonio-starsphoenix-mercuryin 16 of last 18 away games against Las Vegas Aces (W) (WNBA).
    1st Quarter, Phoenix Mercury (W) Total points Over (19,5)
    -122
    Over 39.5 points in the 1st quarter:
    san-antonio-starsphoenix-mercuryin last 13 Las Vegas Aces (W) home games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
    san-antonio-starsphoenix-mercuryin last 5 Las Vegas Aces (W) games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
    phoenix-mercuryin last 7 Phoenix Mercury (W) away games (WNBA).
    1st Quarter Total Over 39,5
    -
    View more facts

    Aces - Mercury Table position

    Regular season Regular Season Standings
    gWLForm
    2.
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    443212
    3.
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    443113
    4.
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    443014
    9.
    Portland Fire (W)
    Portland Fire (W)
    441727
    10.
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    441628
    11.
    Chicago Sky (W)
    Chicago Sky (W)
    441628