Memphis vs Oklahoma Prediction 7 November 2026
🏀 Memphis Grizzlies will play Oklahoma City Thunder in an NBA regular-season game. Both teams are capable of playing well offensively. Given the pace the Grizzlies set in almost every game, a high-scoring game and result can be expected.
Head-to-Head
📊 The teams' last official game was in January this year. Oklahoma City won 117-116. The Thunder have dominated the last five official head-to-head games, winning all five (5-0).
Head-to-head statistics Memphis - Oklahoma
Memphis Grizzlies: the home side will keep up the high tempo
Memphis made a flying start to the season, winning six games in a row. But then came two defeats. They first lost to the Pelicans by the narrowest of margins (134:135 after overtime), before suffering a home defeat to Indiana (103:107). In the latter game, they were unable to play at speed, even though that is vital to Memphis on the court. They average more than 120 points per game, and their three-point percentage is still 40.1%. Now, against an injury-hit opponent, they can try to produce another strong attacking display.
Given the way Memphis play, it is hard to expect much from them defensively. Their average points conceded looks respectable (109.8), especially considering their extremely high pace. But against Oklahoma City, who have one of the best players of recent years, they are unlikely to be particularly reliable at the defensive end. If Memphis have a chance, it rests entirely on their attacking momentum.
Match Results: Memphis Grizzlies
Oklahoma City Thunder: experience helps them thrive in attack
The visitors have ambitious plans for this season. But Oklahoma City have already lost several key players at the start of the season. Williams and Holmgren are sidelined, and Wallace is also unable to play. That leaves them short of depth, which can be fatal against top opponents. For example, Oklahoma City recently lost to Houston (98:119). They did not get enough from their other stars. However, they still managed to beat Cleveland in high-tempo games (117:112, 124:116). In their current situation, a high pace is therefore an important part of the Thunder’s game.
Oklahoma City’s players are far more experienced than Memphis’s. Gilgeous-Alexander can settle possessions on his own. Even without their other stars, the Thunder can still move the ball well. They will have plenty of shooting opportunities. Although their three-point percentage has been poor on average (33.4%), the champions from two seasons ago could still have a strong shooting game on a given occasion.
Match Results: Oklahoma City Thunder
First Quarter Prediction
Memphis scored more than 24.5 points in the first quarter in 7 of their last 8 NBA games. In their recent home games, they have averaged 26.8 points in that quarter. We’re backing Memphis Grizzlies First Quarter Team Total Points Over 24.5 at odds of 1.41*.
Prediction on the outcome
Memphis Grizzlies have covered the +4.5 handicap in 12 consecutive NBA games and won eight of their last 10. Oklahoma City Thunder have won the head-to-head games, but Memphis do not need to win this game to cover the chosen handicap. We pick Memphis Grizzlies +4.5 handicap for the full game at odds of 1.78*.
Reliable bet
The combined total exceeded 214.5 points in 22 of the Memphis Grizzlies’ last 23 home games. In addition, Oklahoma City Thunder’s last five games have each produced more than 215.5 points, a higher threshold. We pick Total Points Over 214.5 at odds of 1.32*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's prediction
Bookmakers quite understandably make Oklahoma City Thunder the favourites. But Memphis Grizzlies have been a big surprise at the start of the season. They play boldly and can build momentum and make the most of it, especially at home. Oklahoma City Thunder will try to adapt to the situation. They have enough quality to do so even with players unavailable. In our view, both teams will score plenty of points. It makes sense to try Total Points Over 223.5.
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Betting Tips: Memphis Grizzlies - Oklahoma City Thunder
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